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Recent content by Svetlin

  1. S

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Breakeven for the options position may be $412, but you should also calculate at what price the options would start making you more money than if you just held the stock. $412 is 0% return on your new option position (thus breakeven). But if you did nothing and held your stock, and we were back...
  2. S

    Near-future quarterly financial projections

    Could the 4k Rest of APAC be a bit too low with 2 ships to S. Korea and 1 ship to Taiwan that have plenty of time to unload and deliver? Plus maybe some containers to Australia, NZ, Japan?
  3. S

    Market politics

    Should we kill them too, like the homeless? In fact, "progressives" are even worse, not only useless, but can be dangerous... if elected, they can give you healthcare, or commit terrible atrocities, like stealing your hard-earned money to pay public teachers a living wage...
  4. S

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Thanks for digging this up. I remember watching it in early 2013. Towards the end, my girlfriend (now wife) walked in and finished watching it with me. At the end she said, "I hope Tesla makes it". I said they have already made it. Now the rest of the world has to realize it. Two months later...
  5. S

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    My not advice: Sell the 100 shares and buy 2 calls for late 2021 or jan 2022. Should be able to get strikes around 300-350 with the 57k from selling 100 shares. When you have the cash next year, let the calls get exercised and you end up with 200 shares. Worst case, you lose all your money...
  6. S

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    So, a week ago I sold a couple of 580 covered calls for this Friday. I'm still new to this, being a Market Maker and all. How do I get the price to stay under 580? (I know, I'll just buy them back if I have to)
  7. S

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Third Row Tesla crew blew it too. Can't believe they had Kimbal there and didn't ask him about Plant a Seed Day.
  8. S

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Just piling up on the parking lot. Nobody wants them.
  9. S

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    They are also not number 1 and 2, but number 7 and 8 after 3 pickup trucks and 3 SUVs that cost more and sell more than the Toyota Camry and the Honda Civic. And the Camry actually costs more than $20k.
  10. S

    Near-future quarterly financial projections

    Thanks, as always, for sharing your work. Tesla already reported that leased vehicles were 15% for Model S/X and 8% for Model 3.
  11. S

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    $280 tops, because... you know... there's no demand, and competition is heating up. Plus, Tesla is known for putting out overly ambitious guidance, but sophisticated analysts like Adam Jonas know they will produce only 60,000 Model 3s in 2019.
  12. S

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Of all business leaders, Musk seems to suffer the least from the sunk cost fallacy. He gave up on battery swap when it didn't make sense, gave up on the alien dreadnaught (for now), gave up on propulsive landing for Dragon v2, radically changed the design of Starship a few times, his whole basic...
  13. S

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Without "funding secured", "pedo guy", "let's go to youtube" and with a bit more careful setting of expectations (not sandbagging, just more clear messaging of the insanely ambitious goals), we would have hit $400 easily already.
  14. S

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Troy seems to be accounting for model years in his estimates: Troy Teslike on Twitter
  15. S

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    It's the same car, it just appears blue when it's approaching the observer and red when it's speeding away.

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