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  1. OPRCE

    Tesla releases big, new software update with Disney+, Car Wash Mode, remain connected to wifi, and more - 2021.24.x

    On 18th Aug I had a 2021.24.3 notification on the phone that it was downloaded & ready to update, but before I got around to starting it a few hours later, it had already be wiped out. I suspect this kind of urgent retraction only happens when there is a major malfunction affecting [AP] safety.
  2. OPRCE

    2020.36.12

    Ah, then definitely follow their recommendation!
  3. OPRCE

    2020.36.12

    I don't believe it makes any difference in that case.
  4. OPRCE

    2020.36.12

    Probably best not to do update while it's in the workshop, as it immobilises the vehicle for up to 45mins, which may cramp their style somewhat.
  5. OPRCE

    HW3 Install Time

    My upgrade (MS HW2.5 > 3) took 1hr50mins between dropoff & SMS notification to collect (on 6th May), then ~20km of driving on way home for camera calibration. Saved seat settings, browser favourites, etc., were all transferred to new HW. Overall a very smooth & painless process!
  6. OPRCE

    2020.28.1

    This one seems to be totally biased to Europe at the early stage, which raises suspicions ... that some more pain-in-the-arse UN/ECE regulations are being incorporated ... or (seeing is believing) actually fixed, like that idiotic 5s cutoff for indicating to overtake. Ah what the hell, am...
  7. OPRCE

    2020.24.6.4 !

    Only difference I noticed is that on reversing the camera now shows with the side-views up by default.
  8. OPRCE

    noob question - fsd vs ap?

    Yes, FSD has mostly not happened yet. According to Tweet today from Musk, the latest rewrite of AP/FSD code, to give the system an holistic 3D view of the world/obstacles, is nearing completion and could maybe get released to customers by EoY...
  9. OPRCE

    Tesla on AP hits police car

    Proper order that negligent drivers get hauled over the coals in court. AP is no valid excuse for causing easily avoidable collisions.
  10. OPRCE

    Just ordered FSD

    Re. HW3 upgrade, try booking it on the app, with no other repairs ... if they don't immediately cancel the appointment then it's probably going to go through. I booked on 24th Apr and had the upgrade on 6th May (in Switzerland tho) and know others who have done the same here. Things were...
  11. OPRCE

    2020.20.5 has improvements to GPS

    Nope, no connection to uBlox here.
  12. OPRCE

    2020.20.5 has improvements to GPS

    I've heard Karpathy several times in his presentations mention wheel-ticks, steering angle, etc, as some of the inputs they are working with for AP, so it appears the answer is yes. The uBlox Neo-M8L-05B DGPS unit used by Tesla is capable of CEP =1.5m in horizontal and =3m in vertical plane...
  13. OPRCE

    Will HW3 REALLY deliver FSD ? some questions

    Yes, can confirm this is true since I got the retrofit HW2.5 > HW3 in early May. On the same software [2020.12.1] the difference in smoothness [accel/decel] on motorway was quite noticeable. Also does not overshoot/oscillate into the exit lane nearly so much when leaving. In any case all of...
  14. OPRCE

    2020.24.6

    Yep, have noticed the same problem quite frequently. The only possible solution to this (in Europe) is that, if it is first up, FSD must stop the car up to 5m before reaching the line, such that all lights pertinent to that lane remain in view of the cameras.
  15. OPRCE

    Regen causing unintended acceleration, according to new study?

    This Belt character is a notorious crank who garbs his CTs in dense technobabble and has been on the same "sudden unintended acceleration" trip since the original Toyota hysteria. To call his output a "scientific article" is in itself extreme misinformation, whether done innocently or...
  16. OPRCE

    CVPR 2020 Workshop on "Scalability in Autonomous Driving" LIVE DISCUSSION

    Humans learn to drive without pinging radio pulses from their nose so why has Tesla been stuck in the local optimum of relying on a crappy radar, mainly to produce phantom braking events, for the last 4 years? Karpathy stated in Apr. 2019 that it's belatedly being used as a ground truth input...
  17. OPRCE

    Unlimited Free Supercharging MS Locked Out of Supercharger Network

    Yes, I am expecting something L4 by Jan.'24 on HW4.
  18. OPRCE

    Unlimited Free Supercharging MS Locked Out of Supercharger Network

    You're probably right, but waiting for FSD to shape up has rendered me somewhat apt to lash out! ;)
  19. OPRCE

    Unlimited Free Supercharging MS Locked Out of Supercharger Network

    Even without the attorney, a sternly-worded registered letter threatening legal action in default of satisfaction will have better effect and creates a paper-trail. It is more likely to be escalated for resolution than a phone-call to some service-desk where you must suffer as they work through...
  20. OPRCE

    Tesla 3 crashes into overturned truck on highway

    No, it's just that humans have an amazing ability to zone out of boring tasks where nothing remarkable usually happens for long periods. Then when something unexpectedly does, it takes a second to refocus and become aware of the need for emergency manoeuvres.
  21. OPRCE

    Unlimited Free Supercharging MS Locked Out of Supercharger Network

    Mine has shown a charge of €16.50 on console since one unremarkable supercharging event (among several) in Italy in Sept.2019, which I have never paid and free supercharging has never been interrupted. Certainly I wouldn't recommend paying it but would sooner send Tesla a registered letter (via...
  22. OPRCE

    Tesla 3 crashes into overturned truck on highway

    If that were tire smoke from an emergency braking, why did the car not pitch forward as force transferred onto the front wheels? Review the video: the aspect of M3 in the longitudinal horizontal plane remains absolute stable as it passes over this patch producing the spray. Which is impossible...
  23. OPRCE

    Tesla 3 crashes into overturned truck on highway

    There should be no smoke from tires, due to ABS, and braking with full force at that point should have (just about) stopped the M3 short of impact in any case. Someone remarked above that this "smoke" is probably spray generated from a fluid/powder spilled on the road by the truck when it...
  24. OPRCE

    Tesla 3 crashes into overturned truck on highway

    Yes, it seems to slow in the final 20m before impact, though with nothing like full emergency braking force.
  25. OPRCE

    Elon: "Feature complete for full self driving this year"

    Yes, I got my retrofit to HW3 on May 6th -- only differences so far are AP is noticeably smoother in acceleration/braking on motorway, IC visualisation of lights, cones & road-markings -- but stopping at lights is supposed (per Elon Tweet) to be activated in Q3.2020. Phantom-braking for...
  26. OPRCE

    Tesla 3 crashes into overturned truck on highway

    The fact that the M3 never deviated from dead-centre of the lane, even in the final 30m for the truck-driver who was stood intruding significantly into the lane to wave traffic down and had to jump back in the last second to avoid being clipped by the wing mirror, confirms for me that autosteer...
  27. OPRCE

    Tesla 3 crashes into overturned truck on highway

    Looks very much like the classic phenomenon that a tech-enthused Tesla driver was zoned out for at least 15 critical seconds while on AP @70mph, possibly relying on the "HillyBilly L3 Upgrade Package" aka an orange or whatever jammed in the steering wheel while tending to email. Luckily for...
  28. OPRCE

    Tesla 3 crashes into overturned truck on highway

    That sure looks like Los Pollos Hermanos in the 2nd pic ... Sleepy Driver could find an Easter Egg kilo of complementary meth lodged somewhere in his wreck after spraying down that irresistible sauce!
  29. OPRCE

    Will Tesla be able to deliver FSD with HW3.0 and current Model 3 sensor suite, ever?

    1. Try strangling it with one hand only! Just joking, but do realise the steering sensor relies on torque, not grip strength. With elbow resting on windowsill the weight of one hand at 9 o'clock is enough to keep it happy. 2. Also, handling stop signs & roundabouts are not activated yet in...
  30. OPRCE

    Will Tesla be able to deliver FSD with HW3.0 and current Model 3 sensor suite, ever?

    I notice on the FSD video from Apr.2019 that the car reaches 75mph on the outward highway leg but only 70mph on the return. Any ideas on why they would fix it like that?
  31. OPRCE

    Tesla Removing Features...

    Unsubtly hint to showroom staff that a lawsuit and/or intense news media interest will follow if Tesla's error (which equates to defrauding the current owner of $5k) is not satisfactorily resolved within 7 days, and ask them to pass it up the chain of command.
  32. OPRCE

    FSD or not FSD

    I bought FSD for $5k with the car in 2018, intending to hold it for 20 years. I expect it will achieve L4 with HW4 and a new 3D integrated radar sensor by Jan 2024. Meantime I got the upgrade to HW3 a fortnight ago and notice a significant improvement in AP, so am quite happy enough with the...
  33. OPRCE

    Coronavirus

    Sure but HCQ + Zinc are cheap as chips generics, thus much more widely available worldwide. I think in e.g. India, Turkey or Brazil, Remdesivir must be fairly scarce and/or prohibitively expensive. I believe in the former 2 countries, at least, HCQ is very much part of the treatment strategy...
  34. OPRCE

    Coronavirus

    Cheers for that! The paragraph immediately preceding your last quote is also interesting: i.e. the study suggests that the earlier zinc + HCQ combo is applied, the better the outcome. Of course this remains to be confirmed in a RCT, but I believe such studies are now underway, e.g. this one...
  35. OPRCE

    Coronavirus

    What do you think of this preprint re. retrospective NYC Hospital Study posted May 08, 2020? They claim it shows 1st in vivo evidence that adding Zinc Sulphate to HCQ + Azithromycin significantly improves outcomes for COVID19 patient (decreasing the need for ventilation, admission to the ICU...
  36. OPRCE

    2020.16.2.1

    It's about 3x the size of recent updates on HW2.5. 350MB would be typical in my experience.
  37. OPRCE

    Blog Tesla’s Next U.S. Factory Location Could Be Announced Next Month

    It reflects in the auto-worker accident statistics, wherein USA is comparatively horrific. I've personally seen examples over there (e.g. bodyshop at Ford, Kansas City) of how safety circuits were bridged out *in hard- and software* so that one could open a supposedly "foolproof interlocked"...
  38. OPRCE

    Blog Tesla’s Next U.S. Factory Location Could Be Announced Next Month

    I agree the State of Brandenburg is going the extra mile to expedite the GF4 project but "sweeping away union issues" is a non-starter in Germany. Such a plot between government and any auto-OEM would get the national car industry shut down pronto, by wildcat strike. More likely the government...
  39. OPRCE

    Blog Tesla’s Next U.S. Factory Location Could Be Announced Next Month

    Maybe it was tax-free for a few years or something along those lines, as an incentive?
  40. OPRCE

    Blog Tesla’s Next U.S. Factory Location Could Be Announced Next Month

    I don't know if Germany offered any free land but Tesla did end up paying €43M for the GF4 Grünheide site: Tesla Completed The Gigafactory Berlin's Land Purchase
  41. OPRCE

    Coronavirus

    Several distinguishing factors: 1. Germany had from the outset many more hospital/ICU beds per capita than USA. 2. Germany rapidly mass produced the WHO RT-PCR test kit, developed in 10 days by Charité University Hospital Berlin from the genome published online by China on 9th Jan, without even...
  42. OPRCE

    Coronavirus

    This is brilliant: Sarah Cooper on Twitter Also this one: SupiraPupiraBut on Twitter
  43. OPRCE

    Coronavirus

    The best place for catching COVID is clearly in a packed, indoor religious gathering lasting several hours: all the singing & praising at full tilt most effectively aerosolises whatever's in a sinner's lungs and the generally low rate of air exchange ensures everyone partakes in a maximum...
  44. OPRCE

    Coronavirus

    1. Yes, RdRp is produced only from the viral RNA, so should not be present in uninfected cells. 2. No, Remdesivir cannot be targeted only to infected cells, it goes basically everywhere via the bloodstream: "A 10mg/kg intravenous dose given to cynomolgus monkeys distributes to the testes...
  45. OPRCE

    Coronavirus

    Erratum: Austria recovered should read 10'214 (sorry!)
  46. OPRCE

    Coronavirus

    1. Resolved = dead + recovered = 1511+550 = 2061, of which 1511 died, gives resCFR = 73.3% 2. Yeah, all will be clear in several years, but from the data we have now, Sweden is trending in the wrong direction. 3. This policy of "acclimatisation" (a euphemism for "malign neglect") allows the...
  47. OPRCE

    Coronavirus

    Agree 100% specificity is nigh impossible but in mountain villages in Austria they do not care a toss for the opinions of FDA one way or t'other. A local hotel owner wanting to get his staff back to work asap bought the batch of (probably cheap'n'cheerful) quick-tests straight from allegedly...
  48. OPRCE

    Coronavirus

    "Mit den flächendeckenden Tests wurde am vergangenen Dienstag begonnen. Mittlerweile – Stand Freitagabend – wurden 456 St. Ulricher getestet, und fast die Hälfte weisen Antikörper auf. Über 2 Drittel der Getesteten sind zwischen 20 und 59 Jahre alt. Und wichtiges Detail am Rande: Fast ein...
  49. OPRCE

    Coronavirus

    This testing was organised by a local hotel chain which bought the quick-kits from Wuhan with an advertised 100% specificity (i.e. no false positives) for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies but do not explain how they validated that figure, thus they probably did not bother. I would reserve judgement until...
  50. OPRCE

    Coronavirus

    Some 80% of Sweden consists of uninhabitable mountain terrain covered by IKEA-trees. Most of the population is packed into a lowland coastal strip from Gothenburg to Stockholm, where the density is probably close to the Denmark figure.

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