For you TMC nerds; the comments sought by the NEM 3.0 proceeding are rolling in. This gives you some insight into the ideas that may make their way into the next NEM 3.0 PD.
The ACC rate on exports is basically a shoe-in at this point. The discussions are on the glide path; not on the result. The glide path proposals are all confusing as hell; which as we've learned anything that confuses is worse than having nothing at all lol.
But on the The fixed costs / NBC topic ... the CPUC is exploring a behind-the-meter-meter (har). This will allow NBCs to be assessed on the entire home's gross consumption rather than what is just imported. Plus, the NEM 3.0 NBC would increase to cover more types of costs (see below).
Here's the proposed NBC (at today's rates) that the CalAdvocates are proposing. Instead of paying $0.026 for imported kWh, a homeowner would pay potentially $0.05 on every kWh consumed on the home. So a home that uses 12,000 kWh per year will pay about $50 a month of NBCs. This is this better than just slapping $8 per kWp AC as a flat fee I guess?
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For those NEM 1.0 people that peel off and land in NEM 3.0, that'd be so annoying lol. They'll have to have a new meter installed with this proposal.
I still think "no NEM" is better than the NEM 3.0 PD or this revised "Behind the meter meter" on Gross Consumption. I dropped in my home's 2021 experience in my model (edit: my hypothetical NEM 3.0 model) ... but I replaced the $8 per month per kWp AC with a $0.05 per gross kWh fixed cost NBC.
Again, I come to the conclusion that I'd rather just have a non-exporting system (no NEM) and simply use the solar+ESS to reduce site loads. I'm still awaiting what
@Redhill_qik and
@miimura and
@wwhitney come up with to tell me what I'm missing. And of course the payback is non-existent in these scenarios. But at least I'm greener? I don't know why I always end up with the conclusion that NEM 3.0 is worse than no-NEM. What am I missing?