Hey guys, here we are, we are in sept and I just received my new flat in Switzerland with the corresponding blue plug in the garage
Economics have changed a little (it's interesting to re read the above!), but situation and dilemma remain. Let me explain:
The Goal remains to understand the depreciation I will take on (soon to be) my model s.
My options:
1) buy 85 used. 30000km. 1 year and a half. 62k vs 92k new if configured today (32% depreciation)
2) buy inventory 85d. 5 months old. 5000km. 85k vs 95k new. Dual and autopilot included
In both case, intend to keep the car 3 years and drive 75000km.
The key for me is to understand depreciation of each of these cars in 3 years.
Below are my maths, please poke holes and challenge it.
1) 85 will depreciate additional 30% from the new price and will cost me 27,5k for These 3 years of ownership. That would make a used 2014 model s with 105000km at 35k in 2018. Might be optimistic!
My own challenge here is that the car depreciated 32% already, so might depreciate less than average in the future. But that would only increase the price of the car in 2018, which seems unrealistic!
2) the 85d inventory already took 10% of hit, so instead of losing 25% on first year of ownership. It should depreciate 15% for me. Then 10% per year. Makes a total of 35% or approx 33k cost for these 3 years. It would also mean a 2015 85d with 80000km would cost 52k in 2018 (here also, a bit optimistic?) A difference of 17k with the 85 above.
If my maths are correct, which I am really not sure, it would mean owning a 85d would cost me 5k more than a 85. Which is something I am ready to pay for awd and autopilot.
What do you think of my maths above? Am I in the bulk park or off base?
Thanks if you kept reading to the end!