it's full of long cantilevers and compression/tension rods that have to transmit fore/aft forces to the rest of the car.
While finding the exact numerical values of deflections is complicated, figuring out what will happen qualitatively in particular situations to the first order of approximation is not.
We can safely ignore the top arm, it's far away from action, it's not gonna move much, and there's a U-joint in there.
There are three linkages below - two suspension arms with bushings and a steering linkage. Normally, there are also steering rack bushings to consider, but the Tesla rack appears to be quite rigidly mounted.
Depending on the scrub radius, and ignoring the edge case of zero or near zero radius (where it can swing slightly positive/negative depending on bushing deflection), which bushings are gonna compress is pretty clear. Under braking, if the center of the contact patch is further away from the center of the car than the projection of the suspension's rotational axis on the ground (positive scrub radius), the braking force will push to move the wheel to the rear and while its rotational moment will push to toe-out the wheel. The laterally rigid steering joint will move a bit to the rear, the lateral link will move inward a bit and to the rear, and the compliance link will comply the most inward/rear.
Now, if you slap MPP's compliance link bearings on w/o changing the lateral arm bushing for their bearing as well - things become weird. You lateral arm is not the main compliance point, but you'd still get toe-out.
In regular driving, with most of propulsion done by rear wheels, the rolling resistance is pushing on the front wheels just like braking does, leading to a hair of toe-out with positive scrub radius. And a hair of toe-in with negative scrub radius. This is all in comparison to the static zero-toe alignment.
So, I do think that the scrub radius does matter quite a bit. So, running those 15mm spacers or +20 effective offset wheels will affect wear.
Now, this is all basic physics. And there may be effects that I'm ignoring which I shouldn't. I'd love to hear those.