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  1. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Default? It's not gonna happen. Extremely unlikely scenario.
  2. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    ES (SPX futures) bids currently at 2567.50. Limit down again. Crazy price action. Let's wait for Powell.
  3. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    $SPY about to gap down 8%! Crazy opening.
  4. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Price gap to close: 674 to 654.
  5. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Looks almost ready to move again..
  6. L

    TSLA Technical Analysis

    Here are some examples of flags: They are continuation patterns on lower volume, usually in the opposite direction of the primary trend. TSLA did not really form a flag recently, but you can consider this one a very similar pattern (hourly chart):
  7. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Did you know TSLA is in a bear market now? Here's the proof: Oh CNBC...
  8. L

    TSLA Technical Analysis

    I'm sorry but where do you see a flag?
  9. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Typical price action after topping doji. Possible push up after the gap down to close the gap. *If* it fails there, it's a day trade short. So many chasers got trapped yesterday and many will look to get out. Sentiment can change very quickly. Doesn't change the long term bull thesis of course...
  10. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    There was no news to justify a +50% in a couple day to begin with. A lot of people are just FOMOing as the price goes vertical at never seen level of overextension. As soon as the buying pressure starts to abate and the price begin to slide a lot of chaser will want to get out as soon as...
  11. L

    TSLA Technical Analysis

    Long legged doji on huge volume with gap below. Never seen level of overextension after a paraboic run. Relatively short interest. This looks like a textbook top in the making to me.
  12. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    We'll probably get there (and even higher). I wouldn't necessarily sell a core long position, I'm just saying that opening a new position now is probably not the best idea from a risk / reward standpoint.
  13. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Very true. It would be foolish to blindly short now, but I would be careful on the long side (I would not go long at these prices)
  14. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    ER was good and I'm bullish on the long term. That said it's quite obvious that we are reaching a peak in enthusiasm and exuberance, just like we reached a peak in negative sentiment in late May / June. A lot of shorts will be forced to cover and that will provide momentum, but the short...
  15. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    "Adam Jonas put out a $10-500 price target on $TSLA and was still wrong."
  16. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    TSLA PT raised to $612 Oppenheimer. That's the catalyst for today. Spiegel reopened a short position with a stop at 498, so you know the rally is not over yet. :p
  17. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Spiegel closing his short position marked the top ahah. But I'm sure he will short again at a lower price and cover again at a new all time high.
  18. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Not sure what's your point. I'm a very short term option trader and I was basically right in every istance you quoted but one. Did you check the chart? That doesn't mean I'm not bullish on TSLA as a long term investment. I'm just commenting on the very short term price action. If you find that...
  19. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Huge put flow today, even on the weekly(!) The stock is massively overextended on the short term after this amazing rally. A pullback is likely now.
  20. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Trucks are a “much larger niche”.. in the US.
  21. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    The stock is massively overbought... lost momentum and broke down following a textbook doji intraday. This is normal price action after such a huge move and every stock does the same thing... Profit taking and some shorts, but I can't see how you can call this price action "manipulation". The...
  22. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    It's a very low volume day and ER is in 2 days. Some traders are taking profits after a nice run up last week. TSLA touched the resistance level on Friday and it's retracing a bit. This is absolutely normal behaviour for a stock. You can't expect TSLA to breakout before earnings.
  23. L

    TSLA Technical Analysis

    Clear breakdown as expected.. Not much momentum though.
  24. L

    TSLA Technical Analysis

    Clean channel on 60 min chart, but the stock is losing momentum. I think we get a breakdown this week.
  25. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    The stock is currently down 4%. It was up over 6% because of that email.
  26. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    After yesterday price action a lower low today was almost certain.
  27. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Exactly.. A big movement is coming tomorrow, and probably down.
  28. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    TSLA underperformance continues... Weak price action, very narrow range today, inside day. It should be a nice day trade tomorrow.
  29. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    The market is closed. $ES (SPX futures) does not trade after 5PM Friday.
  30. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Model S and X will be affected though.
  31. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    China tariffs. China to retaliate with new tariffs on another $75 billion worth of US goods, including autos
  32. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Rumors from Germany regarding a potential takeover. Obviously false, but you know how the market works.
  33. L

    TSLA Technical Analysis

    The reason is the technical setup.
  34. L

    TSLA Technical Analysis

    I would expect a breakdown today or in the next few days, the general market is looking weak. Need confirmation for a nice trade.
  35. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Q1 was a disaster, that's hardly a fair comparison. Look at Q3 and Q4 of last year and the picture is not as rosy despite even higher deliveries. Expectations have come down a lot, and the share price followed.
  36. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Ford trades at 0.2x P/S with a 6% dividend. No reason to be long Ford either by the way. TSLA has been repriced from "profitable growth" to "growth, with losses and lower margins". Unfortunately I do not expect this new story to change anytime soon.
  37. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    The story has materially changed. In H2 2018, Tesla appeared to be in a fantastic position, but not anymore. We have gone from "profit every quarter" to posting a $1.1B GAAP loss in H1 2019 in less than 9 months. To be honest, every other CEO would have been fired after such a miss. Obviously...
  38. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    TSLA price target lowered to $160 from $200 at UBS. I guess this explain the slightly red premarket.
  39. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Osha’s overall estimate of second-quarter deliveries—the company books revenue after a customer accepts a vehicle—has risen from 90,500, below Wall Street’s 92,000 consensus, to 97,000. 97k, really?
  40. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    It's never going to break the strongest support line: $0. Last year it did wonders.
  41. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    By the end of the day we should be above average volume.
  42. L

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Really? The entire market is in deep red.
  43. L

    TSLA Technical Analysis

    I guess we are going down.
  44. L

    TSLA Technical Analysis

    I wish I knew. Not sure right now, but the chart looks bearish to me.