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  1. V

    A possible solution to the autopilot nags

    Interesting presentation from Karpathy about Tesla autopilot development. But for me not a very good news for the one expecting a quick FSD release. Its the confirmation that they are focusing on software 2.0 for part of their driving policy, a lot of data, labeling, and...
  2. V

    Tesla Full Self Driving Availability Prediction

    Agreed. Autopilot will be level 2 for still a very long time. Even if the system can get much better avoiding the obvious deadly collision with road obstacle and stop objects, I'm not sure at all people will be confortable sleeping in their car on the highway or in the city trusting 100% the...
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    Tesla Full Self Driving Availability Prediction

    I bet anything that Tesla already has test vehicles out there running FSD that can meet or exceed what Mobileye has been showing off with their system in this video, but that they're simply waiting to "flip the switch" to release it to all cars with FSD once it's ready for prime time. I was...
  4. V

    Tesla Full Self Driving Availability Prediction

    I totally concur with your analysis and Siri comparaison. Its not their main advantage against competition, and they are even lagging others (Siri, map, iMessage against google assistant, Alexa, google map, Waze, WhatsApp) but it make sense for them to develop it anyway to be independent. As...
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    Tesla Full Self Driving Availability Prediction

    Driving policy is a hard task, that Waymo tackled well with a lot of work, programmation and simulation, and that Mobileye is pushing the formalization through is RSS paper (Responsibility Sensitive Safety). But the best driving policy worse not much if you don't have a perfect situational...
  6. V

    Where is the enhanced autopilot?

    Here is the Mobileye reference paper : https://arxiv.org/pdf/1708.06374.pdf and some application cases : https://www.mobileye.com/responsibility-sensitive-safety/rss_on_nhtsa.pdf The regulatory basis around self driving safety is still in its infancy but there is a better chance that in the...
  7. V

    Where is the enhanced autopilot?

    I'm not a nay-sayer, just trying to understand how realisticaly it works. Vision alone FSD is possible, but even with radar is 100% sure by construction not to offer enough redundancy to get to very high safety level. Mobileye in is security academic paper is talking about a goal of 10-9...
  8. V

    Where is the enhanced autopilot?

    There are other areas that I won't discuss, like specific hardware fault detection, but those areas are also complicated. (And to be clear, hardware fault does not necessarily mean total failure. It can mean that equipment is producing subtle incorrect data, which is much more dangerous than...
  9. V

    Where is the enhanced autopilot?

    There are some misconception on how self driving is working. If we say human driver is 99.9% reliable (not real number just to illustrate), level 4/5 FSD to be acceptable need to reach 99.99%. One way to get there is redundancy : two independent 99% systems give you your 99.99%. If we simplify...
  10. V

    Phone Distracted Driver on Autopilot Slams into Firetruck

    Perhaps better to be proactive than to wait for the NTSB to impose real restrictions.
  11. V

    Phone Distracted Driver on Autopilot Slams into Firetruck

    If every accident (and it will not be the last) of this kind is highly commented and debated, its not only due to Tesla/self driving bashing, but because of the special situation of level 2 autosteer and Tesla communication. The last 30 years have seen tremendous progress in term of passive and...