You're right, it isn't a true 'guess-o-meter' like on other EVs that do it based on instantaneous usage and some fixed kWh metric. That being said, the estimate on kWh of the pack is still an estimate; just because you haven't done a calibration (through low SoC->high SoC), doesn't mean it's actually lost capacity though. There's no harm to the battery to just leave it's calibration off, as far as I can tell. You're just going to have a slightly wrong representation of your actual charge, though, no?
Yes, we're on the same page. I tried to say, it's just an estimate, and it can be off ... I wouldn't quite call it a guesstimate because it's pretty darn good. Repeated shallow discharges does shift its accuracy though, for sure. I think we should just reserve the range "guess-o-meter", "G-O-M", "GOM" phrasing for the other usage to not confuse people.
I was using ~10% twice a day and charging back for a few weeks/month and my 90% level was dropping. After a more recent run down to <20% and eventual recoup back to 90% (over the course of a few days) my 90% level has come back to what it was when I first got the car.
For some people that calibration being 'off' will really bother them, but if you can get over that hangup OP, I would say just keep using the shallowest depth of discharge you can ... charge it up 3% every day, leave it plugged in, stay at a nice low 70% SoC every night and your battery will be happy.
OP here. Thanks for all the help, guys/gals. I have had the car for 3 months and I am careful with using the app (updating drain) and my phantom drain is only ~1% each nite and yes, I only use about 3% for my daily 'commute' - so it really will take me 3 weeks or so to go from 80% down to 20%. I have been reading these battery charging posts for a few months now and learned that everyone has an opinion but no one is really wrong - the battery is great and I should stop worrying about it! But I am a science guy, so I like the degradation charts the most. I just think my situation is different than I've seen posted or from the charts I've checked.
Don't listen to people who tell you to stop worrying about it ... read my sig... some people like the science and all the details. Enjoy those aspects of your car just as much as you enjoy driving it!
All the charts I've seen show the shallowest depth of discharge cycles is healthiest for the battery... I'd say it's fair to extrapolate that down to 3% ... even the car itself does this if you leave it plugged in and it stops charging, loses some charge to 'vampire' drain, and then starts charging again.
When you get home, plug it in and charge it right away (unless you've got some other time of use concerns). Without a schedule set, it will also start charging again during the night if it drops down too low for any reason. If you plan ahead at least one night for a trip, you can top up from 67% Friday night to 92% Sat. morning in 12 hours of L1 charging... and that's what the Model S's used to charge to on a regular basis IIRC ... and sounds about just right for me to start a trip at.
Even if you don't plan ahead, starting an unexpected trip at 70% should get you to a Supercharger no problem and that "extra" 20% you need to charge because you started at 70% instead of 92% will cost you maybe 5-10 minutes