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  1. Renaud

    Onboard charger defect

    Hello Arjan, how did this end-up? Did you change the charger or did you manage to have someone fix it for you? I'm running in the same problem and the offer I got from Tesla is not so compelling to say the least...Thanks for any info you'll provide!
  2. Renaud

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Hi everyone! Took a vacation from TSLA long time ago, eventually purchased a Model S a year ago, and came back to the stock last fall, gradually increasing my position from October on...In Feb, when it was at 320 just before the Y release I guess, I thought buy the rumor, sell the news but...
  3. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    I suppose that, as max pain stands at just 215, and if there are no specific news, it might spend the rest of the day around that number...
  4. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Not to start again the demand discussion, I officially disagree: when we'll see the growth stop, i.e. when a few quarters in a row sales are flat/decreasing, all markets are explored, heavy marketing is performed, then I will consider thinking that they are demand constrained. In the meantime...
  5. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    25, typical Y generation arrogance...
  6. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Quite impressive premarket activity! Very high volume and from 221 to less than 213, and then going back up...Maybe will settle around 215, the offering price? It's going to be an interesting day again!
  7. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    I'm kind of lost a little bit there. Is this secondary happening to fund the Model 3, or this happening to fund the Model 3 two years in advance? If it's the second option isn't just an advance on future income? If for the next two years they would produce 160k combined X and S at an ASP of...
  8. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    That raise came earlier than I was expecting it... Anyway, it's there and what do we have now? - Model S demand is still there, and nothing suggests it's dropping, - Model X production seems to finally take off. Model S was a hit, the X will certainly be a hit: all of a sudden, Porsche...
  9. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    And dark green in pre-market with a bit more activity/volume than what we used to have so early in the morning. I'm ok with that.
  10. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Basically we're following Nasdaq today, aren't we? I was maybe a bit over zealous when stating we're oversold, as pointed by Tanner, but what I meant actually is relative to the history of TSLA, there have been only a few times when RSI was that low. Now, I may not be using the correct time...
  11. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    It's been indeed a strong support, let's hope it holds if we go down there... Max-Pain for friday @ 225, although money wise for the MM, not much difference if it's 210 or 240. Anybody knows what the Open Interest Ratio means? I understand what it is, but how can one interpret this data? We...
  12. Renaud

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    Thanks for the charts! Very informative! I was disappointed to see it drift to below 210 after that nice spike in the morning. But it's a trend that's been seen many times before. So ne breakout to 220... From 12th of April till just before ER we've had as well a similar situation of being...
  13. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Not so fast! Seems they slowly woke up an hour and half ago, gently selling. Now if people could stop having lunch and start buying, I'd like to see it finishing above 212 today. Thanks :-)
  14. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    DTU is Down then UP :-)
  15. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    I'm surprised (not :D) nobody is talking about the short term SP. Or maybe we just patiently wait until next week and ER? When we got that drop to 241 due to that article or report in a magazine last week, somebody posted interesting charts with channels, that person is still welcome to do it...
  16. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Thanks for the numbers. Seems there is a small attempt to hold around 245, but I wouldn't be surprised if it falls further as the last few days, with no news, every attempt to rise significantly was instantly annihilated. And volume was getting lower and lower. Except today when volume might be...
  17. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    So no news for a couple of days, we were flat, no direction, and just two "stupid" pieces of news and that's it, bam, -3%. So those like me who were soon happy about yesterday's recovery and resilience to oil, well....still can't get used to this volatility!
  18. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    TSLA: No Rules, Great Stock See now that amateur hour is almost over if we can confirm the trend...
  19. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Luckily I've sold all my short term leveraged products before the opening yesterday, not at the highest of the pre-market, but still very happy. Bought back a very small amount when it was around 259-260, in the red now. But it's play money so no harm, and I'm confident we'll try to go higher...
  20. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Seems like we started the day following Nasdaq, but then we continue upward when it loses a bit of ground. Or maybe it is oil, only down 1% vs 3% early today. Anyway, price action today is great, 200SMA would be a nice bonus. (The Lincoln Navigator prototype makes me think of a cheap Chinese...
  21. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Nice rebound on 215, interesting volume for 1st half an hour. Glad we are back from the abyss... This feels like action on the 29th of Feb, 1st and 2nd of March. And I'm OK with it and wouldn't mind to have it continue like it did since then :D
  22. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Despite the warnings, I got myself into a corner again... We knocked twice at the 240 door and were denied entry, I was expecting more of a little drop to 225-230 and waiting there for the 31st event before really big move either way. But 215 this morning pre-market, no good :-( Pre-Market...
  23. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    I was thinking of Andrew Left, from Citron. He must be feeling nervous...
  24. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    I had almost forgotten the taste of a short squeeze ;-) Ok it's not exactly that, but it's pretty good to see anyway and is reassuring.
  25. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    It's going to be a very interesting day: the news were good, there is still strong demand for the S, the sky is not falling as the X is buildable (what a surprise ;-) but I just wonder how this vs the bad macro will be reflected. I don't expect any short squeeze as there is no good set up for...
  26. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Can you elaborate on the "massive problems" with ModelX? Is it based on facts or just another speculative interpretation of a feeling of what you might have (mis)understood?
  27. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    I've always appreciated your skepticism, your cautious approach, but there I think you're overdoing it. It's indeed -10%, but look at the whole market today, look at the whole market the las few weeks. Not all is macro related, but we are in pre-ER, the company must remain silent and has to live...
  28. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    So we could accept the whole plunge is due to macros and the perception of the implication of the X issues. Some think those X issues are that severe they will make the X unbuildable (worst case scenario) and that it will have a snowball effect on Model 3. As mentionner above by Stretch and...
  29. Renaud

    TSLA Technical Analysis

    If I read correctly High End post, if it's its analysis you're pointing at, he says we're in a downtrend, but can imagine there will be a short relief rally that will be stopped at 200, before plunging back, and sees a bottom in the 130's...
  30. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    The drop is indeed spectacular. A whole month, and the last two days are very hard to swallow: form 199 ID on monday to as low as 170 today, breaking all floors easily. Reminds me that someone was saying 170 was in sight just a few weeks ago when it all started to go bananas. Not everybody...
  31. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Wow, talking about volatility...the price swings are just incredible. The thing is completely oversold, that cannot last... When was the last time we had so much negativity here on the forum, on the analysts side and all this without ANY news from the company? With the absence of news or...
  32. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    with underweight...
  33. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Any option is open for today, specially after AJ target cut. But I don't think he's saying anything new that is not yet digested by the market, and still: 333 and Overweight. But the timing...
  34. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Yes, and pre-market, although low volume so far, down 2,2%. Futures red, oil red. In the last few sessions, what was happening pre-market was not representative of what happened during regular trading hours, to the contrary. Max-pain, however has been consistently going down: 185 for this week...
  35. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    The way I read Maoing post is that the biggest concern, the biggest risk is a possibility of Model X potentially becoming a failed product that never achieves production in a reliable way. He does not claim it's a failed product yet, but he does not rule out the risk of X becoming a failed...
  36. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Morning! Europe is green again, oil is green, no bad news, yesterday's price action was really good, we almost hit the 52 week low acting as great support. Series of 8 red candles, was completely oversold, hammers all over the place (the one from yesterday was really a sign buyers are coming...
  37. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    I was reading that a Selling Stampede lasts between 17-25 days. If it is what we are going through now, we'll just have to hold on for another few sessions. Today looks again like it's sales with nice discounts. On friday with the same set-up I was saying I wouldn't be surprised if we'd go below...
  38. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Starting the day with oil -5,6%, below 30$. Futures all at roughly -2%. Pre-Market as low as 196ish for Tsla. I know max-pain is 222,5, but I have a hard time just thinking we could get close to that number. We'll just be dragged by the macro tsunami. Wouldn't be surprised if we'd drop below 190...
  39. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Why wait for tomorrow, plenty of time after hours :crying:
  40. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Ah what a mess. Just a couple of days ago, someone was mentioning the open interest of some options and in particular the 200$ ones, saying that considering the low volumes (I think that's what was written...) it wouldn't be too difficult to drag it to 200. Well, here we are. Same pattern for...
  41. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2016

    Hi, and since it's my first post of the new year, best wishes to all of you! So Dec 31st, SP 240, just over a week after 10% down, not that the day is over, but I don't think we'll see green again. But I've been wrong so many times. I really thought that the 220 we broke this morning was going...
  42. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    Same question I have...Relatively low volume, no news, nothing positive, nothing negative...boring day. Interesting to notice however that we briefly went above the 200 SMA, and we are still above the 50 SMA. I wonder what kind of sales figure we will have before the end of the week, that...
  43. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    And in this case high speed starting as low as 35 mph...
  44. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    Buying opportunity?! or Is this job number thing the golden excuse/catalyst for THE big sell off?
  45. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    Thanks for explaining, I see it now, indeed a steep dive in futures...well then we're set for a rough ride I guess. Good luck for those who'll try and trade this...
  46. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    Is this what's creating the drop in pre-market? Oh c'mon, when was the last time we had such a long string of red candles?! All futures ar flashing green and Tesla is collapsing again? Are we going to go as low as the 200 DMA? It's "only" a few $ to go...Hope that provides a good support.
  47. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    Aren't we suppose to get monthly/quarterly delivery numbers very very soon? Maybe that will bring some green color to the stock... I've been a bit of a contrarian lately and this was not a successful strategy.
  48. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    This diesel gate will have enormous long term consequences and not only for VAG. Here in Belgium, and as in many neighboring countries, diesel is supported and promoted with less tax (it's only just over 1€/liter here, while Super 98 is 1,40 roughly) and by only taking into account when...
  49. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    Yazz - The Only Way Is Up - YouTube
  50. Renaud

    Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

    Sounds like a good plan...