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  1. Jeff N

    Elon: FSD Beta tweets

    Just for the record, the only major automakers on the NACS adoption graphic (posted in December, 2023) shown as having “not yet” adopted NACS have since adopted it (Stellantis and Mazda). The remaining non-adopters are all low-volume.
  2. Jeff N

    FSD V12 (end to end AI)

    Alright everybody, here we go!
  3. Jeff N

    FSD V12 (end to end AI)

    I just got back from a grocery run that was my first drive on FSD 12.3. Generally things seemed good. A little more confident feeling and I noticed a couple of improvements at places where 12.2.1 had issues. For example, an intersection where 12.2.1 wasn’t making a full stop has been fixed...
  4. Jeff N

    FSD V12 (end to end AI)

    I just got notified that FSD 12.3 is ready for download to update the 12.2.1 on my radar-free 2021 Model Y HW3 once I’m on WiFi.
  5. Jeff N

    FSD V12 (end to end AI)

    Yes, I noticed it also on 2 or 3 occasions but not in the last few days.
  6. Jeff N

    FSD V12 (end to end AI)

    I have driven through multiple narrow road situations where V11 would have folded the mirrors and V12 has not done that yet. I’m not sure that’s true. The FSD NN seems to be fed navigation path data that weights/guides it on when to turn and perhaps even includes incomplete lane metadata...
  7. Jeff N

    FSD V12 (end to end AI)

    We had some fairly heavy rain yesterday afternoon in the SF area and I thought 12.2.1 on HW3 actually did well. The only time I noticed it behave differently aside from perhaps driving (reasonably) a little slower on city streets (due to the rain) was one street that splits from one into two...
  8. Jeff N

    FSD V12 (end to end AI)

    Yes, the left lane was open with little traffic and was in the same direction — the car wasn’t crossing over into an oncoming lane in order to bypass the double-parked cars. This all would have made for a good video segment but I long-ago stopped recording my trips on Waymo because nothing...
  9. Jeff N

    FSD V12 (end to end AI)

    I was in a Waymo a few days ago and noticed that it also doesn’t always look or plan its path very far in advance. It wanted to be in the right lane for an upcoming turn at the next intersection but the lane was blocked by 3 obviously double-parked cars at intervals down the street. For each...
  10. Jeff N

    FSD V12 (end to end AI)

    I had a situation a few days ago driving down a major street heading for a freeway onramp at the next intersection. The onramp was backed up with a long line of cars and V12.2.1 saw it, slowed a bit and momentarily hesitated and then turned to the right and got in line. Impressive. I suspect V11...
  11. Jeff N

    Ford says owners can start using superchargers today (Feb 29)

    The Tesla app appears to allow a NACS adapter user to initiate a charge through the Tesla app which implies the ability to charge without using Plug & Charge. I obviously haven’t tried it yet, but I’m guessing if I had an adapter I would be able to use the Tesla app today to initiate a charge...
  12. Jeff N

    FSD V12 (end to end AI)

    A few random notes about V2.2.1 that I’m not sure I’ve seen mentioned here yet: 1. It no longer visualizes traffic cones or trash cans (except on the freeway where the old software stack is running). 2. It occasionally does this weird Creepy Wheel thing where every few seconds it turns/nudges...
  13. Jeff N

    Cruise

    It’s true that Cruise sometimes had problems with being rude and overly assertive (and plainly just a bit weird) around pedestrians in crosswalks as can be seen around the 1:30 mark in my video below from 9 months ago. Of course, the accident with the woman being dragged under the car happened...
  14. Jeff N

    First Ever NACS Adapter

    The official adapter is now apparently available for ordering on parts.ford.com for a nominal $1 fee. You can find it by doing a lookup based on an appropriate vehicle such as a 2022 Ford Mach-e using the parts keyword “adapter”. Eric Roe on Xitter said his attempt to order one seemed to be...
  15. Jeff N

    FSD V12 (end to end AI)

    My first drive: I got 12.2.1 this afternoon and just took it on a good mix of narrow streets, streets with heavily-worn lane markings, weird intersections, busy commute-hour main streets, and residential and commercial streets in San Francisco. I started just before dusk and ended with the sky...
  16. Jeff N

    FSD V12 (end to end AI)

    Ahem. It’s installing on my 2021 HW3 Model Y as I type this.
  17. Jeff N

    Tesla BEV Competition Developments

    I strongly suspect it will also have the new Google-based infotainment system and GM’s updated vehicle controller architecture which will finally enable over the air software updates to all vehicle components and not just the infotainment computer. That would mean the updated Bolt would finally...
  18. Jeff N

    Coronavirus

    NEW: The BBC debunks claims about excess deaths and Covid-19 mRNA vaccine made by YouTuber John Campbell. https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m001r1mq
  19. Jeff N

    FSD Beta v11.x

    Likely the latter. In some circumstances, as a Cruise backseat test rider, I’ve seen it drive too close (in my opinion) to pedestrians in crosswalks even in unobstructed daylight. They also drive a little too close behind vehicles ahead of them (tailgating). In general, I’d like to see them give...
  20. Jeff N

    Supercharger - Tejon Ranch, CA - Outlets at Tejon Pkwy (LIVE 1 Sep 2021, 76 V3 stalls)

    It was also listed as a temporary closure yesterday on June 17 so I got routed to the Bakersfield Copus Road Supercharger on my drive north on I-5. Then Copus Road closed on my way there and I got rerouted to a later site with an estimate for 2% remaining range upon arrival. All 7 of the...
  21. Jeff N

    Autonomous Car Progress

    True. Remote intervention appears to happen regularly — too regularly. Maybe an average of once per trip. But not in a way that makes Cruise unsafe, just annoying for others and cost inefficient for them. I assume that their strategy is to spend money to make remote interventions happen quickly...
  22. Jeff N

    Autonomous Car Progress

    From personal experience, Cruise and Waymo drive far more comfortably than FSD 11.4.2. FSD has improved a lot in recent months but it still has a long way to go in achieving low g-force passenger comfort. Stopping and accelerating in the Cruise or Waymo is very floaty — everything is typically...
  23. Jeff N

    Autonomous Car Progress

    This video clip of a Cruise stopped in front of a road construction closure is only a few seconds long. Yes, the car should not get stuck and should choose another direction automatically and reroute. They need to get better. However, in my experience, situations like this are usually resolved...
  24. Jeff N

    Coronavirus

    Do you wear the same industrial strength version you use at work or a light travel model on the go?
  25. Jeff N

    Autonomous Car Progress

    My first collision.
  26. Jeff N

    Autonomous Car Progress

    Uh oh….. Fortunately, Cruise support was on the job quickly. I received an automatic phone support call within seconds and an on-scene Cruise support vehicle was there immediately. That’s them in the right side of the windshield parked in a regular Bolt with the orange Cruise logo on rear...
  27. Jeff N

    Autonomous Car Progress

    Wow, that was a huge customer support fail. All of my in-car support calls or car-initiated calls were answered within 10-15 seconds. I have seen the backing up issue before. In one case, the car stopped to pick me up too close to a parked car ahead at the curb. When it came time to start the...
  28. Jeff N

    FSD discussion

    I don’t have enough seat time in Waymo to have an opinion on that.
  29. Jeff N

    FSD discussion

    One things I have noticed on Cruise is that I’m averaging almost one apparent remote intervention per ride in SF. As in, the car will get stuck or confused and the passenger info screen will say “we’re helping to move your car…”. Often this will be only momentary and without the notice on...
  30. Jeff N

    Autonomous Car Progress

    For what it’s worth, every time I’m on US-101 in the SF Bay Area I end up seeing a Waymo in the slower lanes. I don’t tend to drive much further south of SF than San Mateo so I don’t know if they are testing drives to SFO or all the way down to the South Bay.
  31. Jeff N

    Autonomous Car Progress

    Yep, that was me on my first daytime non-employee ride. It was not the best way to start. The rest of the ride to my destination and back on that day was generally pretty good though. On another day I did notice more problems. Sometimes the car was stopped at an intersection on a red light...
  32. Jeff N

    Elon: FSD Beta tweets

    I just posted a video of my first daytime test ride on Cruise a few weeks ago. At the 1:30 minute mark you will see a somewhat similar example, this time with an older woman with a cane, where the car seemingly steers towards a pedestrian. In this case, there was nobody lunging off-screen from...
  33. Jeff N

    Elon: FSD Beta tweets

    This is something that Cruise is generally relatively better at than FSD. It is gently assertive at nosing its way into busy intersections or pedestrians where FSD is just fully stopped. In fact it may be “too good” at being assertive around pedestrians. It is sometimes a little rude at...
  34. Jeff N

    Autonomous Car Progress

    A later tweet in that thread shows this image: Here’s what that really means as I understand it. They have apparently tested the cars with human supervision across the full city map shown in Kyle’s first tweet and found the current system to be sufficiently ready. For actual “driverless”...
  35. Jeff N

    FSD Beta v11.x

    No, but I rode in the front passenger seat of a Waymo twice. I hadn’t realized before then that Waymo was allowing people to sit up front with a driverless car. There is a sign on the steering wheel that warns that the car will stop if you try to mess with the steering wheel. Cruise only lets...
  36. Jeff N

    FSD Beta v11.x

    I’ve ridden a couple of times in a “driverless” Waymo recently and quite a bit in “driverless” Cruise vehicles and there is a big difference in smoothness of steering, acceleration, and braking between them and Tesla FSD. It’s not subtle. Cruise and Waymo have their moments of indecision but...
  37. Jeff N

    FSD Beta v11.x

    And it still isn’t that gentle… My experience is that FSD comes to a full stop and then often waits one or even two or more seconds before continuing. Here’s my wish: in order to bring the car to a full stop (at a stop sign etc.), they should handoff to the one-pedal regen system which does a...
  38. Jeff N

    FSD Beta v11.x

    I took 11.3.6 out for a day-long drive from SF down through the Santa Cruz Mountains along the peninsula on Skyline Blvd and some backwoods connecting roads and then CA-9 near Saratoga and then back to SF on I-280. Things I noticed: FSD did a very good job of driving on the winding mountain...
  39. Jeff N

    CCS Adapter for North America

    Back in late November, I charged my 2022 Model Y LR on similar-looking charger hardware installed at Electrify America at the Pacific View Mall in Ventura, California. I got charged at a peak of 243 kW, according to my EA receipt email, and I captured a photo inside the car showing 237 kW at...
  40. Jeff N

    CCS Adapter for North America

    At least for CCS Type 1 (North America etc.), the locking mechanism is in the car somewhat equivalent to the native Tesla solution but less elegant (as usual).
  41. Jeff N

    Elon: FSD Beta tweets

    This timing works out great for me since my ADAS/FSD Computer died (under warranty) during the winter holidays and won’t be replaced until next week. Lookin’ good! 😜
  42. Jeff N

    Coronavirus

    A better copy of the latest CDC variant estimates showing XBB 1.5 at 40%:
  43. Jeff N

    Coronavirus

    As I think PACEMD mentioned recently, (mRNA) vaccines were initially highly effective at preventing infection but became less so over time as more variants showed up that were adapted to evade neutralization by antibodies formed as a result of older variants. Even today, vaccines do indeed...
  44. Jeff N

    Elon & Twitter

    A few minutes after Elon bailed out on his 2-minute appearance in the Twitter Space discussion the entire discussion ended suddenly. The normal recording playback is not available. It’s been censored.
  45. Jeff N

    Elon & Twitter

    Elon made a personal appearance for all of 2-3 minutes on the Twitter Space discussion but bailed out without answering any substantial questions.
  46. Jeff N

    Elon & Twitter

    It turns out that being suspended on Twitter doesn’t prevent you from participating in a live Twitter Space discussion. Happening now: https://twitter.com/i/spaces/1yNxaNwdboqKj
  47. Jeff N

    Coronavirus

    I suspect you are referring to the study discussed here: https://first10em.com/the-now-infamous-but-not-very-helpful-n95-trial-loeb-2022/
  48. Jeff N

    Coronavirus

    True, serology tests can also look for spike antibodies and any results reporting ~97% results pretty obviously include spike testing. I meant to say that serology survey results often measure only nucleocapsid antibodies in order to distinguish the ratio of the population that has been infected...
  49. Jeff N

    Coronavirus

    No. The seropositive tests look for nucleocapsid antibodies and the vaccines used in North America and Europe only generate spike antibodies.
  50. Jeff N

    Coronavirus

    The book is being published on December 6 by Skyhorse Press and so far a Google search shows just a handful of articles from Murdoch-owned tabloids such as the NYPost. This is an article about the publisher from a couple of years ago...