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  • TMC Podcast #11 will stream live Saturday at 1PM PDT. We will be joined by special guest JT Stukes, a former engineer at Tesla. You can watch it live and participate in the chat on YouTube. We will addressing viewer comments and questions. For more information, follow the TMC Podcast #11 thread.

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  1. S

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    This website does NOT work anymore. Look at the table below the graphic. It leaves out any strikes below 320 in the calculation, so of course calculated max pain is skewed to the upside. The website doesn't output useful data anymore since several weeks. I used it for years and it has been...
  2. S

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    The numbers are obviously nonsense as you can see my attached screenshot. Max pain would be 220. Below there is a table that shows the details of the graphs. ALL puts that are taken into consideration are out of the money. ALL calls that are taken into consideration are in the money. That...
  3. S

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    I'm looking for this friday's max pain. Neither Max Pain | Maximum-Pain.com nor Strike Pegger for QQQ work anymore. These are the two sites I used to work with. I can't seem to find any calculator that's still working. Does anyone know the background, why this is so? I guess, they might not have...
  4. S

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    I use this site since quite some time and I don't remember such strange output back then. Nowadays some maturities don't even exist, and others output pure garbage, even inside trading hours. Just look at TSLA's next week's maturity.....says max pain @440 based on absolutely no volume. My take...
  5. S

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    This website doesn't compute correctly before market open. Check back at open, and max pain should be around 300.
  6. S

    2017 Investor Roundtable: TSLA Market Action

    Not talking about stock. Holding onto my core stock tightly since 2011, and not planning to sell anytime soon.... I bought weeklies 1hr ago for some extra boost, and I HAVE to sell them before tomorrow close, because they expire by then... Usually I'm quite good at picking entrance points, but...
  7. S

    2017 Investor Roundtable: TSLA Market Action

    I did. A few. Now already up 33%. Now debating when to sell....
  8. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    from IB news-feed: Baird maintained Tesla Motors (TSLA) coverage with Outperform and target $338 Baird maintained Tesla Motors (TSLA) coverage with Outperform and target $338 Issuance Date: 2016-10-03
  9. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    True. FUDsters will come out. BUT at the same time some analysts will come out with upgrades as well, and their opinion might be worth more...so it might be net positive....watch out for analyst-upgrades early morning.
  10. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    seriously??? In times of disruption being on the side of disruption is waaaay less risky in my book than being on the side of being disrupted.... So, good luck with your bet.
  11. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    IB: still 79%, but now 197K shares available to short...
  12. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    exactly. It doesn't make sense...that's why I would be interested to know if other IB clients experienced the same. And if there is some reason behind, that's connected with the issue of the recalls...
  13. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    IB: 79% and 146K shares available.
  14. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    IB is currently at 79%. They pay their clients half of that. They did not lend out a single of my TSLA shares since August 17th, while they did before. It's counter-intuitive that in a time when the lending fees are huge and the supply is supposed to be scarce they are not lending out any of my...
  15. S

    Long-Term Fundamentals of Tesla Motors (TSLA)

    Paul is talking about warrants. I think he's talking about this one: Société Générale Effekten GmbH Call 16.12.22 TeslaMot 330 - SG73U1 - Optionsscheine | comdirect.de With a good broker you can buy it, even in the US, just plug SG73U1 into your trading plattform. BUT keep in mind, it is a...
  16. S

    TSLA Trading Strategies

    If the market doesn't see any other risk beside the vote, yes, then it should close that spread. BUT if there are still remaining uncertainties like lawsuits, SEC probings etc. then a spread will remain. The options should switch around the same time when SCTY stock ceases to exist (being...
  17. S

    TSLA Trading Strategies

    This should read: So these 9 options entitle this person to buy 9 * 11 TSLA common stock for 181.82 each = 99 shares.
  18. S

    TSLA Trading Strategies

    sure. Let's say sameone buys 9 SCTY March 20 calls. After the merger they will be converted to odd March 181.82 TSLA calls with an odd multiplier of 11 (instead of the 100 for standard-options). So these 9 options entitle this person to buy 9 * 11 TSLA options for 181.82 each = 99 Options. If...
  19. S

    TSLA Trading Strategies

    Appreciate your insights! I think it's highly likely that the deal goes through, but I'm not so confident in the timing, so I wouldn't bet on the positive merger vote release too soon . The 4 court cases seem to further delay everything. The uncertainty could stay in the market for even some...
  20. S

    TSLA Trading Strategies

    I'm not so sure about that. Puts in SCTY are pretty expensive. Even with a modest strangle (Jan17 18 call and Jan17 16put) I don't see an easy way to make money... I agree. But if it DOES go through the proceeds from the call will probably not be enought to pay for the then worthless put...
  21. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    One strange observation: I have a margin account with IB, so IB is allowed to lend out my shares (they receive 50% of the proceeds from lending, I receive the other 50%). They did so until August 16th. From there on they did not lend out a single TSLA share from my account. It seems very strange...
  22. S

    TSLA Trading Strategies

    I'm doing exactly that. My reasoning is the following: The Jan 17 SCTY calls at the money should roughly double if the merger goes through (provided TSLA stays where it is and the decision will be not too far into the future, in which case the calls would lose much of their time value). Risks...
  23. S

    TSLA Trading Strategies

    Only if they are very deep in the money (like almost 50%), as any remaining time-value will be lost.
  24. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Wall street is very short sighted. If it wasn't the stock price would already be waay higher.
  25. S

    Advanced TSLA Options Trading

    Jonathan, I like your strategy, I think it would have worked on several past occasions and should also work in the future. BUT I would be particularly careful with the Q3 numbers release. There is the real risk, that Q3 will be a blowout-quarter. We know Elon's Email, we know they are planning...
  26. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Interesting thought. I checked it on Tesla's website. The price in germany for a base Model S60 is EUR 76.600, incl. 19% VAT = EUR 64,369.75 without VAT. Still way above EUR 60.000, so I think the move is NOT tailored to germany.
  27. S

    12/2012 Model S P85 green, 48.7k miles, fully loaded $59,900, LA, lots of aftermarket-addons! PRICED

    Thanks bhz for making me aware of this issue. It was news to me. Fortunately it IS transferable. Tesla just issued a release about it: Tesla's Extended Service Agreement | Tesla Motors
  28. S

    12/2012 Model S P85 green, 48.7k miles, fully loaded $59,900, LA, lots of aftermarket-addons! PRICED

    12/2012 Model S P85 green, 48.7k miles, fully loaded $59,900, LA, lots of aftermarket-addons! PRICED TO SELL I'm selling my very much loved model S in excellent condition, because I will be out of country after mid march for quite a while. Would take it with me if it would make sense, but it...
  29. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    Max pain for today moved to 235 (from 230 yesterday and 227.50 earlier this week)
  30. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    not at all what I expected for this week. My theory was that the stock would move slowly and would be pinned around max pain at 227,50 on low volume by thursday. Sold some covered calls some days ago for the first time in a really long time... worst timing...
  31. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    ok, I found it on IB. For anyone who's interested: In IB TWS: Analytical tools/Option Analysis/open interest by strike. It can only go back about 6 weeks, and it doesn't display a chart, but one has to klick through single days. Not perfect, but the information is there...
  32. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    Very important piece of information! Thank's SBenson! How can you see that? Is there a publicly available Tool? I have IB. Is there a way to see it?
  33. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    CPO: yes. Showroom and loaners will be counted as new though. - - - Updated - - - If it's showroom- or loaner-inventory then it's new sale. If it's preowned, then not.
  34. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    this is really exciting. Tesla mobility could easily be the biggest part of the trio Tesla mobility / Tesla energy / Tesla motors.
  35. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    Elon basically just confirmed they are working on their own carsharing model...
  36. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    In order to short sell shares you need to borrow them from someone, usually a customer of the same brokerage. The above quote simply means that no scottrade-costomer wants to lend their TSLA-shares, or those who are interested in lending already did so. They receive interest for lending their...
  37. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    new secondary offering: Tesla Motors - Prospectus Filed Pursuant to Rule 424 - - - Updated - - - Premarket und TL0 in Frankfurt reacting slightly positive so far. Trading around 216.50 +- 2 EUR...or about 241 USD.
  38. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    why is TSLA trading in round numbers only for the last 13 minutes? 276-274-272-270-269-270-269-267-268-269-270,03 finally! :-)
  39. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    If you own both model s and stock: did you buy the Car first or the stock?
  40. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    with 80.000 shares traded preparket only...to me this looks like an engineered drop from someone who wants to accumulate TSLA. Will be interesting to see how the market opens.
  41. S

    2014 Q4 Earnings Report and Conference Call

    paraphrasing more: ...with relatively little dilution...
  42. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    I see 560K in IB today after hours.
  43. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    Gap-fill-theory...it basically says, that (almost) all gaps will be filled sooner or later. I think it's more a self-fulfilling prophecy. If enough people believe in it it becomes reality... no crystall ball here unfortunately... :-)
  44. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    we just closed the gap at 206.65 and are now free to move up. :-)
  45. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    We have a gap to fill at 206.65 My take is we will fill it very soon and move north from there... :-)
  46. S

    Audi, Porsche and Mercedes preparing a rival for Tesla

    This video is VERY telling: Audi E-Tron Engine Sound Engineering - YouTube "you have to find a great sound for the car, and that took us more than 3 years". My first thought was this video is a prank, but sadly, it's not...
  47. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2014

    this one: What Goes Into A Tesla Model S Battery--And What It May Cost
  48. S

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2014

    Feb 27 (Reuters) - Tesla Motors Inc <TSLA.O>: * Barclays raises price target to $220 from $180; rating equal weight
  49. S

    Social Chat - Short Term TSLA Movements

    I'll add a few more weeklies at the open. Just for the fun of it. Not too much though...timing will be everything here (especially with the exit), since it's not much time.

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