Recent content by cluster

Anyone knows a MSFT investor forum as good as here? I want to know about the business potential about the ChatGPT.

My simple estimation concludes the same situation: TSLA is substantially under appreciated by institutions. Using fintel.io data, I made the following table, showing the top 11 largest companies by market cap. Compared with AAPL, TSLA is 0.339 of its market cap, but the institution owned...

Hello, Many are waiting for the Moody’s and S&P to upgrade Tesla to investment grade. It might be a substantial catalyzer for the share price. Since the rating would be mostly advisory to mutual fund, pension fund, it is important to understand the institutional ownership at present. I made...

Thanks for your reply! I am concerned about the high IV. My personal best entry point for DOTM LEAPS is when both share price and IV are down significantly. Right now IV is too high. And you are right, given the TSLA being the largest options trading ticker, AND the macro, it requires a lot of...

I am waiting for IV to come down in the next few months in order to bug LEAPS. If the IV for 2024 Jan/Jun call options can subside to ~40 (IV was ~40 in Oct-2021), these DOTM LEAPS (strike $2000) can be pretty cheap (about ~$10). If all played out well in 2023 with Berlin and Austin giga...

Hello, I am new to the options trading. Could someone help me to understand two questions? 1. Why is the intraday IV almost always anti-correlated with the stock price? See the picture below showing today's wild swing. 2. To bet TSLA rising significantly in the next two years, one may buy deep...

The bulk buying process at the last minutes of tomorrow allows the ETF\Mutual Funds etc. to sell to index funds at the closing price, whatever it is. Index funds do not care SP of TSLA, they just want to minimize the tracking error. If I were ETF manager, I only care if I can sell all the TSLA...

Both production and delivery numbers of model 3 are not very good in China for April. April delivery: 3635 Jan-April delivery total: 19705 April production: 11211 Only for Model 3. Another data: Troy's Model 3 tracker and Model Y tracker show very very few entries since mid March...

Delivering inventory cars is not a question. The real concern is how much new orders (US, CA and EU) they will have for Q2. A future Tesla owner may worry about their own financial situation/job security, as well as Tesla's production and on-time delivery during the pandemic. Therefore...

Has anyone paid attention to Troy's Model-3 and Model-Y google spreadsheet trackers? I am worried about the short-term demand across US and EU, because there is essentially zero new entry since late March. I hope I read his spreadsheet wrong...

Hi Troy, Is there a link to the M3 VIN scatter plot? It looks like you are hiding one of the most reliable sources :)

BTW, where is Troy's vin scatter plot? It is one of the most reliable sources, but I can't find it anymore. Teslike Model 3 Survey #3

Will Warren Buffett provide funding?

Also here are some details about US July sales for BMW, Mercedes-Benz, Lexus, Jaguar, that echo Tesla's chart in the Q2 letter.

Model 3 sales number 6250, based InsideEV's estimate. It is now number one in premium mid-size sedan segment 2018 May sales numbers: ---------------------- 2018 2017 % BMW 3 Series 3,428 4,453 -23.0% BMW 4 Series 2,937 3,895 -24.6% MB C-CLASS 5,419...