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  1. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Now I'm scared to get 4.3, 3.6 been working well on my routes, don't want to mess it up Maybe I should just hold off for 12.6
  2. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Is it confirmed that 12.5 is the 5x model? Elon also mentions 12.6 from time to time
  3. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Do we have a source for this? I asked claude ai, and it says HW4 has a wideangle and telephoto front-facing camera.
  4. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    That's an interesting and plausible solution as well. It seems HW4 only has a wide-angle and telephoto front-facing camera. I guess the wide-angle can be cropped to simulate the "normal" camera in HW3. Your suggestion is more likely than mine :)
  5. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    The thought just occurred to me: If HW4 is emulating HW3, and HW4 is missing one of the front-facing cameras, then I assume Tesla is essentially disabling/not using one of the front cameras on HW3 cars to run V12? Tesla only trains 1 model for HW3, and uses the same model on HW4 cars. HW4 is...
  6. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Speed is a difficult problem, because people rarely follow the limits. Here in the Bay Area, we constantly see construction limits of 55mph, which nobody follows (people go 70mph+) because there's no construction going on most of the time.
  7. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    This whole part (~4 minutes) is very impressive, drives like a local:
  8. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    At least you didn't pay $14k for fsd :)
  9. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I must be a loser nerd because I was gushing with joy when this turn happened. 4.3 waited until the last second to seemlessly transition to the left turn instead of trying to go straight:
  10. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    12.4.3 is incredible, there are still some sticky issues like dealing with road closures and stop/light hesitation/freezing
  11. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Pretty obvious to me from the videos
  12. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Omar forgot about the one intervention here:
  13. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Why so? Most of the issues from that video are caused by Chicago's layers of streets. The nav doesn't understand which layer it's on. Based on all the videos I've seen, 12.4.3's main problem is freezing or hesitating at stops / lights. Otherwise, it's very good, way better than 12.3.6
  14. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    The yellow recommended sign literally says 20mph. I'd guess the white car was doing no more than 30mph. Plus the white car was the one who cut off the ego car earlier Like I said, no one is doing anywhere close to 40mph on that ramp. It's not "50mph limit" like you said.
  15. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    No one goes anywhere close to 40mph on that ramp, unless they were speeding / reckless. 23mph is totally appropriate
  16. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I really love the multiple yellow light behaviors here: no hesitation despite the complex intersections. Having driven in that area several times, it's confusing to get on the freeway:
  17. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Uh oh, Tesla is playing wack-a-mole
  18. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    It's questionable whether that maneuver is using the suicide lane as a merge lane. It was essentially one smooth wide left turn. I don't think nhtsa would be nitpicking this. But this is one of those things no one would agree on, so discussing it is pointless, my fault :)
  19. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    What stood out to me was that hw4 didn't stutter as much when turning or stopping. With hw3, when I look at my steering wheel, it turns then micro-slows down, then turns and so on, it's not one smooth turn
  20. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Hw4 was better than hw3 in my experience on ~12.3.4
  21. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I don't cops are bored enough to give people a ticket for using the suicide lane for an immediate merge. If people are driving inside the lane, then that's a different story.
  22. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    There's nothing wrong with the suicide lane behavior. It's good practice to turn into the suicide and immediately change out, especially when there's a lot of room, imo
  23. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    12.4.3 is the final last last chance for robotaxis on HW3! ... Until 12.6 that is
  24. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    This may be obvious to everyone already, but: 1) I think Tesla either has 2 teams or 2 branches of FSD approaches 2) On some major revisions, we see issues with blinking lights, and others, it's "solved" 3) And it keeps ping-ponging between these sorts of behaviors 4) The blinking lights is...
  25. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    The ChatGPT moment refers to initial release of ChatGPT, which I believe was gpt3
  26. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    "Us," including those who abuse it and then go cry to NHTSA :)
  27. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Is end-to-end fsd going to suffer the same asymptotic fate as V11? Time will tell
  28. powertoold

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I personally don't make decisions based on people's (often erroneous or misinterpreted) signaling, but then again I drive in the USA.
  29. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    My comment is based on some extreme wobbling I saw in one of Omar's earlier 4.1 videos. I'm not patient enough to find it right now, but it's the classic wobble between two lanes :)
  30. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Decision wobbling / lane indecisiveness seems difficult to solve Elon keeps saying this has been solved but there seems to be little to no progress on 4.1
  31. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    4.1 looks like a lot of unnecessary slowdowns and indecisiveness It's probably another 2 point releases until it's all sorted out
  32. powertoold

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Elon goes to China for FSD approvals -- oh! he's back and enticing us to vote for his comp plan Elon fires entire teams in middle of the night -- that's just Elon being Elon
  33. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    The wobble is the anti-robotaxi - solution isn't clear:
  34. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Just test drove 12.3.3 model Y HW4 at Tesla today It was noticeably smoother with stopping and accelerating than my old 2020 HW3 Y Part of it may be the improved suspension, but I felt like it was more than that The fsd 12.3.3 performance was very impressive on that HW4 Y... I can see why...
  35. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    12.3.3 is a regression for me vs 12.3.1, more disengagements in my area, more robotic motions once again
  36. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Glad u included a piece of your junk
  37. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I don't think Tesla will train on HW4 videos until they've reached a local maxima with HW3.
  38. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Elon confirms my thoughts about HW4 being run in emulation:
  39. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    During the first autonomy day, Elon responded to an analyst's question about whether he meant level 5, Elon answered "yes," although I don't think the acronym "SAE" was included in that response, but that's probably what he meant I don't know the specific time, but it was during q&a I believe...
  40. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    That's V11 though?
  41. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    12.3.1 improves curbing risk, but it still gets uncomfortably close
  42. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    End-to-end pretty much rules out L3 I guess they can run the V11 stack as the ODD referee, but it's a chicken and egg problem: if the V11 stack is good enough to reliably identify the ODD limits, then V12 should be able to handle it.
  43. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    After my post, I gave it some thought: 1) those who try the trial will have some residual interest in fsd 2) as fsd gets better in the coming months, the ones who finished the trial will have some lingering interest to try the future improvements, see how they're better than 12.3.1, which...
  44. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Curious decision to make 12.3.1 the ChatGPT moment. If there will be significant improvements within the next 1-2 months, why not wait until after those?
  45. powertoold

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Just fyi, Camera calibration is currently two parts 1) autopilot / NoA calibration - takes about 20-30 miles of highway 2) fsdb calibration - takes an additional ~20-30 miles of highway During calibration parts 1 and/or 2, it will seem like it's struck at a certain percentage for miles. It's...
  46. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    12.3.1 tends to speed up to the limit more liberally, but it also depends on how fast surrounding cars are going I don't think the slow speed issue is resolved, but it's improved with 12.3.1
  47. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Wow check out this 12.3.1 closed road handling:
  48. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    12.3.1's speed control is more robotic, but overall it makes fewer disengagement-worthy mistakes vs 12.3. I think 12.3.1 would have a lower tendency to curb the rims/wheels Also Tesla keeps tweaking the V11 highway stack, so 12.3.1 behaves differently vs 12.3, 3.1 tends to get in the rightmost...
  49. powertoold

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Pretty sure Ms Jill has HW3, I remember looking it up before, when she bought her Plaid