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  1. anticitizen13.7

    Lunar BFR Mission - 1st Manned Lunar Mission since 1972

    It looks like the front window design from the original ITS has returned to this iteration of the BFR design. The engine array is also surrounded by what appears to be a circle of movable petals. There’s speculation on Reddit that this allows the same rockets to be used in vacuum or...
  2. anticitizen13.7

    SpaceX F9 - Telstar 18V - SLC-40

    Thanks for the screen captures SMAlset. I wasn’t able to watch live. Congrats on another mission success, SpaceX!
  3. anticitizen13.7

    SpaceX F9 - Telstar 18V - SLC-40

    I'm seeing on Reddit that the weather for Sunday is still only 60%, and that the waves are pretty high: Telstar 18V / APStar 5C Launch Campaign Thread • r/spacex
  4. anticitizen13.7

    SpaceX F9 - Telstar 18V - SLC-40

    SpaceX on Twitter Static Fire complete. Launch scheduled for September 8.
  5. anticitizen13.7

    How do you open your Model 3 doors?

    I think the same with left hand should work on passenger side too.
  6. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    A recurring theme I see from bears recently is unwarranted certainty: "X happened so Y is going to result". I caution everyone, regardless of bullish or bearish outlook, not to expect specific short term stock price moves based on certain events. Over the past 5-6 years, I've seen a lot of...
  7. anticitizen13.7

    Thinking about creating a family trust for Martian colonization

    I believe there's a good possibility that much of America, and Planet Earth more broadly, goes to hell in a handbasket in the coming decades. I see the future of Earth as looking something like it does on the SyFy (now Amazon Prime) series 'The Expanse', where a privileged class has all the...
  8. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    There is something that people here should know, as to WHY Elon Musk could be reacting in a very emotional manner to the diver: Inside the Complicated Relationship Between Elon Musk and His Estranged Father, Errol Musk “Elon Musk—the billionaire co-founder of highly-influential companies such...
  9. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    The BuzzFeed email and Mike117’s conduct here at TMC are separate issues.
  10. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Mike117 has already been exposed as both a liar and a troll. See this excellent observation by @Skryll: TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable, where he caught Mike117 first claiming to have bought $250 Puts, and then in a later post stating that he did not have any TSLA puts.
  11. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    FirebirdAlpha wasn't able to provide any response to my observation that Tesla eventually exceeds expectations (like delivering 50k Model S/year vs. original projection of 20k/year), just never on Elon Musk's stated timelines. Many of the retail level short sellers, or people who just hate...
  12. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Anyone who knows anything about software engineering will know that "promises" on when a software project will be done, are essentially worthless, no matter who makes them. History is littered with examples: MacOS Copeland. Never delivered by Apple. Windows Vista. 3 years late. Microsoft...
  13. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    It is a bad mistake on your part to say that we all "trust" Elon's guidance on his timelines. I have been following Tesla for about 10 years now, and I observe 2 things: (1) Elon Musk's guidance should almost always be disregarded on the matter of the timing of when something will happen...
  14. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    If you've been reading and posting at Macrumors as long as I have, you'd probably believe that iPhone has the worst build quality of any phone in the mobile industry, and that Apple has terrible logistics that can't get enough phones to Apple Stores in the Fall. Just some of the iPhone...
  15. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    General sentiment on other web communities like Arstechnica and Reddit is still shaky. At the retail investor level, I believe that the vast majority of players are sitting on the sidelines, while Bulls and Bears are digging in on their positions. My expectation is that TSLA continues to...
  16. anticitizen13.7

    New theory - Elon is shorting the stock

    I downvoted his post because the idea is stupid and would be too difficult to carry out given the immense regulatory scrutiny on publicly traded companies. Even Barklikeadog, a consistent Tesla detractor here, finds it implausible. And no, Elon Musk is not a "benevolent being". Anyone with...
  17. anticitizen13.7

    Tesla is an Undervalued Growth Juggernaut

    The lesson I take away from Amazon is that the path to viability and massive success is sometimes not obvious. I did not follow Amazon closely in the 2000's, so I was not paying attention to their growing technology and business in the cloud space (Amazon Web Services). Nobody today can say...
  18. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Twitter's explicitly public nature makes it a cesspool of trolling, doxing, and just about every other kind of awful behavior one can find on the Internet. Many of my friends stopped using Twitter years ago due to privacy concerns and harassment. It works great as an RSS feed of sorts, but I...
  19. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    I agree that Elon should use far more discretion in his responses when people say petty things on Twitter, but I am not sure that his behavior will change. It seems that several of his colleagues have already recommeded that he stop tweeting. He admitted in an interview that he should...
  20. anticitizen13.7

    Hidden profiles should be disallowed

    As far as I know, the Moderators don't have the power to address site-wide administrative issues. This is something that has to be taken care of by Admins, if the forum software package allows it. I've reported people for "dislike spamming", where another forum member searches my old posts...
  21. anticitizen13.7

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Although you are getting a lot of 'disagrees', I think that as a general investment matter, your move makes sense. Anyone who already has enough money, and is nearing retirement, should be lowering their risk exposure. I do 'disagree' with some of your reasons though. Tesla has always been...
  22. anticitizen13.7

    Elon Musk

    His hair looks a lot different. That’s it. Elon’s demeanor is unchanged from how he normally behaves in interviews and event videos.
  23. anticitizen13.7

    Hidden profiles should be disallowed

    Another problematic issue is that accounts with hidden profiles cannot be reported for abuse. While individual posts can still be reported, this is sometimes not effective if a particular account needs to be reviewed in its entirety for issues like spamming.
  24. anticitizen13.7

    Elon Musk

    Elon Musk had a live, videotaped interview with Marques Brownlee on the same day he spoke to The NY Times: In the 18 minutes of interview footage, Musk’s demeanor is completely at odds with the NY Times’ portrayal of his condition that day.
  25. anticitizen13.7

    buy TSLA stock or Model 3?

    From a purely financial perspective, keep the Prius and buy TSLA stock. Selling an almost-new Prius and buying a Model 3 is a double financial hit: you'll take a big loss on depreciation from the Prius, and you'll be incurring the cost of a much pricier Model 3. The environmental benefit of...
  26. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    It’s my observation that the average person has no idea how much a CEO of a corporation or a small business owner works. Indra Nooyi, who recently retired from a successful tenure as CEO of PepsiCo, was very open about the personal toll the job took on her life: Why PepsiCo CEO Indra K...
  27. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    It’s my belief that American society is generally in a confused frenzy as the current order breaks down. The symptoms are similar to what happened when the USSR collapsed in 1991: people feeling purposeless, declining standards of living for the masses while oligarchs pillage the economy, and...
  28. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    The amount of hatred and gloating on Ars Techica and Reddit regarding the NYTimes article was beyond anything I can remember. The allegations by the Times are feeding a herd mentality against Tesla in the mainstream. I recommend that people go against the herd mentality. When herd fear is...
  29. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    The fact that the FUD is getting more and more ridiculous, and less about Model 3 production or Tesla’s quarterly reports, suggests to me that anti-Tesla enties are running out of maneuvering room.
  30. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    NASDAQ Market as a whole is down. I monitor other stocks, some hit harder than TSLA on % basis. IMO price move is mostly market driven right now.
  31. anticitizen13.7

    Mobileye's Self Driving Car is unbelievably good

    Who cares? What this is really about is you wanting people to believe that you are “right”. It has always been about this.
  32. anticitizen13.7

    Mobileye's Self Driving Car is unbelievably good

    In the full context of all your posts in this thread, is how. Your original post says: Tesla is not the only competition for Mobileye, not by a long shot. As a former MBLY shareholder, I had and still have very high regard for their technology. However, that demo does not necessarily make...
  33. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    My belief is that Elon (1) isn't that manipulative, and (2) knows that stock prices can be difficult if not impossible to manage like this. Elon usually appears to say crazy things, like wanting to start a tunneling company or sell flamethrowers, but it turns out later that what he said, was...
  34. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Tesla's execution right now justifies a price of $365/share under my current models, which assume highly probable achievement of selling 100k Model S/X per year, and 400k Model 3 per year, as well as some Energy products in the mix. My next Price Target is $670/share, but this is a...
  35. anticitizen13.7

    "Going Private = Forced Liquidation" for many Investors

    This is exactly the issue I am trying to figure out. So far, according to everything I've read, from the published SEC regulations to the opinion of experts in the area of securities law and regulation, suggests that there is no way for ordinary, non-"accredited" investors, to hold on to their...
  36. anticitizen13.7

    "Going Private = Forced Liquidation" for many Investors

    Another question I have: It is common knowledge that SpaceX employees (many of whom, especially at the entry level, are likely not "Accredited Investors" IMO), receive SpaceX stock and stock options. How do SpaceX employees get around the "Accredited Investor" regulations when they acquire...
  37. anticitizen13.7

    "Going Private = Forced Liquidation" for many Investors

    I believe that the Accredited Investor "problem" is something that retail investors should be watching closely. I've collected some basic resources, directly from the SEC and U.S. government, for people to read: Definition of an "Accredited Investor": Explanation in plain language: Investor...
  38. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    I don't believe that shorts will give in easily, but I think there are 2 things that will accelerate covering: (1) Tesla gives more specifics on the privatization plan. Right now, all we have is Elon's tweet and a letter from Tesla's board stating that the matter has been under discussion...
  39. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    If you’re at the point where you are pinning your hopes on a lawyer, you’re screwed. I’ve witnessed firsthand what happens when a business related dispute goes south and lawyers get involved. The only winners are the lawyers. It sucks. The only thing to do when it’s over is to “Press F to...
  40. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    The honest truth: because we can afford to spend the $$$$$ on &[email protected] and giggles and wish to do so.
  41. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    If your expecting your imaginings to save you, a good outcome for you is unlikely.
  42. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Ashlee Vance's biography of Elon Musk has a copy of an email in Appendix 3, on page 377, regarding SpaceX stock. The email is dated June 7, 2013, with subject "Going Public". In this email, Musk discusses his negative experiences in managing Tesla and SolarCity as public companies. He says...
  43. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    I don't remember either. My only recollection was that I was caught off guard, but not surprised, by the Intel acquisition announcement. I am pretty sure that a rumored deal had not been priced into MBLY shares at the time (I held a very small stake in the company back then).
  44. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    (1) I’ve seen some questions about why TSLA didn’t jump all the way to 420. I believe that this reflects some uncertainty as to whether the privatization deal will actually happen. When Intel bought Mobileye last year, the tender offer was something like $63/share. The market price jumped...
  45. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    420 = pot/marijuana slang. I’d wait for confirmation.
  46. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    I saw that person with 75k in put options from 4 days ago, and those options are now basically worthless. r/wallstreetbets was in pandemonium last night, with people writing things like "RIP" and "Press F" as their Robinhood account balances cratered. I haven't checked r/RealTesla, but it...
  47. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    The r/wallstreetbets crowd (mostly retail investors) had a lot of advance notice, so I do not feel too bad for them. Elon warned on June 17th: "They have about three weeks before their short position explodes" - Elon Musk on Twitter He's about 3 weeks late on that prediction, but this is par...
  48. anticitizen13.7

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    It should be a good Autumn harvest and then a very good New Year if Tesla keeps on moving like this.
  49. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    The hilarious thing about WSB is that most of the people there are ordinary guys like me, but they pretend to be the Wolf of Wall Street. Many seem to be trying to get rich quick on YOLO plays, which almost always fail. I think most people there would acknowledge that a lot of it is a joke...
  50. anticitizen13.7

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    People on r/wallstreetbets are losing their $&#% over the conference call and after hours price action. A number of people got whacked real bad on puts... some bought on margin. I would post the link but the obscene and offensive language is not family friendly!

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