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For the first time in four years I opted to de-position about 20% of more core holdings (some on Friday, some during amateur hour this morning). I may reverse that later this summer, but for now I want to de-risk roughly 30%. I will still hold a fairly large position overall, but with a cost...

I think if the direction changes, it will move quickly to the retrace. I wouldn't doubt a move to sub 200 in the first trading day. Just IMHO. I typically only use a metric of a daily chart to determine direction though - especially with TSLA. But yes, two red sticks on Tues/Weds will certainly...

On a beat, I had an immediate resistance at 221.x, and 225.8x. I figured depending on the beat, and overall market (given the uncertainty of macro market tides as of late) we would be somewhere between those goal posts on Tues/Weds. I think there would be a strong resistance at the 225.8x zone...

For any one curious, I had run a few TA's for both directions of Q2 [del #'s]. I will focus on the Q2 [del #'s] miss, because I actually thought it would be close to 16K -- so given that it's even off of my low estimate, this will likely be a few points lower. My retrace calculated $179, which...

That certainly clears it up a bit - thanks!

This is good to know. I have a margin account, and have both core shares and options specifically in TSLA. I did get a phone call last fall from my brokerage asking if I wanted to participate in share lending (interest would be paid, and all sorts of other chatter about how it would be backed)...

I'm talking about about shares you own outright.

I use USAA, and I had confirmed last summer that they do in fact loan shares on occasion. I can't remember whom they are owned by, but it is a company contracted out by USAA. Unlike the banking services, it is not controlled in house by USAA. I will double check this with brokerage services...

To chime in on this, if you do NOT want your shares to be loaned (as Curt already said) to short sellers by your brokerage you need to set a high limit sell order. Especially true if you do not gain interest from the transaction. Many people do not know that their brokerages lend stocks, those...

There is that saying, do not let you emotions guide your stock decisions. I can't help but to wonder if that golden rule is being disregarded here. I have been up much of the night looking at financials of both companies in detail. The main issue that bothers me here is the cross-pollination of...

Well, we could compare positions, trades, and movements if you like. For a long term successful day trade you need to be right 51% of the time. My batting average is about 82%. Then again I have owned a position in TSLA since the upper 20's, and successfully bought almost every dip, and sold on...

We may be in for a slight movement down. Very similar to September movements. There is a negative sentiment overshadowing some very positive things. As we saw today, a few articles are shaking out weak hands and desperate shorts are piling it on. We 'should' be testing the 255, but unless it...

Yes, we do -- however, those haven't really been dedicated to anything other than quarterly (or longer forecasts). Specifically, I thought this thread was dedicated to short term price movements, and this had been clarified multiple times. Then within a day or two it becomes polluted for those...

I disagree. No, speaking for myself, I REALLY didn't think the media was going to ignore all of Tesla's problems. Investing is of course more than looking at a chart -- coming from someone with a solid background in macro economics I'm pretty well aware of that. In fact I think most here are...

Last one, because I think this changes the trend since we are out of that channel. https://www.tradingview.com/x/gLibg0fW/ GL to everyone holding right now.

This was nothing more than calls getting wiped out on a thin precipice, dominos if there is no support. It could easily fall to the 232 range if buying volume does not pick up.

Sorry for posting charts -- I generally don't, but my confidence level in this chart is pretty high since we are crossing the 20MDA. https://www.tradingview.com/x/XlHr7iUG/ The channel in green is absolutely critical by EOD, if you are waiting for an entry -- a reversal above that channel is...

Agreed! While the timing of the [albeit, skewed, biased, and a single incident] piece was likely coincidental, the shorts could not have asked for better timing. I was biting my tongue at opening this morning knowing this was a critical point in this SP.

I use different platforms for different charts (all the way to a bloomberg interface), but for charting volatility I use trading view because I can navigate it fast for days like today when technicals are extremely fast moving.

We need to break this channel in green.

I think there are a good deal of people that were waiting for the 245 range to buy, if it can build any consolidation at that point for more than 30 mins, it could provide a new support level. We really need this to close above 251ish, and preferably 257 by EOW or I feel the trend is headed to a...

Not seeing anything positive about this holding 247.1. So, on to retracements: 242.2, 235.8, & 231.x. Really there is no bottom support until those numbers since this broke down from 247.1 support. So, if you are holding puts -- this should be fun. If not, watch for falling knives.

We are right on a hairline that determines the movement for, this week and probably next. My base support thesis was 247.1x, and failing that for extended time, this could elevator down pretty quickly. Between this movement and the ER just a few weeks away.. Well I wouldn't leverage too heavy on...

And again we seem to be battling around 251.7 back and forth, certainly an important channel rangebound for TSLA. I had the bright idea of picking up DWTI (inverse crude ETN) -- so far so good, but nervous on this one. Any sign of reverse and I will drop this like a rock.

Last update for a bit, we dropped under yesterday's 1st pivot 251.7, so IMO that sets the trend rangebound between the support of 249.xx and 255.7 -- same range as yesterday. This low volume is killing short term positions, no wind for sails. I don't expect power hour to be significant at these...

I think there are a lot of people on the sidelines right now -- hence low volume. Shorts are taking advantage of the doldrums.

I think my lack of confidence anything will come out of Doha stems from the fact Saudi will not stop until US Shale is crushed. It's a proxy currency war with the flag of oil, and as a macro, the energy tide is changing. They know all too well that if you leave the dandelion with even a little...

I still think we are headed rangebound to the goal posts I posted earlier, with a more exact target of yesterday's pivot around 255.7. The black swan today is that many took profits yesterday afternoon, and many more are getting on the sidelines (in a wide array of indexes). The Doha meeting and...

Good morning! I am watching closely all oil sectors for the Doha meeting Sunday. Speculation either way, and news either way will be like throwing a pebble in the pond for the markets, the ripples flowing outward, and by Tuesday will be long forgotten. However for short term plays it could steer...

That was definitely a big $ dump, but other than the AAPL tweet car rumor [not the reason], the only reason I can see is to push back to the earlier pivot point -- it's just later in the day than usual. Interesting push back. If the motortrend article has any validity (Apple car costing 75k)...

I always seem to notice an attack on TSLA between 13:10-14:00EST. Could be my imagination, but it seems whenever resistance lines are crossed (I pegged today's at 251.9) a relentless selloff happens. But if we can hold above that number we are looking good.

It is certainly a pivot and battleground. If we can gain traction above this we are headed to the next resistance - somewhere in the neighborhood of 255.9ish. If not the next level of support is 243ish. We will know soon after the munch hour, but my inclination is that we will gain traction near...

Anyone else noticing the rangebound resistance at 251.9?

I agree. I would also like to point out that 28.59% are short of float. There was no (minimal) short covering on the move to $230 (in Feb there were 34.05M short, and in March 32.23M. I have watched quite a few different fundos and have a feeling this is going to be a face rip short squeeze if...

I agree, but those products have historically been released with financials, something Tesla has always been reluctant to do. The event will add support to S & X fulfillment #'s that will be released next week. AAPL has historically traded horizontal (even downward) until 5-7 days after a...

So FWIW on call spreads and short term positions.. A few things concern me on the charts, especially as we are looking at EOM today. First off, I would feel a bit better about this if we didn't open this morning with a gap -- it's still premarket, but I don't like seeing gaps in an already...

As far as short term, I thought I would add more two cents. Quick background: I took over my own investing from managed broker funds in June 2012. I bought a few hundred shares of TSLA among others - my entry was around $30. I sold a large portion of that in Oct 2013 at around $180. For the next...

I would caution catching a falling knife for about the next 45 days. I would not be surprised to see a 'sell the news' going in to next week, and crickets chirping on the volume Thursday (M3 day). Regardless of the outcome, history tells us with Telsa unveilings that knives from the sky follow...

As far as TA goes, we are really [really] close to breaking down the 10DMA [226ish] at close tomorrow, if that happens, we are headed further down – from what I can tell 209 territory. We have broken critical support of 228ish, even below the 14-3 Day RS at 70%.. My inclination tells me we are...

New to this forum, but not Tesla. I am pouring over some charts, TA's and positions to get a barometer if we are headed north or south. I have held shares at $37, 145, 165 and 218. I typically buy dips, and this bear run will be no exception. However, for the short term let me sink my claws in...