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  • The latest TMC Podcast (#14) is now available on YouTube and all major podcast networks. We covered FSD Beta's exciting v11 update, Enhanced Autopilot coming to the U.S. and Canada, and more!

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  1. EarlyAdopter

    Brand New Tesla Model X 22” OEM Silver Turbine Wheels & Tires (Seattle Area)

    I still have these available for sale. Asking $3500.
  2. EarlyAdopter

    Safety Score

    That's nothing. My overall safety score seems to be stuck at 89 because I get dinged for 7% of "hard braking" every time I leave my neighborhood to take the kids to school and later go pick them up. :-/
  3. EarlyAdopter

    Safety Score

    Lol. I wish it was that gradual and slowly sloping at the end. Imagine that but curved, steeper, and ending at a T intersection with a busy 4 lane road.
  4. EarlyAdopter

    Safety Score

    Yeah, that's fair. And I do extend my braking here quite a bit. Just not enough obviously to appease the algorithm. Perhaps the other takeaway here is Autopilot doesn't take into account the grade at all and is far worse than a human under these conditions. Either way, Tesla should use angle...
  5. EarlyAdopter

    Safety Score

    Even if I could keep it to well under the speed limit without getting rear ended by someone else coming down the hill, which is a real concern here, and keep it to say 15mph under constant light braking, when I hit the last part and decelerate from 15mph to 0, even over a loonnnngg protracted...
  6. EarlyAdopter

    Safety Score

    I should have been clearer. It's not the driving down the hill part that I get dinged for. It's the last part at the base of the hill that intersects with a major roadway at a traffic light. That last section is short, steep, 25mph, and comes to hard stop. Even if I go max regen and take it...
  7. EarlyAdopter

    Safety Score

    I'm getting constantly dinged for "hard braking" when ever I leave my neighborhood, which is down a very steep hill. The deceleration on the downslope is triggering false hard braking events. Even if I slow down extremely gradually and drawn out, I'm fighting against gravity and Tesla's g...
  8. EarlyAdopter

    Brand New Tesla Model X 22” OEM Silver Turbine Wheels & Tires (Seattle Area)

    I do. I'll send you a follow up in private message.
  9. EarlyAdopter

    Brand New Tesla Model X 22” OEM Silver Turbine Wheels & Tires (Seattle Area)

    These are still available. Willing to drop the price a bit. Make me an offer.
  10. EarlyAdopter

    2021 Model S Plaid/LR Fire

    That's simply not true. The windshield is significantly thicker and is affixed on all sides with adhesive. The side windows are thinner laminated glass, and more importantly frameless, only affixed on the bottom. Much easier to kick out than in.
  11. EarlyAdopter

    2020 Model XL rear-ended

    Here's a photo of the third row seats. You can see that passenger heads are about where the back corner glass triangles are. I measured from the back of the third row seats to the outside back of the hatch is 24".
  12. EarlyAdopter

    2020 Model XL rear-ended

    Glad everyone was ok. The third row seating starts after the rear storage well. How far past the well did the intrusion extend? Any idea how fast they were going when they hit you? We're you stopped?
  13. EarlyAdopter

    Brand New Tesla Model X 22” OEM Silver Turbine Wheels & Tires (Seattle Area)

    Set of brand new Tesla Model X OEM 22" wheels and tires, straight from Tesla. These were a referral prize that we never ended up using. They have been sitting inside our garage. Never been mounted. 0 miles. In perfect condition. 2 x 22X9.0 Turbine wheels 2 x 22X10.0 Turbine wheels 2 x...
  14. EarlyAdopter

    Official Thread: Cybertruck (Cybrtrk) Event - Nov 21, 2019

    This should have been setup as a SpaceX event, not a Tesla one, marketed as showing a sneak-peak of the Mars Rover they've designed. Talked it up about how its going to be used on Mars, the impressive specs, etc. The odd design in this context would be totally acceptable. Then, surprise reveal...
  15. EarlyAdopter

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I think Tesla missed an opportunity to better position this truck. What they should have done is unveil it as the SpaceX Mars Rover. Talked about its capabilities, plans for use on Mars. Showed it off a bit. Then, the surprise reveal - "We'll also sell you one." Many people might be put off...
  16. EarlyAdopter

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    My guess on the glass - it's only the front windshield that is the thickness used for the ball drop. Side glass is thinner to allow for them to roll down and up. Also should note that bulletproof glass always shatters like this when hit.
  17. EarlyAdopter

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    To the extent Porsche is sitting on better times (which from the article isn't clear that the Turbo S's limited duration performance boost would have made a difference over the non-S Turbo, but that aside), they would be holding back so as not to surpass their ICE cars. Note the Taycan's Ring...
  18. EarlyAdopter

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    The Audi S4 I sold for a Model S years ago had Audi's Sports Differential, which was an active rear diff that could torque vector between the rear wheels, including actively retrograding one side to induce rotation in the car, no brakes involved. On freeway entrance ramps and on the track it was...
  19. EarlyAdopter

    Where do you put your foot while on autopilot?

    On the steering wheel. Two problems solved in one.
  20. EarlyAdopter

    Tesla Killers......

    Yes. It's unfortunate that the Audi headlines further reinforce a misconception that EV batteries are prone to fires.
  21. EarlyAdopter

    Dead bear: what happened to automatic emergency braking?

    The bears will stop at nothing to knock TSLA stock down.
  22. EarlyAdopter

    Supercharger - Auburn, WA

    With traffic around here, I wouldn't be surprised if the crew worked 6am to 2pm.
  23. EarlyAdopter

    Model S range and interior update imminent?

    In crashes where doors jam, which is fairly common for vehicles with unibody construction because the "frame" is the body and when it flexes in a collision the doors get out of alignment, having a door handle to pull on isn't going to be enough to overcome metal jammed on metal. You're either...
  24. EarlyAdopter

    Some observations on 2019.12 (AP 2.0)

    This remains my biggest frustration with AP2.0. My Model S with AP1.0 does much better in these situations than my wife's Model X with AP2.0. AP1.0 switches to following the left lane marker when the lane suddenly goes wide, rather than centering itself.
  25. EarlyAdopter

    99 Tunnel in Seattle

    One minor correction - it looks like Tesla switched navigation map providers to MapBox in 2017. The point still stands though on needing to wait for an update from Mapbox on the underlying map data and then Tesla downloading it to the fleet. Oh, and if you're wondering why you occasionally get...
  26. EarlyAdopter

    99 Tunnel in Seattle

    While the map data displayed in the center console streams in live from Google, the maps used for navigation are locally downloaded and built by a navigation company (Navigon I believe). Tesla has to work with that third party to update the nav data and then push an update down to the fleet...
  27. EarlyAdopter

    Autosocks on Rear?

    There's less clearance between the wheel and suspension components up front vs in back, hence the recommendation for chains on the rear tires only. The Autosocks are much thinner, but could still get caught up in the suspension up front. I only bought a pair for the rear in case we ever get...
  28. EarlyAdopter

    Members' Political Compass Scores

    Looks about right. Slightly more libertarian than left.
  29. EarlyAdopter

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    You do know that gas cars catch fire, too, right? At a rate significantly higher than Teslas. Just ask Paul Walker. Oh, wait... you can't. If you'd like to do more research on this topic, we've got a thread for you over here: ICE cars are dangerous.
  30. EarlyAdopter

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    My guess: The institutional buyers are back in the office, taking advantage of the low prices on offer after last week's predominantly short-driven trading. That would also suggest that the people manning the short seller trading desks have worse work-life balance than the long shops. I'm ok...
  31. EarlyAdopter

    Frunk or Treat

    That's brilliant!
  32. EarlyAdopter

    Ars Technica Expose About July Lawsuit

    Wow. I feel like I need a shower after reading that. It astounds me that someone could be that shifty, time and time again. Tesla/SolarCity need to do a better job of weeding people out like this before hiring them. I can see now how Elon could call someone like Martin Tripp "a horrible...
  33. EarlyAdopter

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    They are running out of topics. Workplace safety concerns? Busted. Worst finding from CALOSHA was a misplaced extension cord. High rates of production scrap? Never even hit the bottom line. SEC investigation? Wrapped, no real impact, and no impact to the bottom line. Lawsuits related to...
  34. EarlyAdopter

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Lol. The most disagreed with post I've ever made, and what ends up happening? Musk buys up a bunch of shares on the open market. Elon Musk buys $10 million in Tesla shares and plans to purchase $20 million more next week In the end, we were both right. (feel free to remove those disagrees...
  35. EarlyAdopter

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Thanks for the reference.
  36. EarlyAdopter

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Tesla paying the fine from their cash would reduce total stockholders' equity, i.e. the value of the company per share. This is dilutive, just on the other side of the equation. Do you have a reference handy stating that Elon is buying a private placement? Would seem easier to just buy on the...
  37. EarlyAdopter

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Shouldn't be dilutive. He's buying $20M in shares personally, on the open market, to counter the miniscule dilution created by Tesla corporation having to pay out $20M of shareholder's money to the SEC. If anything, it should drive the stock up a little bit as a decent number of shares get taken...
  38. EarlyAdopter

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Holy smokes. There was a single trade of 230,000 shares on the close, priced above ask. Someone *really* did not want to miss out on next week.
  39. EarlyAdopter

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    Ok, doing my due diligence here. The first time around, in 2013, it was a press release amending guidance for the quarter, a tweet a day later referring to the press release, and a call with press and analysts a day after that, on April 2, 2013. Though, the timing that first time around was...
  40. EarlyAdopter

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    If I recall correctly, the last two times Tesla had a profitable quarter, they preannounced, but it was several days after the end of the quarter. It takes a few days longer to close the books than count the cars. I suspect we're in for a treat in just another day or two. Tick tock.. tick tock...
  41. EarlyAdopter

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    Someone on here had emailed Tesla IR about including profitability in the production and delivery report, and was told it would take a few additional days to close the books for the quarter to be able to make a determination on profitability. So don't be surprised if there's no mention tomorrow...
  42. EarlyAdopter

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Ha. LOL indeed. I mentioned on here a week ago that the Bellevue, WA service center was preparing to ramp up from 30 deliveries to 100 deliveries a day for the final week of the quarter. They only have space for maybe 20 or 30 cars at the service center. So it's no surprise they needed...
  43. EarlyAdopter

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Me watching TSLA push $300:
  44. EarlyAdopter

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Everyone, can we please stop with the severed body parts jokes? Let's have some compassion here. Someone got seriously injured, let's not forget that. Someone who's no doubt hard working and working hard to help build the cars and the business we so love.
  45. EarlyAdopter

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    A big part of it is bringing more pre-delivery prep (inspection, detailing, paint correction, panel adjustment, service bulletins) capacity online. The old Bellevue service center, which they moved out of nearly two years ago, has been converted into a whole additional pre-delivery facility...
  46. EarlyAdopter

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Fun bit of back of the envelope math (thanks to my wife for this idea). There are approximately 100 delivery centers in the US. If each delivered an average of 60 cars per day for a whole week for the end of quarter push, you'd be looking at 42,000 cars delivered in a week.
  47. EarlyAdopter

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    I learned today that the Bellevue, WA, service/delivery center is currently delivering about 30 cars a day. Next week they will be doing 100 deliveries per day. 100. A day. And that's not even accounting for the downtown Seattle service/delivery center, which could be upwards of another 100 a...
  48. EarlyAdopter

    If model 3 is the "cheap one" then why am I paying more than a new S?

    You can keep the heat on inside the car while you Supercharge you know. Or go inside a nearby facility while it charges. It's not like you have to stand around outside waiting for it to finish, like you do at a gas station.

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