You have two different issues:
1. Your remaining battery capacity is 215/250= 86%. The degradation is more than average. Check out the chart
here. However, there isn't anything you can do about it other than making sure it doesn't get worse. To do that, ideally, you should avoid leaving the car sitting close to 0% or 100%. Don't set it to 100% overnight because you are supposed to drive off when it reaches 100%.
By the way, 215 miles at 100% is not predicted range. It is called 'rated range'. Rated range is not affected by speed, your driving style, elevation, wind, temperature, tire pressure, wheel size or any other factor that affects consumption. None of these have any effect on rated range. Rated range is only affected by how much energy the battery holds compared to when the car was new.
The Model X P90D has 250 miles rated range when new. Let's say the range at 100% drops to 240 miles over time. That means the battery has 240/250= 96% capacity left. You might say, "I get more range if I drive slower". That's correct but that doesn't affect the range displayed at 100%. Your speed only affects how much real-world range you get out of the displayed rated range.
2. You are getting 130/215= 60% of rated range. 130 miles is normal assuming you have the 22" wheels and your average speed is 73 mph. If you look at the range table
here, it shows 172 miles range at 75 mph for Model X P90D with 22" wheels. However, in winter you will lose 10-20% range. Let's assume 15%. That means winter range would be 0.85*172= 146 miles. Compared to the 250 miles rated range, that would be 146/250= 58%. This suggests, your average speed was slightly below 75 mph, probably 73 mph because you are achieving 60% instead of 58%.
This is your current range assuming you have the 22" wheels:
- 162 miles in summer with 22" wheels
- 130 miles in winter with 22" wheels
If you switch your wheels to 20" in winter, your range would be as follows:
- 162 miles in summer with 22" wheels
- 168 miles in winter with 20" wheels
Therefore switching to 20" in winter would be a good idea because your range would be similar in winter and summer.
I've calculated 168 miles as follows: 20" wheels have 22.6% more range than 22". That means instead of 162 miles with 22", your summer range would be 162*1.226= 199 miles with 20" but in winter it would drop to 0.85*199= 168 miles.