Recent content by jepicken

In fact it did both - dropping hard in the first few minutes of the speech (maybe because of Trump's slurring?) before shooting up. I also placed a short-term bet on Put options just before the speech and banked a ~$1k win.

Video of today's Elon Musk interview at the US Air Force's Air Warfare Symposium: 2020 Air Warfare Symposium Day 2 - Fireside Chat: Elon Musk

That's very useful info to put current IV's in context. Where do you get those historical IV charts?

Answering my own question, here are my calculations (hopefully I guessed the columns correctly; they weren't labeled in his incorrectly titled "Why I'm Now Shorting Tesla Stock" video): Description Quantity Basis/sh Total basis Price/sh Total Value Gain % Feb 21 '20 $600...

Funny story about SPYX. I learned about it in November 2018, and decided to swap a portion of my S&P500 index funds in my 401k for it. I sold about $100k of the index in my 401k, transferred the proceeds to my "Brokeragelink" account - part of the 401k that allows trading a larger list of...

That's my situation right there. I have some Jan '21 $150 calls purchased at various times throughout the first half of 2019. Just waiting for them to become long-term gains before selling (and buying as many shares as possible with the proceeds, i.e. I don't want to sell out completely, just...

Check out my shiny new red badge! On another note, I wonder how our pal Jack Rickard is doing? I recall he bought a ton of short term call options, betting on a short squeeze. They must be worth a fortune if he's still holding.

Because you're not dead? :p

Understood, but IMO, the current functionality is nowhere near good enough for full self driving on city streets. Do you think Elon just doesn't talk about it because the feature already exists, even though it needs a major leap in performance to be usable?

Has Elon / Tesla talked about recognizing other vehicles, pedestrians, cyclists, etc., and predicting their behavior? That seems to me like a more difficult problem, and just as important as recognizing the static environment, if not more so.

WTF is going on? Stock is falling off a cliff right now and I can't find any news to explain it...

I'm detecting fear from bulls (Tenable, plus less positivity in general from other frequent posters) and greed from bears (Einhorn specifically).

Reading this thread today I'm reminded of Warren Buffet's advice: "Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful".

Anybody care to guess how TSLA will fare after the announcement? The obvious possibilities - $35k Model 3, Autopilot HW3, Supercharger v3, even a Model S/X refresh - are probably already baked in, so I'm leaning towards a "buy on rumor, sell on news" scenario, unless Elon announces something...

That never stopped them before...