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cross country FSD trip this year?

Discussion in 'Model S' started by Keith909man, Jun 3, 2018.

  1. Keith909man

    Keith909man Member

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    Elon Musk said Dec 2017 would be the cross country FSD trip but later said something about it being moved up later on. I can't remember where I saw or read what his new estimate was when that will take place...Does anyone remember what was said last about it? with very few EAP updates lately, I dont see that happening this year personally
     
  2. tpham07

    tpham07 Active Member

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    he said it'll happen this year, then again he said it would happen in dec 2017. so who knows tbh.
     
  3. Derek Kessler

    Derek Kessler Member

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    We won't know until it's successfully happened.
     
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  4. AMPd

    AMPd Active Member

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    It won’t happen. It just won’t with the current hardware.
     
  5. ucmndd

    ucmndd Member

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    Not gonna happen.
     
  6. BigD0g

    BigD0g Active Member

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    Three months maybe, six months definitely!
     
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  7. boonedocks

    boonedocks Active Member

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    Three years maybe, six years definitely
     
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  8. Snowstorm

    Snowstorm Member

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    Let’s just pretend he never said that. I don’t think it will happen and is not a worthwhile goal to focus on now.

    Tesla had to aim high to get high, but sometimes they get too ambitious. This is likely one of those.

    I do hope that we’ll get at least some EAP features rolled out, like reliable identification and reaction to stopped objects. No, increased nag is not a step forward.
     
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  9. Pinot.Noir

    Pinot.Noir Member

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    What year is Westworld, in the "current" time frame? Ah shiit, they're going to kill us all in the end. Glad I didn't pay for FSD!
     
  10. buttershrimp

    buttershrimp Click my signature to Go Mad Max Mode

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    It will happen. I would like to see them do it in the semi.
     
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  11. Derek Kessler

    Derek Kessler Member

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    No, I will not pretend that Elon didn't say something. He needs to be held accountable for being *repeatedly* overly optimistic in Tesla's timelines. "Overpromise, underdeliver" is a great policy and Elon seems to eternally operate on the flipside of that.
     
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  12. J1mbo

    J1mbo Active Member

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    Elon eternally operates "Underpromise and overdeliver"? Are you sure?
     
  13. Phrixotrichus

    Phrixotrichus Member

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    #13 Phrixotrichus, Jun 4, 2018
    Last edited: Jun 4, 2018
    Not a chance this year. Probably never with this hardware setup.

    I think the best they could realize in the next 12 months or so is lvl 3 on highways.
    I wouldn`t count on true lvl 4/5 in an affordable car until at least the mid 2020s as that`s what most other manufacturers are estimating.

    Ofc, like everyone else, I´d be very happy to be proven wrong here.
     
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  14. TaoJones

    TaoJones Beyond Driven

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    Prerequisite for a non-faked transcontinental FSD journey:

    1. Tesla SoC
    2. Starlink with low-latency 24/7 ubiquitous and unfettered bidirectional connectivity for every car in the fleet.
    3. AP3 based upon #1 - and retrofitted to all cars that paid up front for FSD.
    4. For bonus points, Barry White chargers at the 20-ish SCs from Jacksonville to San Diego (just to pick a route at random).

    At best, that’s Q2 2020* presaged by an October 2019 event.

    So 2 years away yet. Emphasis upon unfaked, unstaged, and reproducible in fairly short order by John/Jane Q. TeslaOwner.

    * With Starlink optional since they won’t have 12,000 orbiting, operational and tested critters in the sky by then.
     
  15. Derek Kessler

    Derek Kessler Member

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    I need more sleep.
     
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  16. Burnardr

    Burnardr Member

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    It doesn't prove anything even if they do it. They will have mapped the route beyond typical and prerun it many times to fine-tune the software for that particular route. I'll pass on the smoke and mirrors. Just deliver a Model S refresh that people actually care about.
     
  17. J1mbo

    J1mbo Active Member

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    Based on what we know from people who have been digging around in the AP software, it seems likely to me that automatic overtaking of moving vehicles (using the rear-facing cams) is a good bet for a major feature release in 2018.

    Integration with navigation to enable on-ramp to off-ramp would also seem possible, now that they have their own nav solution, but less likely in 2018. Look how long it is taking to get the nav rolled out globally. (Nice to see some measure of caution here, tbh).

    Showing traffic signs on the display would be a "quick win" IMO - stop signs, traffic lights, school areas, etc. - but Tesla may not consider this to be safe for drivers who would probably expect the system to react to the signs while AP is enabled.

    Any thoughts of L3 can probably be put to bed until Tesla have a fool-proof solution for dealing with immobile lane obstructions (fire trucks, parked cars, etc.).
     
  18. Snowstorm

    Snowstorm Member

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    No, this needs to be for all cars post AP2, not just those who paid for FSD. FSD hardware in every car was a major promise, and the possibility to enable FSD in the future without HW change for $3000 was a selling point and decision factor which was heavily promoted.
     
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  19. ItsNotAboutTheMoney

    ItsNotAboutTheMoney Well-Known Member

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    In December 2017 Elon Musk said 2 years again, so that'd be by end of December 2019.

    It's simpler if you just ignore what he says about it. He's just guessing/selling/hyping/lying (delete as appropriate). Tesla's trying, but they have no idea whether they'll succeed.
     
  20. Kanting

    Kanting Member

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    Somehow they faked it so eventually they will make it!
     

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