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  1. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Russian doctrine makes heavier use of artillery than western countries. But Russian guns tend to have short barrel lives. I have seen some stories of Russian gun barrels bursting from metal fatigue. When that happens it's a bad day for the gun crew. NATO artillery have a barrel life of a few...
  2. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Mick Ryan has an analysis of how little the Russians have accomplished the last two months. Thread by @WarintheFuture on Thread Reader App I looked up the situation report for April 20 (day 55) and today. April 20 Today The only gains are incremental. Those few miles of land in the Donbas...
  3. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    I expect the 155mm are being used to take out vehicles and the HIMARS are being used to take out supply infrastructure. I smell the Turks were bought off with some sort of deal. In the end I think the alliance will be stronger.
  4. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    The Ukrainians are making an art of using what they have effectively. An analysis by Phillip O'Brien Thread by @PhillipsPOBrien on Thread Reader App The HIMARS are wreaking havoc with Russia's supply system. Trent Telenko has been tracking Russia's artillery shell burn rate and he thinks...
  5. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    She clearly doesn't have a clue about how military build ups work. When a country builds up troops on a border lie Russia did, there is a 100% chance they intend to use them. I don't know of a single instance when a country built up forces like that and didn't invade. There are always those...
  6. wdolson

    Coronavirus

    My partner may have had a very short bout of BA.4 or BA.5, or it may have been something else. She started getting a headache late afternoon, then she got really stuffed up, a few hours later her digestive tract was bothering her too. Then about 6 hours after the headache started, he sinuses...
  7. wdolson

    Tesla Supercharger network

    Wow! Sutherlin is also the perfect distance for me when going to California. I've had to stop in Springfield and Grants Pass until that one opened. I can now skip a supercharger next time I go.
  8. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    They were launched from ships in the Caspian Sea. Most of Russia's missiles hitting behind the front lines in Ukraine the last month have come from ships. The Russians are trying to make a statement at the G7 summit. Russia's only hope for victory is for the west to give up and quit arming...
  9. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    The Iskanders have been mostly quiet for over a month now, just the occasional missile launched at Ukraine. Probably that's their current production volume with all their pre-war inventory used up. Putin is stripping Belarus of all its useful weapons and ammunition. Lukashenko probably...
  10. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    I saw something, I think by Trent Telenko where he was running some numbers for Russian artillery usage and he came up with a burn rate that was many times the entire world's capacity to make artillery shells. I've read about at least one false flag attack the Russians did and several others...
  11. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    All evidence seems to indicate the Ukrainians are slowly gaining ground around Kherson. This Dr Snekotron is either in bed with the Russians or deluded. Mark Hertling on the other hand uses his real name and has told the world his background. He is a retired US Army general and one of his...
  12. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Scroll down to the section labeled The Facts Fact Check: Does Russian ruble rise prove Western sanctions don't work? Russia is unable to import much right now, but they are still selling oil and gas. They are accumulating large reserves of currency that is essentially worthless where they need...
  13. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    From what you write I can see you're familiar with the political compass. At least in the media the most pro-Putin sources in the US are pretty much all on the right. But I agree left-right is probably not the right axis to use. There are true libertarian people on the right end of the...
  14. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    And now it's time to scoot... For some it isn't so much pro-Russian sentiment, but sentiment against their own government. Some people have so many problems with their own government that anybody opposed to them is a "good guy" while others condemn both. That seems to be the sentiments among...
  15. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    The reason the US government is arming Ukraine aligns with humanitarian reasons. There probably is some humanitarian motive but it is also within the best interests of the United States, NATO, and the EU that Russia be kneecapped for what they did. The rules of the world since the late 1940s...
  16. wdolson

    Tesla BEV Competition Developments

    I'm probably the only person in the world who went from a Roadmaster to a Model S. Especially since I bought it new in 1992. I glossed the levels before replying, but didn't read them in enough depth. This definition of Level 4 says Bolding added by me. Right now the circumstances where L4...
  17. wdolson

    Elon Musk

    The US has quite a bit of public education, but the predominantly private health care does make the US both more expensive and give poorer overall results for many areas of medicine than other countries with a public healthcare model, but every country feels a constant strain over rising cost of...
  18. wdolson

    Elon Musk

    Actually what reduces birthrates is not industrialization, but reduction in infant mortality. Even in the least industrialized countries, as child mortality dropped, women had fewer kids. The problem China is facing is with elder care as the population shrinks. With more retirees than working...
  19. wdolson

    Tesla BEV Competition Developments

    From a legal liability point of view, there is a massive step from L4 to L5. With L4, there needs to be a driver there watching the car and able to take over if the car does something wrong. When an L4 car gets in an accident, the driver gets sued for not paying adequate attention because...
  20. wdolson

    Coronavirus

    I did some reading on how monkey pox is spread. It is not airborne, you need to have contact with infected bodily fluids to contract it and good sanitary procedures immediately after contact readily kills the virus before it can infect a person unless the fluids came in contact with an open...
  21. wdolson

    Tesla BEV Competition Developments

    Tesla might be reckless enough to allow FSD on city streets without a driver. The lawsuits after the first accident might be the only thing that could drive the company out of business at this point. The ambulance chasers are going to swarm all over the first driverless FSD crashes. And the...
  22. wdolson

    Tesla BEV Competition Developments

    Basically what they had behind the Iron Curtain. As soon as the Soviet empire fell apart, most of those old cars were abandoned in favor of better cars from somewhere else. But in developed countries, the segment for basic transportation with no thought to the look is in the company car market...
  23. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Kamikaze (drone) strike on Rostov But the Russians bagged two M777s
  24. wdolson

    Elon Musk

    Though he is ineligible.
  25. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    The Brat movie franchise was a big deal in Russia, but it's infantile anti-west violence tripe. I wish someone would do something like a mainstream documentary about this sort of thing. I agree the public in the west should know all about this stuff. There have been a flood of books along...
  26. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Yes, sorry. I see that same graphic everyday with the day's Russian losses as reported by Ukraine. The numbers obviously have some noise in them, even if the Ukrainians are trying to be accurate, which we can't be 100% sure. My partner saw something yesterday where something was purportedly...
  27. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    The Ukrainians are reporting higher personnel, tank, and IFV losses yesterday New artillery probably
  28. wdolson

    Elon Musk

    Hadn't heard this story. With Justine he had five kids, one set of twins and one set of triplets, all born male. I wonder which set of kids the daughter is from. It's a lot less than half. A fairly good sized chunk of the population don't really think about politics much and haven't really...
  29. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Mark Hertling's latest analysis Thread by @MarkHertling on Thread Reader App Russia is hurting, but Ukraine needs the supply lines from the west to keep pumping in supplies.
  30. wdolson

    Elon Musk

    Supporting Elon no matter what he does seems to me to be just as extreme as canceling him completely for his failings. Somebody can be a genius in one area and a complete idiot in others. It happens quite often. He has done the world a service advancing both electric vehicles and rocketry...
  31. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    The NATO artillery will help even the odds, but yes, Ukraine needs more assault equipment before they can make major gains. Though the momentum in the south right now is slightly on Ukraine's side. The Russians haven't even tried to take any territory there in a while. I did a bit more...
  32. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Russia said today they will supply Kalingrad by sea until they figure out what to do. If it's true (it only appears to be one guy so far) it's almost certainly a resupply mission to Snake Island. Te Black Sea fleet was not capable of an amphibious landing at Odesa on day 1 of the war, they...
  33. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    I think the definition is murky. Putin controls all the oligarchs and in turn controls all their money and he controls the state like he owns it, but it isn't exactly the same thing as the wealth a successful business executive would have. When one person has centralized control over a large...
  34. wdolson

    Lifetime Average Wh/mi

    I've found heating heavily affects the Wh/Mi, but light use of AC usually doesn't have much effect. On really hot days when the AC has to run full blast, that zaps the battery fast, but the sort of light AC usually needed around here isn't that bad. I don't use range mode, but my Wh/Mi last...
  35. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    I recall hearing about the trial starting on one of the topical comedy programs I follow. It might have been Have I Got News For You? I'm glad to hear she won. Russian interference in foreign politics seems to have dropped off to some degree since the war began. With so many IT people...
  36. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    IMO, the US's track record as a world power is very checkered, but I think it's way better than any of the colonial era empires. Just about all of them did things worse than what Russia is doing today (at least within their technological capabilities). The US has mostly ruled the world...
  37. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    I don't have the time right now to listen to his entire speech, but he went off the rails fairly early when he blamed the entire war on the United States because he claims the Biden administration has been trying to get Ukraine into NATO. Back in 2008 GW Bush made noises about admitting Ukraine...
  38. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    I thought one thing about this is interesting It says the acting commander of the 41st Army is a Colonel. In Russia, an Army is the equivalent of a corps in the US military. The Russian army has been more officer top heavy than most militaries since the Soviet era because they don't have an...
  39. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    I think that frigate is likely out of the war for a while. If it needs a tow, something happened to the propulsion. The Ukrainians don't have the lift capability to take back the island and the Russians are paying a lot of resources trying to keep it. It's a very tough island to defend...
  40. wdolson

    Elon Musk

    Here is where I find his actions hypocritical. Any online forum except one owned by the government can restrict speech any way it wants. This forum restricts certain topics. He is trying to buy Twitter and throwing open the doors to anything anybody wants to say, but he is firing his...
  41. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    That's the reason why I believe it likely that few or possibly none of Russia's hydrogen bombs would work in a war. They probably have the capability to make the materials for bombs, but with no maintenance, they degrade while sitting. The working Russian stockpile might only be the size of...
  42. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Tritium is heavy hydrogen and hydrogen leaks out of any container given enough time. The process of leaking out of the container also makes many materials brittle in the process. Trying to contain any hydrogen for any period of time is a major pain. I doubt any of the upstarts making nuclear...
  43. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    The battle for Kherson may be starting Thread by @TrentTelenko on Thread Reader App Trent Telenko here points out that the Ukrainians are handing the Russians a difficult choice. If they don't divert supply from their Donbas operation, they might lose Kherson. If they do, there will be a few...
  44. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    Who are they talking to? There are people in Congress, the Senate, and outside government with a soapbox who want Ukraine to roll over and surrender to Russia, but the current administration appears to be staying the course. The latest I heard from Biden was the US was going to follow...
  45. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    The tech to make nuclear weapons is not really that difficult. There have been a few students in western universities over the years who have made them (usually minus the fissionable materials). The tricky part is isolating the fissionable materials and those materials are dangerous to handle...
  46. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    An analysis of what's going on in Russia's economy Thread by @kamilkazani on Thread Reader App The ruble is strong because they are all export and no import, but that's a short term thing. Russia is a resource economy. They have been exporting raw resources and importing technology, mostly...
  47. wdolson

    What other tech stock to consider?

    I expect it will go through.
  48. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    It's a nice sentiment, but world EV production isn't enough. In 2021 Europe had about 11.8 million new car sales and worldwide EV production was around 7.6 million cars with 3.4 million sold in China. And the Chinese are not likely to cooperate with any kind of plan like that. Europe is...
  49. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    You didn't post the link where you read this. I found it on southfront. Nationalist Units Shot Ukrainian Servicemen Who Tried To Surrender In Novomikhailovka - Russian MoD Southfront is a Russian astro-turf news organization SouthFront - Wikipedia What made me suspicious is the reference to...
  50. wdolson

    Russia/Ukraine conflict

    I posted the thread from the Threadreader app a few hours back. The whole thing is a good read. Trent Telenko explains why the US has so much less artillery than the Russians and why the Ukrainians don't need vast numbers of western artillery either: Thread by @TrentTelenko on Thread Reader...

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