How much will you shorten your life by smoking 1 cigarette, 2 cigarette, 3 cigarette?
Just because the effect is not perfectly quantified, does not mean the effect is not known - that smoking is detrimental to health. Same way , it's known in Li-Ion battery chemistry that high state of charge is relatively more stressful than mid state of charge (along with temp, current, etc)
What it's worth to each person is a personal matter. I do 80% because it's convenient to me. And I'll puff on a cigarette once in a while, too.
I'm not looking for perfect quantification. I'm looking for ballparks, or even a city sized quantification.
Tesla uses a battery that's explicitly designed for long life and the specific utilization in an EV. With auto laws and the warranty that Tesla provides, that requires MTBF to be significantly long. This isn't the same cell that you would use in a cellphone or a laptop.
People sometimes use "experts" to backup their point, but in all of those situations, it's an oranges vs apples correlation. You can't really say that charging a battery to 100% is bad, because I don't think that we really know what 100% is. Tesla has done a LOT OF WORK to extend the battery life, and folks are recommendations based on raw cells.
Elon has indicated that the Model 3 is trending for 300,000 mile life. I'd assume that means an average. So would charging to 100% decrease the range to 250,000 miles? In which case, I don't care.
The closest evidence that we have to date are Model 3s that are passing 100,000 miles with no apparent degradation and the older Model S and X batteries that are going string at over 300,000 miles per battery with multiple Supercharging stops daily.
Should we be going from empirical evidence on these batteries or what?