I suspect this one is going to push into 2024. I believe the first three Starships are expected to be expended. The first one will belly flop into the ocean (or breakup before then ) and the next two don’t even have heat shields. The fourth Starship might be the one, but I suspect the first actual chopstick landing attempt won’t be until #6 or something.
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Charity bet #4: First Successful Starship Landing
- Thread starter adiggs
- Start date
This is my current list of contestants - did I miss anybody?
Recent information suggests to me that we're all losing, though I like @EVCollies odds the best. Considering the recent news and stuff, I propose providing any of these contestants their choice of a new month without also signing up for a 2x contribution. (Everybody is always welcome to MAKE a 2x contribution of course!)
And anybody that wants to add themselves to the first Starship landing, get your bids in now!
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