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  1. dazedNconfuzed

    Poll: I Believe Elon's statement that the Cybertruck will be able to cross rivers and even seas

    Someone is gonna buy an early-production CT and make a YouTube video testing this out.
  2. dazedNconfuzed

    SLS and Orion Development

    Engineering reviews and simulations count for a lot. Orion escape system was certified but extensive simulation & review. Dragon escape system was certified by launching & detonating a Falcon 9. Bureaucrats are satisfied by sufficient paperwork. Elon presumably jumped at the chance to blow up...
  3. dazedNconfuzed

    Starting to feel like Cybertruck is going the way of the Roadster: Vaporware

    Ok. They weren’t, now they are. Tesla isn’t the leader in electric pickups because, as of now, they don’t make one.
  4. dazedNconfuzed

    SLS and Orion Development

    Understood, the competition is existential for SLS. A RUD for Starship on first go - vs SLS pulling off a whole Moon-and-back - may not terminate the project but will impact willingness to buy rides early.
  5. dazedNconfuzed

    Starting to feel like Cybertruck is going the way of the Roadster: Vaporware

    Was with you up to this point. As you said earlier: "you really need to understand that trucks are not cars." Tesla isn't the leader in the electric truck market. Ford is. I've seen Rivians in the wild. A couple prototypes isn't leading.
  6. dazedNconfuzed

    SLS and Orion Development

    Both projects are run by humans who are fully aware their existential competitor is neck-and-neck for who launches first. Both are first-time test flights. For one to fail (catastrophic) where the other succeeds will influence future big money. Yes it's not a formally recognized race. It's the...
  7. dazedNconfuzed

    Cyber truck n

    It's not "all over the web". There are numerous outlets that post voluminous "Tesla!" clickbait, which is mostly falsehoods. Ignore them. If it's not posted on Tesla.com, TeslaMotorsClub.com, or a few other reputable sites, it's bunk.
  8. dazedNconfuzed

    What was Tesla's estimated price of Cybertruck March 2020?

    Just keep the FSD at $7k reserved price. Any higher and it will get vetoed here. ("You paid WHAT for stupid WHAT?!?")
  9. dazedNconfuzed

    Have I locked in a price

    Take the "meh, most pickup owners are just suburban commuters" quip at face value: here in southern USA, 1/3rd of all vehicles on road are pickups (and honorable mention to the substantial fraction of Teslas). That's a LOT of commuters who want a cost-efficient runabout with occasional...
  10. dazedNconfuzed

    What was Tesla's estimated price of Cybertruck March 2020?

    Tri-motor version was announced at $69,900, FSD at $7,000.
  11. dazedNconfuzed

    Model Y Owners - Preordering a Cybertruck

    Probably my last vehicle, assuming it really does run upwards of a million miles with limited maintenance.
  12. dazedNconfuzed

    Who has ordered?

    Explains why the local Tesla showroom was empty last week.
  13. dazedNconfuzed

    Starting to feel like Cybertruck is going the way of the Roadster: Vaporware

    Free supercharging was a loss leader for early adopters. Given that most EV owners charge at home most of the time, expensive supercharging is a reasonable tradeoff.
  14. dazedNconfuzed

    Starting to feel like Cybertruck is going the way of the Roadster: Vaporware

    Groan. Yes, pedant, there may a tiny test/experimental H2 infrastructure in a tax-squandering state. I even balked at writing "zero" for that reason. Being a vanishingly small fraction amid all energy taps (mostly gas nozzles and electrical outlets) across some 3.797 million mi², I went with...
  15. dazedNconfuzed

    Starting to feel like Cybertruck is going the way of the Roadster: Vaporware

    Hydrogen is a non-starter as it has zero infrastructure. Yes it could theoretically be implemented (gas & electric were at 0% at some point not all that long ago), but competing power sources are all but pervasive: gas is delivered to last-mile distance, electric literally goes to every...
  16. dazedNconfuzed

    Starting to feel like Cybertruck is going the way of the Roadster: Vaporware

    Well, there was that pesky little issue involving a worldwide pandemic, and supply chain chip shortage. Roadster was a luxury model, expendable in the large scheme. Cybertruck is critical, considering majority of vehicles on the road are SUVs and pickups (with most of those amounting to...
  17. dazedNconfuzed

    Starting to feel like Cybertruck is going the way of the Roadster: Vaporware

    FWIW, southeastern USA traffic is 2/3rds SUVs and pickups. Remaining 1/3 is sedans, of which Tesla is making a strong showing. Considering how many S/3/X/Ys are on the road here, CT should have remarkably fast adoption - and with the outrageous styling, even a few will make a serious impact on...
  18. dazedNconfuzed

    How many will look into the F-150 Lightning?

    Not get recurring junk mail?
  19. dazedNconfuzed

    CyberTruck Design

    The DeLorean styling still holds up quite well. Cybertruck is a combination of that and an always-cool depiction of future vehicles.
  20. dazedNconfuzed

    No Door Handles??

    I'm all for accepting things that smart people spent a lot of resources (time/brains/money) working out. Doesn't always succeed (see Apple's voice-only iPod shuffle), but usually it's the right thing in the long run - truly new just seems weird on first contact because it's first contact. Bring...
  21. dazedNconfuzed

    “ it was 20 years ago today…”

    Likewise, I try to watch every launch. Kids are likely bored by it at this point, growing up aware of liftoffs every couple weeks becoming no big thing. I view it as "geek sports" and I'm rooting for "my team", the game usually playing out in their favor but sometimes it's a nail biter or even a...
  22. dazedNconfuzed

    Cybertruck

    As Elon noted, Tesla could build Cybertrucks for a million dollars each, and sell them at a staggering loss. Many expect that's basically what Rivian is doing: building prototypes the expensive way just to get something out the door to say "see? we're producing!". Playing "yes, but" games is...
  23. dazedNconfuzed

    Starlink and Ukraine War discussion

    Am wondering if this will lead to disallowing Starlink in some countries, as unapproved capabilities can be enabled at Elon's whim, or because Elon benefitted an opponent (i.e.: will Starlink be banned from Russia because of this use in Ukraine?).
  24. dazedNconfuzed

    Starlink and Ukraine War discussion

    Elon acknowledged that one can lightly spray-paint Dishy for camouflage, so long as there are no metallic particles in the paint.
  25. dazedNconfuzed

    CyberTruck Image Leaked

    And the spare tire storage space will be full of water.
  26. dazedNconfuzed

    Use by farmers

    Cybertruck has not started production yet. Nobody has one.
  27. dazedNconfuzed

    Image if CT actually launches at advertised prices: What will other EV trucks do?!

    If 4680 cells are being produced and installed in M3s which are being sold, how is it vaporware? at what point would it not be vaporware?
  28. dazedNconfuzed

    Wiki Falcon Super Heavy/Starship - General Development Discussion

    Once orbital site is done at BC, they can get on with building the second one - even before FAA finally relents. BC does allow for a fully over-water easterly path, routing between south Florida and Cuba. They can build at BC, deliver SS & SH by launch from BC, go south of FL, then reverse and...
  29. dazedNconfuzed

    How many will look into the F-150 Lightning?

    Electric pickups provide a rare & narrow "now or never" advantage to the first mover. They don't need a lot of parts to get sufficient "first mover advantage"; F-150 has big enough numbers that it's a small percentage to siphon off for that win. Tesla, while doing well, would need cut deeper...
  30. dazedNconfuzed

    CyberTruck Image Leaked

    I’m betting she won’t. Keep telling m’lady I want something so ugly and hard to drive she won’t commandeer it.
  31. dazedNconfuzed

    CyberTruck Image Leaked

    So long as Tesla has massively more orders than they can fill, they'll raise the price. Supply and demand. Not just as "greed", but as a necessary point of economic friction providing better results than simply choking on supply chain limits without other benefit.
  32. dazedNconfuzed

    CyberTruck Image Leaked

    Kind of hard to comment on something we know nothing about. Apple specialty is flat computers, with robust ecosystem. A car is way outside that. As a hardcore Apple fan (making a good buck of the platform) I’m not excited about an Apple Car. Curious, open to info, yes; don’t expect.
  33. dazedNconfuzed

    Tesla all but confirms Cybertruck production delay until 2022

    Seemed quite clear it was supply chain issues, and the choice was fulfill orders for existing products, or introduce new product and eat into current product. There just isn’t enough chips to go around with more products introduced. Better to maximize one than to under-produce both.
  34. dazedNconfuzed

    How many will look into the F-150 Lightning?

    If Tesla can't deliver because supply chain issues, why would Rivian or Ford?
  35. dazedNconfuzed

    CyberTruck Image Leaked

    They'll spend 2022 getting the factory ready. Once supply chain catches up, ready to go. That's assuming China doesn't go after Taiwan.
  36. dazedNconfuzed

    Tesla all but confirms Cybertruck production delay until 2022

    Supply chain constraints mean Tesla can only make so much of anything, so they're focusing on supplying primary products.
  37. dazedNconfuzed

    Tesla EV Tax Credits coming back?

    This Administration & Congress seems very pro-union in the EV space, to the point of excluding/ignoring any business that doesn't have an active union. As such, expect Tesla will not benefit from climate legislation for non-climate reasons.
  38. dazedNconfuzed

    CyberTruck Image Leaked

    What gets me: the angles on CT are such that viewing it from different angles has a radical effect on perception. One way, it looks crazy wedge-shaped; another, seems flat with a bump; another, looks huge; another, looks tiny/short. Dunno about others, my brain doesn't quite know how to process...
  39. dazedNconfuzed

    ThunderTruck Concept

    Elon has admittedly presented the most expensive joke in history. I don't think he's keen on "pranking his fanboys" again.
  40. dazedNconfuzed

    Anyone switching to a Rivian R1T after watching reviews?

    1. There are more passengers of influence than just the driver (me). It's not gonna happen if my wife gets to the point of "we have to stop AGAIN? for HOW LONG?" on a 1000 mile trip. Once, maybe a second for a short boost, is vital to normalize this. 2. Vacationing in the sparse West will...
  41. dazedNconfuzed

    Anyone switching to a Rivian R1T after watching reviews?

    Driving GA to NY is ~1000 miles. The fewer stops the better.
  42. dazedNconfuzed

    Wiki Falcon Super Heavy/Starship - General Development Discussion

    [repeatedly mashes Like button]
  43. dazedNconfuzed

    SpaceX F9 - Starlink Group 4-6 - LC-39A

    The non-laser Starlink satellites can only bounce signals from Earth to Earth. If a data packet need go farther, it has to bounce ground-orbit-ground-orbit-ground-orbit-... until it arrives. Laser-enabled Starlink satellites can send, thru the vacuum of space, a data packet directly to the...
  44. dazedNconfuzed

    SpaceX F9 - Starlink Group 4-6 - LC-39A

    Lasers. SpaceX - Starlink Group 4-5 - LC-39A
  45. dazedNconfuzed

    Cybertruck as mobile powerwall

    The service provider provides service with the understanding that they’ll be the primary. They don’t want to invest considerable infrastructure cost only to find you have them only as backup. If you want their service, understandable they’ll insist you shut off on-site solar/well/septic/etc...
  46. dazedNconfuzed

    CT backfeeding your house

    I expect the engineering liability on this application is much more complex than appears. That’s a lot of power going where simple mistakes can burn houses down. Wiring in a Powerwall is stable; plugging in a car opens a new category of problems. (Speaking as an engineer currently dealing with...
  47. dazedNconfuzed

    Interesting F-150 status email

    “The conversion to EV’s will be resisted by both sales and service at the dealerships” That’s what killed photo giant Kodak. Stores depended on customers coming in to buy film, coming in again to drop off for processing, then coming in again to get prints - likely buying other stuff each trip...
  48. dazedNconfuzed

    Interesting F-150 status email

    Failure of the "Build Back Better" bill may impact interest of major manufacturers/dealers to take on EVs as a product offering, as expected lucrative options may have just evaporated.
  49. dazedNconfuzed

    New screen UI in Cybertruck

    That opens a Pandora's Box of other audio "must haves", including Apple CarPlay and Android Auto. With most every driver having a phone supporting one of those two, seems a must-have to include them (which, AFAIK, Tesla hasn't elsewhere).
  50. dazedNconfuzed

    Tesla deletes cheap Cybertruck from its website

    Ask too much, won't get any. Already straining the budget & bride with the Tri+FSD CT; 500 mile + >10k lb towing is minimum acceptable. Yeah they'll get plenty of orders without me, but I'm also not the only one with such limits.

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