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  1. FredTMC

    Wiki Sudden Loss Of Range With 2019.16.x Software

    Oh wow. The Service Center verbally told you that the reduced range is to “reduce the possibility of car fires”. Wow. That’s exactly as Jason believes. Me too. Thanks for sharing
  2. FredTMC

    Wiki Sudden Loss Of Range With 2019.16.x Software

    Can you provide URLs for the correct equipment? Cable and monitor... Thanks!
  3. FredTMC

    Wiki Sudden Loss Of Range With 2019.16.x Software

    I did NOT get a drop on my 60kwh model S after the 2019.16.1 update. I get 168mi RR at 90% charge I currently have 115k miles on the ODO
  4. FredTMC

    Wiki Sudden Loss Of Range With 2019.16.x Software

    Not if the new slower supercharger charging reduces the dentrite growth
  5. FredTMC

    Wiki Sudden Loss Of Range With 2019.16.x Software

    Here’s what’s happening IMO 1). Tesla is limiting the supercharging rate in all cars before 2017. Why? Dentrites can form at high charge rates. 2). Some percentage of these cars likely have cells with Dentrites due to their charging history. So Tesla is limiting the max voltage on these...
  6. FredTMC

    Wiki Sudden Loss Of Range With 2019.16.x Software

    That was just my wild ass guess. 5000. Based on Tesla saying range was clipped on a very small percentage of owners. Actual number of cars that hit range clipped is unknown. Except by Tesla
  7. FredTMC

    Wiki Sudden Loss Of Range With 2019.16.x Software

    Yes. The slower supercharger charging rate isn’t the big issue. It’s for safety so I get it. Oh well. BUT a small percentage of cars had their actual range clipped by 10-30 miles! That has affected people really upset. I can’t blame them. I have an affected friend too. I think...
  8. FredTMC

    Wiki Sudden Loss Of Range With 2019.16.x Software

    Thanks. Well actually I believe ALL cars 2016 and older are impacted. I think Tesla has slowed the supercharger charging rates on all these cars. They did this to reduce the chance of a cell developing short circuit inducing Dendrites. Furthermore, some percentage of these cars ALSO had...
  9. FredTMC

    Wiki Sudden Loss Of Range With 2019.16.x Software

    Yes. Tesla’s first priority is they don’t want cars to catch fire. Hence the throttling The big question is how many cars are affected? My guess is all cars of certain years. They all use the same cell chemistry Would be nice if it was just SOME percentage/batches of cells produced during...
  10. FredTMC

    Wiki Sudden Loss Of Range With 2019.16.x Software

    Oh brother. Of COURSE one cell had an internal short and it propagated from there. Look, if I inflate a bunch of balloons to just below their bursting pressure and then put them out into the hot sun, you can’t accurately predict which balloon will pop first. That’s the situation with the...
  11. FredTMC

    Wiki Sudden Loss Of Range With 2019.16.x Software

    Interesting theory about a single “bad” module. I don’t agree though. Not in the slightest. Remember that Tesla is trying to avoid a safety issue by not pushing cells too hard - Via Slower charge rate and capping the max charge voltage. I suspect all the cells in the pack are at risk...
  12. FredTMC

    Wiki Sudden Loss Of Range With 2019.16.x Software

    5,000 and $20k is arbitrary assumption. Could be 50,000 cars or more As far as battery cost, the cells in your pack are FUBAR. There’s no refurbishing them. They have a fire safety issue. They are throw away. Likewise the Electrics are probably outdated too. The battery pack shell can...
  13. FredTMC

    Wiki Sudden Loss Of Range With 2019.16.x Software

    Let’s say there’s 5,000 affected cars. At $20k replacement cost for each pack, that’s $100m of exposure to Tesla. Hence, we’ve got Tesla capping battery packs via firmware.
  14. FredTMC

    Wiki Sudden Loss Of Range With 2019.16.x Software

    Has it been determined how Tesla determined which cars are affected? and they then limit battery capacity on those cars “for safety”...
  15. FredTMC

    Wiki Sudden Loss Of Range With 2019.16.x Software

    If there’s 100 people currently reporting, than the actually number affected is probably thousands
  16. FredTMC

    Wiki Sudden Loss Of Range With 2019.16.x Software

    Omg. I’m sorry. That’s horrible. I wonder why my car wasn’t affected. Early early car
  17. FredTMC

    Wiki Sudden Loss Of Range With 2019.16.x Software

    I’m shocked by this max Rated Range data points of 165 miles. I’m still getting 188 miles at 100% charge. I have a 2013 Model S 60 has ~115K miles. Original battery (208 when new).
  18. FredTMC

    Elon Musk vs. Short sellers

    Great post. So, Q2 financials may be a little better than expected. Q3 will be profitable. Q2 profit is likely out of reach IMO
  19. FredTMC

    Elon Musk vs. Short sellers

    Doesn’t Jesse have another post coming? TIA
  20. FredTMC

    4 year old Model S: what does the future hold?

    Nice. Same for me. I have 100k miles now. Similar warranty items MCU failed at about 90K. $2500 LOVE the car. Didn’t buy the warranty either.
  21. FredTMC

    Slower supercharging on Model 3

    No.
  22. FredTMC

    Slower supercharging on Model 3

    Haven’t looked yet. I’ll try
  23. FredTMC

    Articles/megaposts by DaveT

    I’ll schedule with Dave to do a side by side drive comparison between our two Model 3s. Only spec difference is I have sport wheels. I disappointed to hear that Dave says his cabin is louder than mine Mine is pretty darn quiet at freeway speeds
  24. FredTMC

    Slower supercharging on Model 3

    Car is great. Same opinions as the Electrek view by James (red 3)
  25. FredTMC

    Slower supercharging on Model 3

    My Model 3 charged at 116kw from a fairly low charge up thru 50% full. It rolls off slowly after about 2/3s full I don’t have the full curve plottedbut it’s not bad at all
  26. FredTMC

    Articles/megaposts by DaveT

    Thanks Dave. I completely agree. My son and I are blown away
  27. FredTMC

    Model 3 Deliveries

    We took delivery today at Marina Del Rey Great experience Great car. Had fun. Son loves it.
  28. FredTMC

    My delivery is on for tomorrow!

    I can’t be far behind. I’ve had VIN 1978 since Dec 8th. No call yet though
  29. FredTMC

    Articles/megaposts by DaveT

    Thx Dave. I assume same for me. Until I get confirmation from my DS I’m VIN 1978 The VINs 1960-2003 all appear to be blue cars. I’ve heard 1977 and 1989 were spotted already in Fremont. I assume mines in transit to SoCal
  30. FredTMC

    Supercharger - San Clemente, CA (LIVE 18 Nov 2017, 20 stalls)

    I was there yesterday. Buddy of mine brought his MS by also. Ten cars total.
  31. FredTMC

    Pictures of production Model 3s

    gg is a long term, well respected TMC member. I’m fine with his report.
  32. FredTMC

    Supercharger - San Clemente, CA (LIVE 18 Nov 2017, 20 stalls)

    I was there this morning. Techs had covers off all the pumps. Installing parts
  33. FredTMC

    Supercharger - San Clemente, CA (LIVE 18 Nov 2017, 20 stalls)

    Wouldn't surprise me if "correctives" are pretty Minor at San clemente... Why? Inspector scheduled tomorrow for final approval.
  34. FredTMC

    Supercharger - San Clemente, CA (LIVE 18 Nov 2017, 20 stalls)

    Another "final" City inspection on Thursday. Looks like their were corrections required from Monday inspection
  35. FredTMC

    Supercharger - San Clemente, CA (LIVE 18 Nov 2017, 20 stalls)

    20 live pumps are better than 21 dead ones.
  36. FredTMC

    Supercharger - San Clemente, CA (LIVE 18 Nov 2017, 20 stalls)

    I don't think they are filling that in with concrete. Nursery guys were there today.
  37. FredTMC

    Supercharger - San Clemente, CA (LIVE 18 Nov 2017, 20 stalls)

    Site is DONE. But pumps have yellow “crime scene” ribbon between them Looks to me like tesla is waiting to launch on Thursday. As suggested by others Tried to charge. No juice.
  38. FredTMC

    Supercharger - San Clemente, CA (LIVE 18 Nov 2017, 20 stalls)

    Utility trucks there now. It's going down for real, kids
  39. FredTMC

    Supercharger - San Clemente, CA (LIVE 18 Nov 2017, 20 stalls)

    Hmmm. I drove by today. I'm now thinking it won't be very long. Seems there ARE transformers installed. So with City inspection tomorrow, possibly only thing left is Utility hooking to meters. We will see I could be way off base. Impossible to tell how much utility needs to do or their...
  40. FredTMC

    Supercharger - San Clemente, CA (LIVE 18 Nov 2017, 20 stalls)

    Ya. Once they're on site, it takes like a day or two
  41. FredTMC

    Supercharger - San Clemente, CA (LIVE 18 Nov 2017, 20 stalls)

    Talked to construction guy today. They are basically done and cleaning up Same crew did Burbank Now the utility will connect power soon and we will have final inspection before energizing the station. Don't expect this within days. Could take weeks
  42. FredTMC

    Supercharger - San Clemente, CA (LIVE 18 Nov 2017, 20 stalls)

    Thanks Randy! Didn't know that. Great to hear from you Kind regards.
  43. FredTMC

    2017 Investor Roundtable:General Discussion

    What a jerk. This guy MUST know the value this big battery provides. Here's some: Sinks energy from the Wind Farm to be used later. Smoothes out power spikes. Helps prevent blackouts Makes renewables operate more like "base load" than "peaker" plant
  44. FredTMC

    Supercharger - San Clemente, CA (LIVE 18 Nov 2017, 20 stalls)

    The contractor is getting close it seems to completing their work I thought they might first energize the bank of 9 pumps against the garage. Those stalls have parking lines painted and parking "bump stops" installed. It WAS further along than the 12 stalls. Now it seems they'll energize...
  45. FredTMC

    2017 Investor Roundtable:General Discussion

    Worked on my Mac... That video is only like a minute long. Is there a full length interview?
  46. FredTMC

    2017 Investor Roundtable:General Discussion

    I can't watch video. I get stuck at the damn video Ad Pre-roll. Apple IOS

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