How do we "know" this?
Also, this may depend on your definition of "dominant".
Good questions.
We know this because the CharIN group:
News: Charging Interface Initiative e. V. (CharIN e. V.)
includes all major European BEV/PHEV manufacturers as well as Tesla, most of the major charging networks and charging equipment manufacturers.
The standard has been accepted for the vast majority of new charging networks now being put in place and planned for the next two years.
So, despite the present modest and non-to-fast CCS deployment, the prospect is for much faster and far more nearly ubiquitous CCS coverage in Europe and NA, as well as most of the rest of the world.
It remains to be seen what happens with China and Japan once all this actually happens, but it is a safe assumption that CHAdeMO will gradually cede to CCS, rather as 8-track did to VHS.
Tesla will clearly continue to develop Superchargers, but because CharIN provides for robust payment options open networks will build rapidly, ultimately giving Tesla a large incentive to gradually merge with evolving CCS, while preserving proprietary advantages in their own network. JB has long said the Supercharger network could be made available to other manufacturers, the question there is when, not if.
Brovane was completely correct. That detracts nothing from the phenomenal accomplishments of Tesla in Supercharging, only about standard connectors
FWIW, tesla never wanted to be THE standard. When they built out the Supercharger network there was no standard so they have had to make one. I'm sure they did not intend it to be permanent.