So I went out this afternoon to see what happened when I deliberately changed lanes to a lane with a second lane further over, both with, and without, a car in it. I was trying for cases where the car two lanes over was also slightly ahead of me so the Tesla would pick up the car while it was changing lanes.
The results were ambiguous. I did 6 changes without a car there and all the lane changes were perfect. I did 7 with a car there and on two of them, the car overshot a bit, not going into the other lane, but going right up to the edge of the lane. The other 5 times, it changed lanes perfectly. I think that if there is another car ahead, in the target lane, the Tesla picks up on it more than the one in the adjacent lane. That may be a confounding factor.
It's clearly not a simple issue, but I've seen it happen too often to just chalk it up to randomness.
The results were ambiguous. I did 6 changes without a car there and all the lane changes were perfect. I did 7 with a car there and on two of them, the car overshot a bit, not going into the other lane, but going right up to the edge of the lane. The other 5 times, it changed lanes perfectly. I think that if there is another car ahead, in the target lane, the Tesla picks up on it more than the one in the adjacent lane. That may be a confounding factor.
It's clearly not a simple issue, but I've seen it happen too often to just chalk it up to randomness.