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  1. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    More people buying them on Fridays - like many of us here? Drives up the price. Alternatively: Writers (sellers) demanding a premium to insure against the Monday morning exuberance :)
  2. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    She does not look like a bull to me ... ;)
  3. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    MaxPain assumes that the option writer do not hedge - instead they minimize the payout by pushing the stock around. So it comes down to what you think the option writer predominantly do: - Hedge - then the main effect towards expiration is pinning to a heavily traded strike. - Don't hedge - they...
  4. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I agree about the observation and the conclusion. Now, if they let the price run up during the day, they would have to engineer another flash-crash towards the close (lowered circuit-breaker during the last 15 minutes). During the day might be hard for them to hold the tide back - especially...
  5. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Welcome to TARC (TSLA Addicts Recovery Group) ;) PS: Change the axis on your ticker graph to exclude the overnight jumps - makes it look more exiting :)
  6. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    So, based on Adam Jonas 'success' with his bear-base-bull $10-$250-$500 price target spread in December (afair) and his 'upgrade' today to ???-$500-$1,200, should we expect 3*$500 or 1.5*$1,200 by May ??? :) Morgan Stanley raises its ‘bull case’ on Tesla to $1,200
  7. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    MaxPain: Calculated based on Open Interest for all Calls and Puts of a given expiration date for different stock prices at expiration. Open Interested gets updated only once a day after hours. No other data go into the calculation. If you can download the complete Options Chain for all dates...
  8. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I am reading the last few paragraphs which mention the March deadlines different. I think the dates relate to the approval for building the factory itself - not for the approval of tree removal which is separate! Your original assumption would still stand!
  9. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    "DPA" : Deutsche Presse Agentur = German Press Agency - a major German news distribution service like Reuters etc. Edit: The article itself is all about environmental concern, regulations, 2 expedited lawsuits got filled yesterday against Tesla, current measures Tesla took to protect ants...
  10. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Here a table based on last nights data which shows MaxPain and the additional payouts for strikes up to 850 (Calls, Puts, and Combined). This changes during the day but we don't have access to intra-day, so I can't update it. The incentive to suppress the SP grows rapidly as you move away from...
  11. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Hmm, data from CNN seem very different - am I missing something? Edit: Never mind, they seem to use different names for some funds and firms, otherwise they are actually close.
  12. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Betting against Tesla has burned yet another hedge fund (TSLA)
  13. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    That was only the beginning of the run in 2013. It continued at least another 4 month for a further doubling with little retractions. It then went down some before gaining even more!
  14. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Many of them will never give up - or they will be replaced by new ones...
  15. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Not only that. Cheap local storage would allow to shave off grid demand allowing to use smaller grid infrastructure even in locations without solar. We could basically trickle-charge the home battery 24/7 over a smaller grid-connected wire and have the battery power the home. This also includes...
  16. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    That's today's - we would need the one from end of Monday. The site does not show any from past dates as far as I can tell.
  17. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    MaxPain graph from Monday would be a very good approximation as it shows the payout over all strikes. It probably is also the best one could do as Open Interest is not available during the day anyway and end of Tuesday data might be distorted already as it is after the manipulation. I checked...
  18. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Thinking about this a little more, it now looks to me as this increasing exempt volume reflecting the increasing buying pressure and less as the fingerprint of the main manipulation which happened. Which in turn would point back to hedge funds a culprits imho. We could test this by...
  19. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I tried to find the source of your data - best I found is: February 2020 Reg SHO Daily Files where I had to extract one line from each daily file and it does not have the last column you showed - Please let us know if there is a more convenient way to get them? I then looked up the data around...
  20. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Following the link to the Key Points About Regulation SHO I found the following two sections relevant - emphasis is mine: [6] Under the rule, an order can be marked “long” when the seller owns the security being sold and the security either is in the physical possession or control of the...
  21. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    What I find interesting is, that the majority of the short exempt volume happened Wed/Thu - not Tuesday! Tuesday's ExemptVolume was up too but most of it was used to prevent TSLA from recovering/rallying back on Wed/Thu! Even if somebody constructs a "legally defensible reason" for doing this...
  22. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Longs with control over their emotions would see the buying opportunity - as many here have.
  23. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    A stop-loss order from a short would not show up in the order book as it is a buy order above the current price - right?
  24. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Looks like a lot of uptick capping the last half hour to prevent the SP to recover with the markets. Totally flat while SPX and COMPX are nicely up. Will this continue all day or will they run out of steam? Not sure about the current volume.
  25. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Again - looks like somebody wants to keep it below...
  26. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    You should buy 2 at $840, 3 at $1,260, ...
  27. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Amazon bought the rights (The Verge). Not sure where they are with it.
  28. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    My current daily list: Teslerati Cleantechnica Tesmanian Blog Anything else?
  29. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Been like this for (over?) a year iirc, had a margin call because of it around that time.
  30. L

    Plan with solar panel, does it work or make sense

    I have no idea why you are under the impression that a battery would kill net metering? We were in the same situation beginning of this year. We had a 10 year old solar system and wanted to add more solar (due to new EV) and powerwalls for backup. We settled on 2 powerwalls for simplicity of...
  31. L

    Powerwall 2 vs Others

    BTW: Sonnen was acquired by Shell earlier this year - just in case that matters to you.
  32. L

    Surviving the PG&E test?

    Comcast/Xfinity has backup only for a few hours at best, so we lost internet each time PG&E blacked us out. The Powerwall/Solar made sure we had electricity the whole time. We switched to a MiFi = cell based internet, but that works only as a minimal setup for a whole house due to the speed we...
  33. L

    NorCal PG&E blackouts

    Is you wireless still up and does your house still have internet? During power-outages we usually lose remote access to the powerwalls due to Comcast going down. If you are home and your wireless is still up, then the powerwall/gateway might have disconnected from it? In that case I need to...
  34. L

    Wireless Connection keeps dropping

    I did not see interference with neighbors for a while but you never know - I let the router pick the channels automatic, that might contribute to this as well. I switched away from fixed channels because of new neighbors a while ago ... I am considering wired if things do not change. My PW...
  35. L

    Wireless Connection keeps dropping

    I notice it first on 1.40.1 - I am now on 1.40.2
  36. L

    Wireless Connection keeps dropping

    I have 2 Powerwalls since the beginning of the year. They are connected through my wireless network and everything worked without problems. About 5 weeks ago the gateway started dropping the wireless and is not reconnecting no it's own. I have to log in over the teg-xyz and click on the...
  37. L

    NorCal PG&E blackouts

    Yes, we had signed up for their alerts by email and text. I got the last text saying they were cutting of power and then it took about 9-10 hours before they finally did. I appreciate that they did not over communicate but an additional text within ~30 min of actual shutdown would have been much...
  38. L

    NorCal PG&E blackouts

    In my location Comcast was up for about 6 hours after blackout and it took them 2-3 hours to get back up after power returned. Yes, automating the car charging “on supply” would be very sweet.
  39. L

    NorCal PG&E blackouts

    We lost power Wednesday evening. Powerwalls took over without a flickering light, only my small computer UPS started beeping initially (as expected), but stopped once powerwall was below ~95%. Had excess solar during Thursday, so I dumped it into my car to avoid loosing it. Power came back early...
  40. L

    Update 1.40.1

    My powerwall lost the connection to Tesla servers Thursday morning around 4am. I noticed it today and also saw for the first time that I was on 1.40.1. Might have been the reason or could have been coincidence, but this has not happened to me before. I had to log in directly to the gateway and...
  41. L

    Average PTO wait time from PG&E for a new solar install (also venting at poor experience)

    In our case it to took 2 month between city inspection and PTO from PG&E. Most of that time was squandered by submissions being lost, request for re-submissions or additional information not being received, relayed, or acted upon. Tesla had to "submit" 3 or 4 times till PG&E even started to...
  42. L

    Strategies for Powerwalls and Utility Demand Plans

    I tried to dig a little deeper into your request and the two TBC policies Tesla provides. I really think what you need is a third policy and you cannot use one of the existing ones to achieve your goal. Here is a table I made to get my head around things: You want the last case with the...
  43. L

    Strategies for Powerwalls and Utility Demand Plans

    Actually, I believe most text on the whole page has changed ?! If so, might warrant it's own thread?
  44. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    They exclude Tesla but based on the number the article gives, it would have had the lowest number of unsold vehicles of all shown manufacturers.
  45. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Hmm, they are buying OTM call options together with the new equity raise. Disruption Research on Twitter Does this mean they have a future buyback at a fixed price above todays price already build in?
  46. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    This was posted on page 2480: I believe this was recorded by somebody. I had issue with google drive not wanting to download it. I got around by 1) adding it to my drive; 2) making a copy in my drive 3) downloading the copy.
  47. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    This is what I get: Sorry, you can't view or download this file at this time. Too many users have viewed or downloaded this file recently. Please try accessing the file again later. If the file you are trying to access is particularly large or is shared with many people, it may take up to 24...

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