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Recent content by gluu

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    Order hold automatically removed

    Did you complete your entire profile before getting matched to a VIN? i.e. Delivery Location, Registration, Trade-In, and Payment method?
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    White/White LR AWD 19" Model Y Chicago Reservation

    This reservation is going to be cancelled on 1/13/2022 if I don't click "I'm ready" and I'm not ready to take delivery yet. The account only has this vehicle reservation, and I have not filled out any details yet, so I can give you the account. Looking to sell this reservation for a difference...
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    Order hold automatically removed

    Does anyone know what happens if you reject delivery? Will you still keep the price you ordered at or will the price reset?
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    Tesla Valuation Based on 5 Year Outlook

    My one comment would be that your ASP for Model 3/Y are likely too high in the out years. The price has to go down to drive volume IMO.
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    FSD beta on Laurel or Coldwater Canyon?

    I think it's ok to mispredict the intersection when you're a ways back, once you get closer you would hope that no misprediction would occur. There's no penalty for mispredicting it early on.
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    FSD beta on Laurel or Coldwater Canyon?

    Good Eye. I think this is also a cause of phantom breaking in Autopilot, non-FSD. Images can spuriously give you the wrong impression, which is why the video training likely helps a great deal.
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    Waymo Says Its Self-Driving Tech Is More Advanced Than Tesla FSD, Others

    It's not good enough for Waymo to be first. Hypothetically, if Waymo starts scaling out their product today with their current costs, I'm not sure they could even generate a profit. I estimate the current Waymo vehicles cost something like ~150k and they are not electric. It's about who is the...
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    FSD rewrite will go out on Oct 20 to limited beta

    My reasoning is that although the visualization detects the parked cars correctly, the car still plans a path that would crash into a parked vehicle, therefore the planner does not explicitly draw a path through free space using a "software 1.0" planner. One possible way this could happen is if...
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    FSD rewrite will go out on Oct 20 to limited beta

    Brandon complains about how the car attempts to drive into parked car lanes while going straight in traffic. This says to me that Tesla is already starting to do end-to-end learning for the planner, and that the planner currently doesn't distinguish between parked cars and moving cars which is...
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    FSD rewrite will go out on Oct 20 to limited beta

    I’ve seen this assertion made many times without any obvious proof. Although it definitely is a possibility, Elon has also once said that it’s true “no matter how you slice and dice it” meaning it’s still safer when normalizing for all the obvious variables. Also, if you read the fine print...
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    FSD rewrite will go out on Oct 20 to limited beta

    Interesting to see that there are map inputs into the NN. Thanks. Would love to see what happens when the NN and the map disagree...
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    FSD rewrite will go out on Oct 20 to limited beta

    I sympathize with you, he did draw conclusions about what you were saying that you were not necessarily making explicitly. However, I think he's factoring in the Twitter context to what you're saying. You linked to an analysis by a TSLAQ member doing an analysis that 'proved' HD maps were in...
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Investors looking for yield will definitely be buying these robotaxis at those prices and drive the yield down (i.e. prices up). They'll make it all back and then some in a world where interest rates are near zero. People aren't registering what it means to have a truly driverless FSD. There are...
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    Autonomous Car Progress

    This is to be expected. This software works everywhere without HD maps. It's going to have a much higher intervention rate at first. I actually think that makes it safer, because people will be on constant alert if it requires interventions that frequently. IMO we won't reach the high 9's level...
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    FSD rewrite will go out on Oct 20 to limited beta

    Rumor is Smart Summon is now amazing. Source: SatinGreyTesla on reddit