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  1. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    That quote is somewhat misquoted from the Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham. You are using it incorrectly though. The 2nd part is that it acts as a scale ...in relation to fundamentals. This is actually what is happening with Tesla as the price adjust downwards to where the fundamentals...
  2. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I live in the midwest and I am starting to see model 3s. Granted I am in a fairly large city. However we have high need for large vehicles like pick up trucks for much of the work, so we really need very capable 4x4s with good tow capacity over many miles of range. Part of it's FUD, but part...
  3. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    As a righty/libertarian I generally do support Tesla and what they're doing, despite my disappointment with how they're running things lately (Tesla unforced errors).
  4. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Personally I'd be surprised if the ASP will end up that high if they're pushing for like 30k lower margin m3s right now in the US. That will offset Europe numbers. Troy usually has good estimates but I don't know how much data he's been getting lately.
  5. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    The margins on Q3 were just so good too. I don't know if we'll see anything that Good. I'd be more curious about their demand forecasts for m3 and like Ive said previously, their SR margins are critical. If those are good everything else will be even higher of course. (SR+, color options...
  6. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Yeah I cashed my stock out just to play it safe. And I have one short term put now. I don't know if I will play earnings. I may switch to calls ahead of it but super mitigated/limited risk. I think the delivery numbers will be decent, just don't know about margins.
  7. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    If you were the judge trying to monitor Elon's behavior on Twitter just remember he agreed to pre approved tweets and now he clearly stated he wasn't having tweets reviewed ahead of time. That's a violation. The judge will have to do something. Her hands are tied. At the very least they will...
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    He is not supposed to tweet anything that could be material. That tweet is a production number that is on the high end. All he had to do was get it pre approved. He's a public CEO of a public company, he can't just do what he wants if his Twitter account is an official communication channel...
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I want 20 or 15 percent for the short range m3. Point 2 I'd rather see them constantly hiring without having to reduce labor costs. Growth is growth. 3. Not willfully blind, just not gullible. burned by Elon too many times to count. :) . If the judge orders him to give up his Twitter...
  10. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I doubt that would be the reason. I think the SEC and the store closings back and forth as well as the questions about demand are to blame for current price.
  11. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    For me to go long again I need to see actual margins, no store closures and no firing but hiring of employees. Also I need to see sustainable model 3 demand which I'm not as confident of yet ...plus decent margins on the short range $35k version oh and a lessening of service and lack of parts...
  12. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Just be careful you're not hearing and seeing what you want to see from Tesla. I'm a bear after Elon's craziness hurt my calls and stock. I've sold out. Traitor.
  13. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Hehe well I do hold puts as of yesterday so yes. But think about it...don't you think Tesla is just bull_-#&#&#+ing? I mean really... even if I still held my calls I would suspect the same.
  14. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    He should be held in contempt, but just because he isn't following the agreement to pre-approve possibly material tweets. Tweets about production rates would be material for sure and the agreement states reasonably could be material. Definitely met that threshold and should have had prior...
  15. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Nah I think this is an excuse like Fred thought. Elon has built plenty of websites, it'd be easy for Tesla to fake website crashes. This is what we're trusting for self driving? Kinda scary thought.
  16. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    But how did they process all the preorders for model 3 when they had 400k in like 24 hrs? FYI I've changed sides on Tesla now. Sorry I'm a bear and buying puts.
  17. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Though to be fair to the original poster, some places seem to have fewer Tesla stores these days...whether or not "ppl like you" are willing to acknowledge that.
  18. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Those are 4 cylinder and they use a CVT transmission fyi, both those factors makes the get up not very good. Gas mileage is quite nice however.
  19. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I'm hoping that Lathrop building sorts it out.
  20. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I can appreciate that will be a significant savings, that is true. Does anyone know what Tesla's policy is with regard to the battery? IE length of warranty and the cost of replacement? Also any updates on model 3 wait time for parts. I really need Tesla to have the parts sorted out. I can...
  21. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    That's what I'm going for! My $20k wish was due to budgets. I just can't justify dropping $40k for a vehicle that depreciates (except trucks for my business which I can take depreciation as an expense). After working on my own vehicles for many years I probably won't spring for a Lexus when a...
  22. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    There is a bit of "crossover(haha)" there where it's a bit hard to tell. When I sold cars I guess I mentally consideresd the Rogues and Rav4s to be more like mini SUVs. The full size typical SUV are much larger. I sold Muranos and Pathfinders in the full SUV class. The Rogue I can't remember...
  23. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Yes please! Okay okay a new rogue is like $34k I guess I can't complain.
  24. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    On that note I wish model Y was cheaper. I can get a 2 year old Nissan Rogue for low $20s. Almost half the price of Y
  25. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I should probably clarify...I wasnt left feeling awesome (just lackluster) about the presentation that night and then definitely wasn't liking the stock price action on Friday!
  26. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Definitely agree w that. He comes off very socially awkward. Like he never got out of high school goody/nerdy stage but that just goes with the intelligence. Kinda the likable nerd. I agree it's a bit cringy lol. Well at least I cringe when I watch him present. He seems out of place, not...
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    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    No idea on orders...with m3 it didn't help to reserve early so I think fewer will order for model Y. There will be some of course but yeah probably not a huge infusion especially with it being 1.5 years from production on high end.
  28. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    What is his username on here I wonder...
  29. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    You are basically agreeing with my point that it was a bad presentation. I think Elon has to be more careful with his time projections now that the SEC is watching closely or he was just kinda depressed or off that night. I don't think it was a deliberate attempt to make it ho hum. He just...
  30. G

    Brexit

    Well then let them do a 2nd vote, who cares?
  31. G

    Brexit

    Well if you don't vote you cannot complain.. the brexiters won the majority of the vote did they not? Maybe the rest of the population would have voted for Brexit as well...you can't skew the numbers the way you want the outcome.
  32. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Anyone know the ground clearance of it? That's my only concern - it doesn't seem high enough. The Nissan rogue is popular because we can get around in pretty deep snow around Midwest with it.
  33. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    SEC! SEC! Where are they when you need them?
  34. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Actually I think the model Y was his attempt to pump the price up again. It just went badly since they did not tease anything else (I mean the truck was so hidden I wouldn't even call it a "one other thing". If they were serious they would have rolled the pick up out. It just feels like he's...
  35. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Where do you live that you don't see crossovers? They're the Toyota Rav4, Nissan Rogue, etc.
  36. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I agree with you on this. It doesn't change anything. Tesla is not even close to production on Y, much less the pickup. I sold most of my shares today to lock in what I had.
  37. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Yeah I saw you posted it but it was a question. By the time you posted Musk had confirmed it about 5 minutes before on his Twitter.
  38. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Surprised the thread is behind the news. Musk just said the teaser last night was the pick up truck but no one caught it.
  39. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Most of the estimates on Twitter seem to be in the 2k to 3k range by the non experts that track the ships
  40. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Or a little thing called advertising? This is why Tesla needs to advertise. I bet most ppl don't even know the range available and how fast they can charge now.
  41. G

    Brexit

    Feel sorry for the Brits. They vote to leave and government too inept to make it happen. They should just no deal it and leave
  42. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I would say generally yes CUVs sit higher and often have a little more ground clearance as well I think. Plus many CUVs are larger than the pic posted and would not look so close in size to a hatchback.
  43. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I think it's about 26.4999 million fewer these days!
  44. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Unfortunately the timing of MS Jonas's note was quite poor (or deliberate?) Tesla was gaining momentum and then he tried to snuff it out this morning.
  45. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    To the board: I know I do instigate a bit much so take my posts with a grain of salt. I enjoy the discussion that ensues though. I want this to be a balanced investors board...not a Tesla cheerleading squad. Don't worry about the comments on my business....I make money while you post here...
  46. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    They are great at managing overhead. Almost like using a tent to build cars. ;)
  47. G

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Unfortunately I have 21 milli.....*cough cough* 21.