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Recent content by serkol

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    Catalysts, Due Diligence, and Market Timing

    The way something looks in a photo depends on many things, like the lens and its settings, the distance from the lens to the subject, and more. Look at pics on real estate web sites - rooms and backyards look huge, because they use wide angle lenses. Telephoto lenses make things look smaller and...
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    Catalysts, Due Diligence, and Market Timing

    New Tesla Model X in Tesla Hangar at Hawthorne Airport https://twitter.com/TeslaNY/status/413276099779776512/photo/1
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    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2013

    If I wanted to buy a MS, I would buy it. Now when the air suspension does not lower the car at HWY speeds, a MS has roughly the same chances of catching a trailer hitch as an average car. Before this firmware update it had much more chances - many cars could have passed over that hitch without...
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    Discussion of statistical analysis of vehicle fires as it relates to Model S

    @richkae, I read your post and somewhat agree with you. However you base your argument on questioning the official stats, but we don't have any other stats. My point is that we should look more optimistically into the near future regardless of this. I strongly believe that from now on MS has...
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    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2013

    This short attack may also mean that they sense the bottom and fear that the stock will not go any lower, so they desperately try to manipulate us. I'm not selling.
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    Discussion of statistical analysis of vehicle fires as it relates to Model S

    I think that luvb2b's calculations are fundamentally wrong, because he ignores the fact that 2 fires happened after running over a metal object that can pierce the car's underbelly. One fire happened outside of US and should be excluded from the calculations, because luvb2b compares these fires...
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    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2013

    I don't want to draw any conclusions, but "moshennik" means "fraudster" or "con artist" in Russian (мошенник)
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    Discussion of statistical analysis of vehicle fires as it relates to Model S

    @luvb, With all respect, your predictions are baseless, because MS caught fire under specific circumstances. These circumstances were changed by the new firmware.
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    Discussion of statistical analysis of vehicle fires as it relates to Model S

    My guess is that by increasing the clearance in the firmware, Tesla greatly reduced the probability of a fire. Now you need to run over a larger, but similarly shaped object, to pierce the battery. In the second fire, there was another car in front of the Model S. That car went over the...
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    Discussion of statistical analysis of vehicle fires as it relates to Model S

    I see it the same way: 0.000882 fires/car-year (ICE) is 4 times greater than 0.000226 fires/car-year (MS). What am I missing?
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    Tesla not planning a Model S recall: CNBC

    Exactly my feeling - you are reading my mind. It took them a few days to fix that embarrassing lease calculator, so I have some hope that they will also fix this situation. Regarding the battery punctures I think that they do not have a solution yet, so they are trying to buy some time. But...
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    Tesla not planning a Model S recall: CNBC

    I have exactly the same feeling. For some reason I think that Tesla engineers are searching for a solution (effective but not overly expensive). They don't have one yet. As soon as they find one, they will start making cars with the modified underbelly. If another similar fire happens after...
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    Ugh. Another Model S fire - 2013-11-06

    I'm just curious, what do you mean by errors? I understand that if we talk about statistics based on some measurements, there may be errors in measurements (sensor error, a stray particle flying by and so on). In this case there either was a fire or not - no errors, right?
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    What other tech stock to consider?

    When will TWTR be available for retail investors? Any guru cares to share his thoughts on TWTR with noobs like me?