Charity Bet #1: When Will TSLA close above $1250 (Post-split $416.67)

[Cosmacelf]

This charity bet is meant to be FUN. You get to predict which month/year TSLA will close at or above $1250 $416.67 (post split). If your prediction wins, you get to select a charity at that time that everyone participating in this charity bet will pinky swear they will donate $50 to. When I last participated in one of these bets (in the SpaceX forum), I lost and donated $50 to a cat rescue organization

Rules for this bet:

• Each participant chooses a year/month combo when the event will occur (note, not closing price at end of month, but closing price any day during that month).
• One contestant per month/year (get your votes in early!)
• The winner is the one that picks the month/year (or no winner if the event occurs in a month/year with no contestant)
• No Price is Right or nearest participant. Somebody gets the month/year right or not
• In the no-winner scenario then we just start up another charity bet
• If your month has gone by and you didn't win, you can choose a new month (but now you have to donate $100 if you lose).
• In the event of a stock split, the $1250 $416.67 (post split) target will be adjusted accordingly, as will other more unlikely events such as a spin-off (use combined values of companies), or merger, etc.

Contestants:

October 2022: ZeApelido
November 2022: Favguy
December 2022: hobbes
January 2023: mrmage
February 2023: WilliamInPhx
March 2023: pz1975
April 2023: Nocturnal
May 2023: Cattledog
June 2023: EVCollies
July 2023: adiggs
September 2023: Frank Einstein
November 2023: Cosmacelf
December 2023: NCC1701T

 

[Favguy]

This charity bet is meant to be FUN. You get to predict which month/year TSLA will close at or above $1250. If your prediction wins, you get to select a charity at that time that everyone participating in this charity bet will pinky swear they will donate $50 to. When I last participated in one of these bets (in the SpaceX forum), I lost and donated $50 to a cat rescue organization

Rules for this bet:

• Each participant chooses a year/month combo when the event will occur
• One contestant per month/year (get your votes in early!)
• The winner is the one that picks the month/year (or no winner if the event occurs in a month/year with no contestant)
• No Price is Right or nearest participant. Somebody gets the month/year right or not
• In the no-winner scenario then we just start up another charity bet
• If your month has gone by and you didn't win, you can choose a new month (but now you have to donate $100 if you lose).

Contestants:

(I'll update this first post as we get entrants, just reply to this thread with your entry, I'll wait a bit before entering in my entry for fairness).

OK, I'll play.

November 2022.

This is based on current share value, rather than post split I take it?

 

[Cosmacelf]

OK, I'll play.

November 2022.

This is based on current share value, rather than post split I take it?

Good question. If a split occurs, the $1250 number will be adjusted accordingly.

 

[Nocturnal]

April 2023.

 

[InTheMiddle]

February 2023

 

[mrmage]

Jan 2023

The month where 4Q PD and ER comes out with blowout numbers. I'm gonna start picking my charity now. Haven't been this certain since Jan 2022....

 

[ZeApelido]

October 2022.

To keep consistent as predicted mostly jokingly in this post.

Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

Order backlog is steady. but . . . but . . . but . . I was told the salaried headcount cut was due to weakening demand.

teslamotorsclub.com

 

[Frank Einstein]

September 2023.

 

[Cosmacelf]

I just realized I had an ambiguity in the way I wrote the post - the bet wasn't meant to predict that $1250 would be the closing price for the month, just that it would close at or above $1250 on any day during that month. I'm sure most people read it the way I originally intended it, but just making sure (and I added that clarification to the rules in the first post).

 

[pz1975]

March 2023

 

[hobbes]

Dec 2022

 

[Carl Raymond]

I think the best 2022 months are taken, but I’ll take Sept 2022.

 

[Xepa777]

November 2022

 

[EVCollies]

Sept 2022, not because I believe, but because I need...

 

[Cosmacelf]

November 2022

Sorry, already taken. Only one person per month. Choose another month that isn't taken.

 

[Cosmacelf]

Sept 2022, not because I believe, but because I need...

Sorry, already taken. Carl Raymond beat you to the punch by like 15 minutes. Only one person per month. Choose another month that isn't taken.

 

[Cattledog]

May 2023

 

[NCC1701T]

Dec 2023

 

[EVCollies]

June 2023

 

[adiggs]

July 2023

EDIT to add:

When I last participated in one of these bets (in the SpaceX forum), I lost and donated $50 to a cat rescue organization

OMG - I just realized @Cosmacelf . I hadn't put your avatar together before - now I partlcularly like that outcome!