That will be an interesting question. The single motor version isn’t going to come out right away. By the time it does, most of the lake and office park demand may be satisfied. The Cybertruck should make financial sense for most work trucks with the cheaper fuel and maintenance and the potential to replace the need for a generator or air compressor on location. We’ll see how much that sells a deeply unconventional truck amongst craftsmen.
Agree it will take a while, if ever, for the single motor version to appear. Not sure about demand saturation. Ford sells 950,000 F-150s a year. It has been the #1 selling vehicle in the US for decades. And now almost 2/3s are AWD. Regardless of number of drive wheels, hopefully the Cybertruck can take a decent chunk of that pie. I think wanting to get to tradition pickup buyers was a major part of the making the CyberTruck in Texas. We will see if the gamble pays off and the "tradition truck design" becomes the "old looking truck design", as more and more CyberTrucks appear on the streets of Texas and the South.
Why would Tesla produce the cheap one, when customers are standing in line to buy the more expensive (and more profitable) one?. Base model will be released when they want to expand the marketplace. Probably after they really ramp up production.
Northeast of Atlanta should get among the highest early concentration of Cybertrucks. Teslas everywhere already, established EV infrastructure & acceptance (Nissan Leaf 2 year rental was practically free thru GA tax incentive for years), lots of upper-middle class money, pickups & SUVs dominate the roads. Plenty of “why I too have some disposable income, am Southern, and ride the fashion & tech wave.”