The more I think about this, the more I think we are asking the wrong question. Using the same standard, every ice engine I've ever had has had 100% failure rate. They all got noisy or sluggish and had to be adjusted/maintained. Ranging from plugs to valve job. We don't consider that failure, just maintenance. What's confusing the issue here is that tesla has elected a return/replace/remanufacture approach vs local repair, which obscures our knowledge of real costs and severity of problems. So, I think the real question is when tesla will begin local service for some of the common maintenance and repair items. Then we will know a real failure vs standard maintenance or minor repair.