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  1. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    I Also Wrote Up this Little Bit of Guidance: It seems to be needed again: Guidance to customers Awaiting Vehicles: Tesla delivers it's automotive experience to you in a way that allows you to have a full-featured emotional experience following the final pattern... 1) Denial - "No! They can't...
  2. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    From WAY back on Pg314 I posted the following: INSIGHT INTO THE ALGORITHM ASSIGNING EDD (ESTIMATED DELIVERY DATES): Stage 1: Order Time Estimate 12 weeks out. Stage 2: Order Completed EDD Update 1: Push out delivery window start date 30 days (28 day window) EDD Update 2: Pull in delivery...
  3. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    FINALLY!!! Congrats!!!
  4. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    You got a VIN! Sweet 8lbs 6oz Baby Jesus on a skateboard!!! This is the only reason I even read this forum anymore. You and @Viv1984 anyway. Doing a bit of catching up right now. On pp412 of 425... Hoping you have a delivery time scheduled here in the next couple pages.
  5. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    Remember when?! This was on page 300!!! It's time folks. It's mid November!!!! The Rain of VINs is due!!!!
  6. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    Page 400!!! @Starway2001 What is happening!?
  7. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    IDK. But a week ago when I got my VIN so did about 4 others. ALL had tow (and white interior).
  8. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    I picked up my MYP today at the Tesla factory in Fremont, CA!!! Pickup was contactless. What a great experience not having to go into "the finance managers:" office to sign papers and deal with attempted add ons. I will never buy another car where I have to do that again. Everything signed...
  9. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    17 Days FOLKS!!! 17 Days till the Mid-November RAIN OF VINs EVENT!!! August MYP ODs will be a thing of distant memory!!! Cats will sleep with dogs! It's gonna be... FABULOUS!!! - The Weatherman
  10. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    Maybe he just hates Gandalf ? (Sorry... I don't know why that popped into my mind... Yes it was a nerdy thing to say :) )
  11. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    A good sprinkling of VINs today so far! I count 5 MYPs in here today: 1 Red / White 1 Black / White 2 White / White 1 Blue / White All white seats AND all with TOW. Zero FSD. Locations scattered from CA to mid-west.
  12. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    I also received a VIN this morning!!! w00t!!! The sprinkle continues.....! 2021 vin (M). 303
  13. L

    September 2021 Order Delivery Dates

    Same here (OD & VIN) ! What a great start to the day to see the VIN this morning!
  14. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    Congratulations! The sprinkle has started before the rain of VINs !!!
  15. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    I'm being quoted!!! I'm WorldWIDE!!!!
  16. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    Ahhh.. . Acceptance... The final Stage! Congratulations!
  17. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    EDD pushed this morning again. Was in day 2 of the window. Think I’m in the update 13 to 19 section. I’m not out of bed yet so I must be on emotional stage 4.
  18. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    INSIGHT INTO THE ALGORITHM ASSIGNING EDD (ESTIMATED DELIVERY DATES): Stage 1: Order Time Estimate 12 weeks out. Stage 2: Order Completed EDD Update 1: Push out delivery window start date 30 days (28 day window) EDD Update 2: Pull in delivery window start date 15 days (30 day window) EDD...
  19. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    Big difference between a delivery window and a delivery. Kinda like F1 Racing... Big difference between catching and passing.... 19 Days on the VIN countdown folks! I'm predicting a rain of VINs on or around Nov 15. RAIN I TELL YOU!!!! We're in the calm before the storm.
  20. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    First day of my EDD tomorrow as well (this will be the 5th time). Luckily I've so far, gotten a tighter and tighter window each time on about the second day of the window so not a real complaint as long as the end date of the window holds about the same. Would be nice to have before November...
  21. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    Doh! Congrats! I didn't know that! Post a pic when you get it. I need a car to drool over while I'm waiting. Sunday delivery too! w00t!
  22. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    Alright folks.... Get ready for the rain of 2nd half of the quarter VINs. It should start around 15 Nov. 20 Day to go! ...gonna be like a flood... (Except @RyStar He's getting his later this week..... feeling it.... and maybe @Bisivni ; same situation.) #teamRedWhite
  23. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    Nice! Congrats. Post a photo.
  24. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    Don't do it. I'm telling you. There are few or no VINs because we're in the front half of a quarter. Tesla is still doing that push thing. They are still a relatively new company and don't have huge working capital reserves. They have to manage quarterly deliveries for the time being. Last I...
  25. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    This is an MYP thread. Just be cautious about comparisons with what you see here as MYP tend to be prioritized.
  26. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    My sense is that that if you don't make a quarter end push (Which you appear not to have the last quarter) you will likely get a push toward the 2nd half of the following quarter due to how they prioritize shipping and attempt to clear inventory. I'm guessing you're going to be the first to...
  27. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    So I found this information on Tesla Manufacturing cycles and shipping waves: ------ Quarterly manufacturing cycle Tesla attempts to sell all inventory every quarter and have as few cars in transit as possible. Given the geographical spread of the factories, this typically means cars destined...
  28. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    Another small EDD push this morning but it came with a much tighter window. Now 10/27 - 11/9. That’s the 3rd time I was in the EDD and received a small push out of the start date but so far always with a tighter window.
  29. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    All CA. Not feeling good about that. Also Red / White for 2 of you. Also not feeling good about that. Team RedWhite has got to be due for a rain of VINs.
  30. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    I like the optimism! That would be about 34-ish days? I think this thread grows about 3-4 pages a day or so? I hope you get your car before that. You have a Red/White and so do I. I'm hoping they make a huge batch of Reds that will cover both our Order Dates.
  31. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    I'm guessing that is because they batch from the factory by color then feature/option.
  32. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    Ugh! After reading @shadow21 post I refreshed and my EDD Changed. I was in the EDD Window for the 2nd time! Was 10/18 to Nov 15 Then: 10/21 to Nov 14 Now: 10/24 to Nov 16 The 24th is a Sunday. Do they even do Deliveries on Sunday? Wait a minute... @shadow21 You didn't order a Red /...
  33. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    If so.... They're probably all sitting in the south bay on a container ship right now, waiting to get a berth at Port of Oakland along with everything else on the planet that isn't doing the same thing down at Port of LA. I flew over both in the last week and they both have a huge number of...
  34. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    Did that just happen today?
  35. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    OMG! They finally brought the FSD 2.0 (Flying Self Diving) to Beta!!! I'd better put my order on hold so that I can make sure that option is available to me... also so that I get a 2022 model... also so that I can be certain to receive hardware 5.0... This must be why they added the...
  36. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    ZetaWagon said: Just now 10/18 - 11/1, moved to 10/21 - 11/2. That's 3 of us posting today moved off off 10/18 to 10/21 with tightening delivery windows. 3 is good luck right?
  37. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    Keep refreshing. They keep breaking the site and showing out of stock when they aren't. I had the same issue. F5 F5 F5 ah!!!
  38. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    Glad you posted that! I pre-ordered my Pixel 6 Pro this morning as a result of your reminder! Thanks. ...For my new MYP of course....
  39. L

    Recent MYP Delivery Estimates

    My EDD just changed: Was : 10-18 to 11/15 Now: 10/21 to 11/14 The window is tightening. 4 weeks down to 3 weeks. I think that's good news as this seems to be the beginning of the tightening spiral of dates that occurs before delivery. I've not heard of anyone actually getting their MYP...
  40. L

    September 2021 Order Delivery Dates

    EDD Change: Good News... I think? Was: 10/18 - 11/15 Now: 10/21 - 11/14 So it looks like the general track record of tightening EDDs as you get close to, or in the front edge of your EDD window as I was, is continuing. Was a 4 week window before, now a 3 week window. I hope this is a good...
  41. L

    September 2021 Order Delivery Dates

    9/30 Location - NorCal (Bay Area) 30 Mins from Fremont, CA (I think location and delivery timing are connected but I'm not certain of the connection or exactly why.) MYP - Red / White / Tow / FSD: No / No VIN yet OD: 9/30 EDD: 10/18 - 11/15 (So I'm in the window starting today)
  42. L

    September 2021 Order Delivery Dates

    I've noticed a distinct lack of "I got my VIN" postings this past week. Lots' of dates moving forward and back but not much VIN activity. ------------ MYP - RED - White - Tow - NoFSD OD: 9/30 EDD: 10/18 - 11/15 ( I can't stand myself for it but I'm hoping it holds!!! soooo clooosee!!! )...
  43. L

    You just can't win (trying to manage delivery dates)

    SELF DELETED - Wrong Forum - Should be in Delivery Date Forum
  44. L

    September 2021 Order Delivery Dates

    Color is definitely part of it. As I understand it; they batch these cars out of the factory by Color / Interior / Feature. Most common colors are batched in larger quantities and with more frequency. Exterior colors by Order Popularity: 1) White 2) Black 3) Grey 4) Red 5) Blue Interior...
  45. L

    September 2021 Order Delivery Dates

    What color and config was your order out of curiosity? I ordered 9/30 and have an EDD of 10/18 - 11/15 (It just pulled in Monday from about a month later) MYP - Red - White - Tow - No FSD I have read somewhere that they make these things in batches based upon color and I'm wondering if that...
  46. L

    September 2021 Order Delivery Dates

    That's an interesting thought. It could go either way. It could be like Apple devices. No matter what they do they still sell those things.... It's irrational. or It could be more in line with typical economic curves... Though I'm not certain that you've changed the core economic factors, the...
  47. L

    September 2021 Order Delivery Dates

    EDD Change - Moved closer: Was: 11/8 - 11/28 Now: 10/18 - 11/15 Noting that several folks have seen dates moved earlier today. MYP / Red / White / Tow / No FSD Hoping to get this thing before the tax rebate changes.
  48. L

    CA Waiting Room

    Order Date: Sept 30 Est Del Date: Nov 8 - Nov 28 Type: Model Y - Performance Color: Red Interior: White Hitch: Yes Seats: 5 Location: East Bay - California No VIN Yet... Received EDD about 2 days after order. Hasn't changed yet.
  49. L

    September 2021 Order Delivery Dates

    As I understand it, we will know when the VINs start showing up with an N rather than an M in the 10th position. I haven't seen any yet so they "appear" to be shipping 21s still. People often post their VINs here in the forums when they show on the page.
  50. L

    September 2021 Order Delivery Dates

    Order Date: Sept 30 Est Del Date: Nov 8 - Nov 28 Type: Model Y - Performance Color: Red Interior: White Hitch: Yes Seats: 5 Location: East Bay - California No VIN Yet... Received EDD about 2 days after order. Hasn't changed yet. A Question for the group: After reading posts for the last...