Good points. I tend to drive cars until they die, so I'm not assigning much value at the end of ownership. I could be wrong, but I'd also expect this car to depreciate faster than a "normal" vehicle as I'd expect battery and other tech to improve quite a but int he next 5-10 years.
We'll have the ICE as our second vehicle anyway, so there isn't an increased cost for insurance, etc. on that vehicle. Perhaps when that car dies, longer range electric will be less expensive.
I'm not sure how it's going to play out. Yes, battery technology will get better over time, possibly to a significant extent within the life of the car.
However, Tesla is already getting to the point of "good enough" where the differences won't matter that much to the end user and the company will make the battery smaller and cheaper instead of longer ranged.
The other side of the coin is that a modern EV should be much more reliable than other cars, between the lack of vibration and thermal cycling and the isolation and relative ease of replacing components.
Also, Tesla keeps older cars current with firmware updates, and they're promising these cars will be self driving eventually.
So I could see depreciation going either direction compared to past cars - and given the tipping point we seem to be rapidly approaching, almost certainly better than an ICE bought this year.
