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  1. 1

    2017 Investor Roundtable:General Discussion

    This site (Funds Holding TSLA) provides more detailed view of institutional ownership for TSLA. Not sure where they get their data but they also list Call/Put holdings for individual hedge funds (Scroll to bottom for biggest Put holders). Seems like these banks are net short TSLA: UBS (-$397...
  2. 1

    2017 Investor Roundtable:General Discussion

    Chamath again today on CNBC: Palihapitiya: Tesla's a very 'dangerous' stock to be short
  3. 1

    2017 Investor Roundtable:General Discussion

    More like 5V, 3.3V and 1.8V. These are the voltages used to power electronics / chips. 48V is great if you want to power something like an electric supercharger (which is basically an electric motor) or cut cost on your 1 km long electric harnesses (you can use thinner cables). None of this...
  4. 1

    2017 Investor Roundtable:General Discussion

    Heated TSLA debate on CNBC: Is Tesla a must-own stock? Tesla: Ultimate growth stock?
  5. 1

    2017 Investor Roundtable:General Discussion

    Daimler Steps Back From Fuel-Cell Car Development Zetsche said declining battery costs have made fuel cell vehicles uncompetitive with electric cars This probably means game over for hydrogen powered cars. If you are a car manufacturer spending money on fuel cells R&D after this it will be...
  6. 1

    2017 Investor Roundtable:General Discussion

    This guy raises some good points on import tax. http://seekingalpha.com/article/4040181-trump-big-tesla-analyzing-impact-import-tax
  7. 1

    2017 Investor Roundtable:General Discussion

    Check out LIX, LAC, BCN and NMX.
  8. 1

    2017 Investor Roundtable:General Discussion

    Tesla quietly brings online its massive – biggest in the world – 80 MWh Powerpack station with Southern California Edison Valuing TE at $0 is getting harder every day ...
  9. 1

    2017 Investor Roundtable:General Discussion

    I think Faraday Future is exactly the kind of company bears are trying to find in Tesla.
  10. 1

    2017 Investor Roundtable:General Discussion

    Little OT: Chevy Bolt Crashed On Its Own, Says Owner
  11. 1

    2017 Investor Roundtable:General Discussion

    This articles may help you understand why hydrogen cars are such a bad idea. It was written by former fuel cell engineer. It's extremely long but worthwhile reading. Why fuel cell cars don't work - part 1 - mux' blog - Tweakblogs - Tweakers Why fuel cell cars don't work - part 2 - mux' blog -...
  12. 1

    2017 Investor Roundtable:General Discussion

    Large Luxury Car Sales In America - December 2016 & 2016 Year End - GOOD CAR BAD CAR GCBC estimates 29,156 Model S sold in US in 2016 (26,566 in 2015). Second place is Mercedes S-Class with 18,803 sales (21,934 in 2015). The gap is widening. 85,774 (56,618+29,156) large luxury cars sold in...
  13. 1

    2017 Investor Roundtable:General Discussion

    579 Bolt EVs were delivered in December / 2016. http://www.gm.com/content/dam/gm/mol/docs/Deliveries-December-2016.pdf
  14. 1

    2017 Investor Roundtable:General Discussion

    OT Found this on stocktwits. Looks like Elon's new White House friends ... :)
  15. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Also in news today ... Two top Faraday Future executives just resigned Marco Mattiacci, chief brand and commercial officer, and Joerg Sommer, vice president for product marketing and growth, have left the company.
  16. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Good news for SpaceX (WSJ paywall): Thiel Pushes to Add Commercial-Space Backers to Trump NASA Team Venture capitalist Peter Thiel successfully pushed to give commercial space companies a stronger voice within President-elect Donald Trump’s NASA transition team, the result of an internal tug...
  17. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Large Luxury Car Sales In America - November 2016 YTD Numbers for November.
  18. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    It's even worse in Europe: Opel Ampera vs Opel Ampera-e.
  19. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    It's like 'Watch out iPhone all those android phones are coming for ya!' news back in 2008.
  20. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    So it was pure marketing decision to give Bolt range of 235 miles, just to beat Model 3's range. Apparently if there is no economic sense behind the car you can let your marketing department chose what parameters should it have. :)
  21. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    BTW TSLA has the same level of short interest as DRYS had before the short squeeze (around 32%), NVDA was on 16% before earnings.
  22. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Jan '19 options available on TSLA.
  23. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Peter Thiel is also a SpaceX investor.
  24. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    InsideEVs published list of known new EV models that will hit the road in next 5 years: Renault ZOE, ~200 miles of range, available now in the UK Chevrolet Bolt, 238 miles, currently in production Hyundai Ioniq EV, 110 miles, available this winter Nissan LEAF, 200+ miles, “soon”/2017 Tesla...
  25. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    NVDA is also a company with relative high short interest - currently 16% (67.4M out of 506M shares). After upbeat CC we may see some short squeeze in near future here.
  26. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Why would you compare a gas generator to a battery storage system?
  27. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Bob Lutz to the rescue :) Lutz: Tesla's stock will go nowhere but south Edit: Every time he blatantly lies about Tesla on CNBC it usually signals his employees are ready to take some profits of the table.
  28. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    SCTY is the one that is being manipulated here (it can be done with much smaller number of shares). If you control price of SCTY you have risk free way to control price of TSLA. It's already going on since August.
  29. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Arbitrage trading is going on. Can't do much, just sit it through until merger vote is done. Great times for option sellers tho.
  30. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    For people wondering about recent price action: TSLA is currently heavily manipulated via the TSLA/SCTY arbitrage trade for 3 months already. For bears it's almost risk free way to short the stock. Don't expect any major moves in the stock until the arbitrage trade is gone. Nor ratings of...
  31. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Looks like this years will Tesla dominate the Large Luxury Car Segment even more than last year: Large Luxury Car Sales In America - September 2016 YTD - GOOD CAR BAD CAR Tesla, unfortunately, doesn't release model-specific monthly U.S. sales data, but HybridCars.com estimates 4100 September...
  32. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Looks like Tesla and GS ended their abusive marriage :) It may be painful in short-term but I somehow like it that GS won't be part of TSLA's future.
  33. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Let's not forget that it takes combined effort of two companies (GM + LG / both 50+ years old) to make one electric car. That's not good sign for profit margins. LG supplies: Battery Cells and Pack Electric Drive Motor (built from GM design) Power Inverter Module (converts DC power to AC for...
  34. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    In my opinion if the SCTY deals doesn't go through, TSLA will plummet even more. It would be signaling that Tesla investors don't trust it's management. It will also left Solarcity financing in though spot. Shorts would be screaming: "Elon Musk's (second) company is facing bankruptcy" which will...
  35. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    What is the chance that Tesla in future offers Apple / Google a white label solution based on Model 3 platform? It would be something like: "Provide us with your designs for interior and exterior and we'll make you as many cars as you want". It would suit Tesla as Elon can focus on building his...
  36. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    As soon as you enter your arbitrage trade your profit is locked. Price fluctuations of both stocks doesn't matter for you anymore. Poor performance of SCTY is caused by combination of #2 and #3.
  37. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    There is high open interest on weekly options. If volume won't pick up significantly SP will finish this week around 227.5 (max pain).
  38. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Isn't it so you can pay for your airtime on CNBC? That's how this interview looked like to me.
  39. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Sales of BMW's best selling car, the 3-Series are down almost 23% YTD in North America according to this page Small And Midsize Luxury Car Sales In America - June 2016 YTD - GOOD CAR BAD CAR By making these Ads they just admit it's because of the Model 3 (Nissan did the same when sales of Leaf...
  40. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    More like MMs. This being an earnings week, there will be a lot of options they need to expire worthless. :) Maximum pain is at 227.5.
  41. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    I wouldn't take this accident much seriously. Nowhere in the Autopilot manual is it said that it will avoid road obstacles for you, so why use it in such situation? Also, was there a car to the right that AP tried also to avoid? Can't really tell from this video.
  42. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Nope, just youtubed "tesla china autopilot crash" and linked the 2 hours old video i found. BTW thx for dislike. :oops:
  43. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    That's one lazy driver :)
  44. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Is this the video of China AP accident? (Can't access the original link without weibo login)
  45. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    On top of that. Tesla isn't very keen on helping Mobileye to improve their product especially when this product ends up in their competitor's cars.
  46. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Are you sure about this options conversion? My understanding is that all OTM SCTY calls will expire worthless on the day of acquisition.
  47. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    I will just add to the last part. Elon mentioned that they will present all the financials after the due diligence is over.
  48. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Half of professional financial community is saying that about Tesla too. Isn't there a chance that those are the same guys?
  49. 1

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Currently SCTY is trading at $22.12. TSLA proposed exchange ratio will be between 0.122x and 0.131x (as per blog post). This way by purchasing SCTY at current price you will be effectively purchasing TSLA at $181.3 ($22.12 / 0.122). TSLA is currently traded at $200 so that makes it almost 10%...