mspohr
Well-Known Member
Interesting to see the output from the v9 neural net.
Here’s what Tesla Autopilot can see with the new v9 neural net
Here’s what Tesla Autopilot can see with the new v9 neural net
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What I think you meant to say was that if in your example you used 5% interest instead of 3%, the value would be $454k instead of 5k. And if it grew at 7% it would be $37M. Compound interest is a beast!
Not sure if the outcome was posted already (did a quick search and couldn't find it). Hope this isn't repeat.
Waymo’s vehicles validated for driverless testing include a Level 4
automated driving system under SAE International’s Taxonomy and
Definitions for Terms Related to Driving Automation Systems for On-Road
Motor Vehicles, standard J3016 (SEP 2016). This system is what enables
the capabilities of our fully self-driving vehicles.
Our Level 4 system includes the software and hardware that, when
integrated into the vehicle, perform all driving functions.
Waymo’s self-driving system is designed to perform the entire dynamic driving task
within a defined operational design domain and has the capability to
achieve a minimal risk condition : the ability to bring a vehicle to a safe
stop, without any expectation that a human driver take over. In contrast,
systems at a lower-level of automation, at SAE Levels 1, 2, or 3, are required
to have a human driver take over from the system when necessary.
If the Waymo vehicle can no longer proceed on a planned trip, Waymo’s
vehicles are designed to be capable of performing a safe stop, known as
achieving a “minimal risk condition” without any need for human
intervention, which is a requirement for an SAE Level 4 automated driving
system. This includes situations when Waymo’s fully self-driving vehicle
experiences a problem that prevents the automated driving system from
continuing the driving task or when environmental conditions change in
a way that would affect safe driving within our operational design
domain. Waymo’s system is designed to detect each one of these
scenarios automatically. In addition, our vehicles run thousands of checks
on their systems every second, looking for faults. Our system is equipped
with a series of redundancies for critical systems, such as sensors,
computing, steering and braking. Our vehicle’s response varies with the
type of roadway on which a situation occurs, the current traffic
conditions, and the extent of the technology failure. Depending on these
factors, the system can determine an appropriate response to keep the
vehicle, its passengers, and other road users safe.
During driverless testing, the intended operational design domain of
Waymo’s vehicles will include the following roadway types:
● Freeways, highways, city streets, rural roads, and other roadways.7
● Parking lots
Waymo Driverless Test Application
Waymo’s system is also designed so each vehicle will not operate outside of its approved operational design domain. For example, passengers cannot select a destination outside of our approved geography, and our software will not create a route that travels outside of a “geo-fenced” area, which has been mapped in detail.
That fits hand in glove with Elon's tweet!Please note also that using a self-driving Tesla for car sharing and ride hailing for friends and family is fine, but doing so for revenue purposes will only be permissible on the Tesla Network, details of which will be released next year.
It’s really surprising that John Krafcik is talking this way. My impression from Waymo until now was that they were planning to scale up to dozens of cities within a few years. Now it’s not so clear. “Decades”...?! Like, 20+ years before we see robotaxis in every major city in the world? What about every major city in the U.S.? Or the first ten cities?
Sergey Brin and Chris Urmson were much more aggressive in their timelines when they talked about this in years past. They were saying/hoping that Level 4 would happen at scale by 2020.
My hope is that Tesla by applying ~100x scale to the problem in terms of training data collection will be able to accelerate progress. Might not work out that way, but it’s a more inspiring effort than incrementally rolling out the technology over decades
A reasonable interpretation is decades for the whole world does not exclude Waymo ramping up in the United States at all. Waymo’s quote was decades for ”everywhere in the world” not every major city on the world which is a big difference.
ride sharing would only happen in smaller pilot regions and not be a real business for some time.
This isn’t about interpreting anyone “optimistically” or “pessimistically”; it’s about trying to understand what they believe, based on what they say. Regardless of whether you agree or disagree.