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  1. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Elon away from Twitter for 4 days. Hope he enjoys his Twitter vacation time. We should all take example of him and don’t log on Twitter for 4 days ;)
  2. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I don’t believe anyone can predict anything short term but I like to listen to different theories and see in retrospect ;)
  3. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    That is exactly the stance taken by the day trader I know. From a technical analysis stand point he gives a 80% probability of TSLA bouncing to 900 by the end of next week. Can’t wait to see what he is using to support that. But if he’s right, I will listen more often to his calls.
  4. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    My autopilot always phantom brake at the same spot on the highway and has been constant at phantom braking at the same place every week for one year now. I have sent 52 times the « Bug Report » while holding the wheel scrollers. The day they fix it I buy FSD I promise.
  5. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    From a strictly investor perspective, FSD is worth the amount of money your car can make on Uber while you are not in the car minus maintenance fees minus repairs from people damaging the car minus taxes you have to pay at the end of the year. From a driver perspective, it is worth the hassle...
  6. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Do you know how much energy you save in the middle of the pack? 95% https://www.deingenieur.nl/artikel/racing-cyclist-in-peloton-saves-more-energy-than-previously-thought When I used to race sometime on flat portions of the race I had to brake when in the middle of the pack at 55kph to avoid...
  7. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    CPI should be considered a lagging indicator. Crude oil price is the real time indicator the market should follow. I hope the oil price goes down so ICE drivers start to have some extra money to put a down payment on a Tesla and able to make the payments if they finance it ;)
  8. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Last time it happened to me during the last run up I rolled as soon as the SP reached my strike price. I did not ask myself any questions and rolled without hesitation for a small credit. I managed to emerge and had to wait 3 months before closing them when the SP retraced and lost 3 months of...
  9. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Just the FOMOing caused by it
  10. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I sold 25x 900CC just before last run up, rolled them to 980 then 1030. Stock price reached 1150 so I abandonned and rolled them to 1500 in August. Closed them from when they were -99% when stock price reached $650. I learned to be patient with CCs. With Puts it’s different if they are not CSP...
  11. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Same situation as you. I told my financial advisor to liquidate part of my TFSA to finance the 2% purchase of a private company for this week because I wanted to keep my personal money liquidity available in case of a margin call if we broke support at $620 and went to $571. Now I am looking at...
  12. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I can tell you there are a lot of people buying this morning ;) Not me though, my last buy order was at $600 and never hit.
  13. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Many think it defines who they are and continue buying what their dad and grandfather was buying and feel a pride of being loyal to their legacy brand. Must be a way to justify their repeated wrong choice and share the responsibility of these bad choices for the planet over multiple generations...
  14. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    My 770CCs for this Friday are already an incredible -350% However, I learned I don’t care rolling CCs endlessly, they mean I never have to care about margin calls. Selling uncovered calls might be the most stressful thing ever.
  15. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    People don’t have kids anymore for multiple factors. It takes multiple years to get diplomation and pay back student loans. Youth is encouraged to consume Instagram way of life les sure and travel and enjoy life at young age. Early engagement has been discouraged by the easiness of moving one...
  16. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Nasdaq future up +1.5% The 5 indicators of one trader I know are indicating the likelihood of a rebound this week. Statistically speaking. I regret selling my 770CC Friday. Will roll them to next week up and out if he is right. good luck everybody for this week.
  17. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    And I had just the exact opposite experience 2 weeks ago at a restaurant with a colleague who hesitated between polestar and a Tesla. After we spoke, he pulled the trigger for the Tesla. He might have cancelled after but he seemed to esteem highly the achievements of Elon. I am just reaching the...
  18. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Now, this is the perfect example of an extremist post. No nuances
  19. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Happy Father’s Day to all fathers here. The gift I offer you all is a possible bottom in that crazy market.
  20. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Also Nasdaq futures are up The market almost got me bearish for next week but now I seem to see a Sunny ☀️ weather next week.
  21. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    That’s one other interesting point. What is factored in the stock market pullback right now? The highest CPI inflation rate in decades and a likelihood of recession. A friend texted me the other day to know what to do with his money. Invest now or wait once the recession is official. I told him...
  22. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    How low can the market can go before a rally, that is the question. Seems like every finance guru on YouTube is predicting this week or next week to be the bottom before Oil price reverse and that we reached peak inflation.
  23. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    It would be nice to have a run up before earnings for once. I don’t remember the last time it has happened. What was the percentage drop of TSLA during the start of the pandemic and over what period? Are we going to repeat that same chapter?
  24. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    This Monday when SP was 665 I sold 17/6 CCs 800 strike for $1.00 premium. I was expecting about the same for CCs I would sell on Friday for the next Friday with the same amount of days. For next week, I was just wondering why I had to go with a Strike $30 lower when the SP was $15 lower and got...
  25. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Elon even admitted in interviews himself he was wrong in retrospect sometimes. But as he said the goal is to try to be less wrong. At his defense, at the time with the information he had he always tried to take the best most informed decision he can. BTC could have been an edge to inflation when...
  26. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Friday I sold 24/6 770 CCs for a meager 0.75$ premium. Is it because there is a holiday during next week so one less DTE or is it because option buyers are loading in puts and the demand for calls has diminished?
  27. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    So you are saying that the TSLA stock price in the multiverse where Elon didn’t plan to buy Twitter and Tesla didn’t buy BTC, the stock price would still be around $650? Let me pull that data out tonight just gotta finish solving some little problem with strings theory and I’ll get back to you...
  28. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    A staff who worked in spine told me once: « I am always right, it’s even better when the other is wrong. » My philosophy is: « My wife is always right, it’s even better when I am wrong. »
  29. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    My wife has been repeating for one month now that all the Twitter drama and Elon tweeting frequently is hurting shareholders more than helping the world to transition to sustainable energy. I couldn’t disagree with her, because she is my wife of course. I wish to think there will be some way...
  30. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    85% probability of tomorrow being green day since the VIX has spiked so statistically 85% chance of recovery. We will see if the trader I know has good indicators to predict the market actions. He says his 5 indicators give him a 70% probability of success on every trading day. Nasdaq future...
  31. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    There was a period where all the shorts that pushed down the value of the company really affected him. When he reinvested 15M in Tesla and 15M in SpaceX during the subprime crisis he you see them in interviews how much pain he endured when he compared starting a company to chewing glass looking...
  32. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    When I had reached my retirement goal when the stock market was at all time highs everything at work that made me finish later or go to sleep late pissed me off. Now that I have lost more than 60% of that, I tolerate all the paperwork and punishment way better. It solved a big hesitation I had...
  33. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    https://fortune.com/2022/06/16/elon-musk-spacex-tesla-258-billion-lawsuit-alleged-dogecoin-pyramid-scheme/amp/ Now I totally get why Elon wants to create a permanent legal department in-house. This world is now full of crazy unreasonable people.
  34. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    You were right -4% premarket, already.
  35. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Summer rally knocking at our doors?
  36. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Sold my first CCs in 4 months and the stock goes up against me Will do that more often
  37. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    You are right I need to sleep. Thanks for correcting my post
  38. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I asked that questions couple months ago and we came to the conclusion there was not any definitive rule or formula. The less intrinsic value there is left the higher the assignment risk. I don’t know if it is linear however l had suggested we put all our assigned contracts on a Google doc sheet...
  39. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Just rolled my -p1050 from July to September. My breakeven Price is 850. I did not want to roll too further out but did not want to risk early assignment . I don’t know if 3 months is safe but I was playing with fire entering the last 20 DTE with almost no more intrinsic value left.
  40. OrthoSurg

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Yesterday during a conference I was talking to a sports med guy in his early sixties who was talking about TSLA stock dropping but being one of the greatest company out there. I was silent while he was speaking. He was answering to the pharmaceutical rep who said their stock was down hard. Then...
  41. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    If we are down 7% on red days and up 0.13% on green days while XPEV is +7% and Nio is +13%, I will start to have liquidity issues. The stock has to recover at some point. Sold all my Bitcoin and Ethereum in February, don’t like the fact that crypto is capping my most profitable stock in my...
  42. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    My wife keeps telling me TSLA can’t go down much more because it is the greatest company of a generation. She’s a permabull. I tell her all the time she is right and the market is wrong.
  43. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Every video I watched in the last month was about how we were going to have a reversal soon. However it must have been in the multiverse where the CPI reading was 2.3%
  44. OrthoSurg

    Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency and Blockchain Discussion Thread

    And I thought I dropped all my Bitcoin and Ethereum at the lowest the day the Ukrainian war started in February to buy more TSLA at 650 after. Little did I know it was the right move to do. Transferred 100k to my brockerage account and waiting for my last buy order of 600 shares to hit then I...
  45. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    And Nasdaq Futures are green 0.75% May tomorrow be another green day so my pay check finally arrives to offer some margin support to my Really DITM puts. I am about to be the owner of many many many new shares of TSLA by next months if the SP doesn’t reverse dramatically. I increased my...
  46. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I have the same capitulation feeling. That must be a great contrarian indicator. I am 1 week away to sell super agressive CCs to make the SP reverse like last time right after the start of the war.
  47. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Do support levels still matter in full blown bear markets or do they have a chance to form the neck lines of a reverse head and shoulder @dl003
  48. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    So, SPY officially -20% since January. Officially a bear market. This is my first bear market. Does it mean we will have lower highs and lower lows for the next 2 years or we might get out of this bear market any time at any point as soon as CPI numbers are reassuring?
  49. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Sold my CCs for this Friday with Strike of 800. Last time I sold CCs they got steam rolled and had to roll them to 1150 after 3 weeks
  50. OrthoSurg

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Looks like we are going back to test 620

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