So I listened to a recent Musk quote about self-driving () and he said that Autopilot should be 2-3x safer than the avg driver. 2-3x safer sounds pretty great, sign me up. But I'm wondering if that's really that good? The reason is if most people are good drivers that rarely get into accidents, and most accidents caused by a very small amount of bad drivers that get in lots of accidents, then most drivers are much better than the average right? So is 2-3x safer than average actually any safer than a non accident prone driver? Anybody that's waded into the stats car to opine? Maybe I'm making assumptions or misunderstanding?