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Recent content by Alfred

  1. Alfred

    Coronavirus

    More discussions now about Sweden in Europe: Todays press notice in the NZZ highlights a problem for them with the current efforts to open borders for the summer season (in German). Neighbouring and other countries are reluctant to accept Swedish guests as it is a country with a particularly...
  2. Alfred

    Coronavirus

    - You are correct in the sense that Covid-19 is unlikely to wipe humanity off the planet. - True is also that the evolution is not expected to be comparable to waves of pestilence in medieval times. - Conversely I have not found recent support for your conclusion that covid-19 deaths are...
  3. Alfred

    Coronavirus

    I presume that not the age distribution of the population was taken, but the age distribution of the cases. Those would be weighed more towards the older fractions, plausibly yielding then higher "overall" fatality percentages.
  4. Alfred

    Coronavirus

    Sweden did not have "no lockdown". Their reduction of economic activity is comparable to what resulted in Switzerland with a "soft lockdown" (I listed a reference with more detail here earlier). The problem is that Sweden has a very high death toll (nearly double the Swiss outcome). That now...
  5. Alfred

    Coronavirus

    Indeed and this is the topic of a large study initiated in Germany. If you look at the incidence maps there you can see immediately that former East Germany is much less affected than the West. The suspicion is that areas where TBC inoculation was compulsory produce this effect. That particular...
  6. Alfred

    Coronavirus

    That could explain some and supports suspicions voiced by Drosten in Germany I mentioned earlier.
  7. Alfred

    Coronavirus

    You can get a good idea from this English language report here. It compares Switzerland and Sweden in some detail. Similar sized populations and similar "lockdown" measures with overall quite different results. The economic consequences are also different. In both countries you have to consider...
  8. Alfred

    Coronavirus

    The following two updates on the evolution in Sweden are revealing. Death rates are very high, particularly in residences for the elderly and in the poorer outskirts of Stockholm. The question why such homes and disadvantaged districts could not be better protected is being raised. Also The...
  9. Alfred

    Coronavirus

    Well - Switzerland has just reached the point where switching to tracing has again become possible. Some cantons had started the procedures already earlier. The lockdown was relatively soft. Personal mobility remained nationally mostly unrestricted (stay at home "recommended") and many...
  10. Alfred

    Coronavirus

    There are lots of data available about actual excess mortalities. Detailed information for Europe e.g. can be found here: https://euromomo.eu/ Differences among countries are large. Countries e.g. with a lower incidence of infections also report less excess mortality. Countries where the limits...
  11. Alfred

    Coronavirus

    Not apparent from the data we have. There are no convincing correlations of this type to be seen. The site here shows graphs analising possible dependencies from population densities or age distribution (graph below).On the maps with incidences per inhabitants on the same site you can also see...
  12. Alfred

    Coronavirus

    [ Indeed. It really is what is says: A collection of propaganda, principally aimed against restrictive protective measures. Like all good propaganda it contains sufficiently verifiable data to let you swallow the rest.
  13. Alfred

    Coronavirus

    The article here comments the current situation in Sweden. It is not entirely pretty as their death toll reaches 1000.
  14. Alfred

    Coronavirus

    At the press conference the figure mentioned (with caveats) was indeed 15% , using one (unspecified) method. During the following discussions Streek also mentioned 20% - if analised via some other method. He also said that the the laboratory processes used to look for antibodies were rather...
  15. Alfred

    Coronavirus

    Today Streek (Prof. Dr.), the initiator of the study in Heinsberg, presented indeed first results. The press conference giving some results (in German) can be viewed here. In an earlier interview (in German) about the study he explained in more detail what they were doing. In short: A cross...