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Recent content by willow_hiller

  1. willow_hiller

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Prior to the hiring freeze, Tesla was hiring people to collect Autopilot data for "prototype vehicles" during odd hours of the day: Tesla boosts its data collection team with hiring ramp for Prototype Vehicle Operators It would be a little strange to hire prototype vehicle drivers before they...
  2. willow_hiller

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    This has happened to me twice as well. I think the first was on 12.3.3, and a second on 12.3.4. Could be the model predicting that the traffic ahead of it won't move and it needs to turn the wheel a lot to make it around. Or maybe it's FSD trying to tell us that it's conscious.
  3. willow_hiller

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    That one was also directly refuted by Elon. The vehicle was in a rural area (no signal to transmit data), and the data recording unit was destroyed in the fire, but Tesla was able to confirm that the FSD Beta firmware was never downloaded to that employee's car in the first place: Also...
  4. willow_hiller

    FSD discussion

    I guess we'll see if this is an isolated misunderstanding, but their service center is standing firm, for the moment. I thought it might make sense that this change be made along with the reduction of FSD to $8k: https://www.reddit.com/r/TeslaLounge/s/Ve1Sl2RbSJ
  5. willow_hiller

    FSD discussion

    If this Reddit post is correct, Tesla has changed the expectations of what comes with the purchase of FSD again. Pre-spring 2019: FSD promised some higher forms of autonomy Pre-spring 2024: FSD came with the hardware retrofit necessary to use it
  6. willow_hiller

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Is it just me, or does V12.3.5 hesitate to turn there in rhythm with the light-bleed from the old HW2.5 repeater camera? When I bought FSD and had my car in the shop to install HW3, I also went ahead and paid a couple hundred dollars for the new repeater cameras without the light-bleed. Not...
  7. willow_hiller

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Maybe not ready to perform perfectly, but certainly more ready than an unconscious driver. We know that Tesla has been working on networks that watch the driver-facing camera for signs of drowsy driving. If they can get a network that can identify an unconscious driver with a reasonable degree...
  8. willow_hiller

    Autonomous Car Progress

    I was under the impression that certain maneuvers, like coming to a complete stop at a stop sign, had such little training data, that Tesla was supplementing it with employee collected data. Things like that, and Chuck Cook's UPL, which still to this day seems to have employees there collecting...
  9. willow_hiller

    Autonomous Car Progress

    V12 was trained primarily on employee-collected data, so I don't think we can assume they have no training data for a robotaxi neural net because there are no customer vehicles. Earlier this month, Tesla had public job listings for data collection from "prototype vehicles": Tesla boosts its...
  10. willow_hiller

    Autonomous Car Progress

    Far from it. Did you miss the fact that Ludlow titled his full piece "Elon Musk’s Robotaxi Dreams Plunge Tesla Into Chaos"? Bloomberg has done their best to spin it negatively, but I think this represents some genuinely interesting inside information on Tesla's development toward actual autonomy.
  11. willow_hiller

    Autonomous Car Progress

    This is probably worth discussing here. For years we have assumed that the version of FSD deployed to customer vehicles was the only version, and Tesla did not have a different version that would represent higher levels of autonomy quickly. Ed Ludlow is now reporting that Tesla does actually...
  12. willow_hiller

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    The user-collected data I'm talking about is the Google Form spreadsheet. Where anyone can submit their disengagement data and label it as a critical safety disengagement or not. I think it's fine to use that data to show there has been a reduction in disengagements from V11 to V12, but people...
  13. willow_hiller

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    This really reinforces @EVNow 's point about the user-collected disengagement data being too subjective to be useful. In this case, FSD: 1. Drove down a legal, empty lane 2. Tried to merge into a turn lane at the last minute 3. Was angled toward a curb at the moment of disengagement, but it was...
  14. willow_hiller

    Autonomous Car Progress

    Relevant XKCD:
  15. willow_hiller

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I think you might be overestimating the kind of intelligence that an AI system will need in order to safety drive a car. There's a computer scientist named Ajeya Cotra that does some interesting research on forecasting when AI will become transformative by comparing it to biological anchors. She...