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Cybertruck

Blup85

Member
Oct 26, 2016
821
723
Chico
I recently ordered a Rivian. I'm a pretty early CT reservation but need a truck now, and am not impressed with f150. Got a nice letter from RJ, and a color rendering of my R1T in the mail.. lol.
 
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clyjr

Member
Nov 9, 2015
191
76
Charlotte, NC
You recently ordered a rivian and you need a truck now? Did you get an estimated delivery date? From what I'm seeing you are probably a year or more away from getting a rivian if you just ordered...
If not, let us know... I would love one but I didn't preorder, I would put in an order if I knew I would get it in 6 months or less...

I recently ordered a Rivian. I'm a pretty early CT reservation but need a truck now, and am not impressed with f150. Got a nice letter from RJ, and a color rendering of my R1T in the mail.. lol.
 
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Oct 28, 2019
513
585
Texas
You recently ordered a rivian and you need a truck now? Did you get an estimated delivery date? From what I'm seeing you are probably a year or more away from getting a rivian if you just ordered...
If not, let us know... I would love one but I didn't preorder, I would put in an order if I knew I would get it in 6 months or less...

the CT production specs aren't even finalized let alone how a rigid and bulletproof stainless steel exoskeleton (in the front) will be compliant with pedestrian safety regulations ... so it's questionable that the CT will even go into small scale production by late 2022 (let alone pumping out in volume).

You'll get your R1T a lot sooner than that and the R1T has been tested/ developed for years now
 
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CyberGus

Not Just a Member
May 5, 2020
1,110
2,507
Austin, TX
the CT production specs aren't even finalized let alone how a rigid and bulletproof stainless steel exoskeleton (in the front) will be compliant with pedestrian safety regulations ... so it's questionable that the CT will even go into small scale production by late 2022 (let alone pumping out in volume).

You'll get your R1T a lot sooner than that and the R1T has been tested/ developed for years now

As far as I know, Tesla has not stated publicly if the CT design is ready for production. The availability of the 4680 cells and the 8K casting machines seem to be the limiting factor at the moment.

To what "safety regulations" are you referring? In America, pedestrians are considered "obstacles".
 

Blup85

Member
Oct 26, 2016
821
723
Chico
To what "safety regulations" are you referring? In America, pedestrians are considered "obstacles".
I keep seeing that as well and have never heard of it before. Doesn't seem like a thing. What Pedestrian safety measures do semi trucks have, or bumper racks for that matter that are designed to quarter a deer so it doesn't damage your 1991 dodge ram?

Best I can tell, being in the first 20k reservactions I figure I'm lucky if I get my CT by end of 23. If I can get a rivian mid 22 I'd be happy. I consider mid 22 " now"
 

mbeadnell

Member
Jul 6, 2021
42
6
Ohio
I am saving at much as I can till it is released I am willing to wait till early 24. From what I am hearing that’s realistic if I just ordered mine like a month ago. What does everyone think?
 

Fred42

Active Member
Dec 24, 2018
1,078
3,258
Pennsylvania
I am saving at much as I can till it is released I am willing to wait till early 24. From what I am hearing that’s realistic if I just ordered mine like a month ago. What does everyone think?
Sorry, unlikely. They plan to start production late 2022, then ramp-up might take 12-24 months.
 

Zorg

Active Member
Oct 24, 2017
1,951
1,801
Fremont, ca
So 24 is realistic then?
Supposedly, there are 1M reservations for the CT. Assume that 50% turn into actual sales, that's 500k trucks. As of now, it looks like production will begin at the end of 2022, early 2023. The next question is how fast can Tesla produce 500,000 trucks. It seems to me that it'll be might impressive if Tesla can produce that many trucks in 2 years. So, short answer to your question: 2024 is a maybe but a bit of a long shot in my opinion. Then again, none of us know Elon's actual plans.
 

AquaY

Supporting Member
Supporting Member
May 30, 2021
481
1,561
Long Island NY
the CT production specs aren't even finalized let alone how a rigid and bulletproof stainless steel exoskeleton (in the front) will be compliant with pedestrian safety regulations ... so it's questionable that the CT will even go into small scale production by late 2022 (let alone pumping out in volume).

You'll get your R1T a lot sooner than that and the R1T has been tested/ developed for years now
I wonder if those "pedestrian safety regulations " are a reason Musk said that they would make a Cyber Truck for Europe in the future.
Europe has more regulations for vehicle design to be less fatal for pedestrians than the US.

As for specs ,Musk has stated that the specs are finalized. Are you guessing they aren't?
Supposedly, there are 1M reservations for the CT. Assume that 50% turn into actual sales, that's 500k trucks. As of now, it looks like production will begin at the end of 2022, early 2023. The next question is how fast can Tesla produce 500,000 trucks. It seems to me that it'll be might impressive if Tesla can produce that many trucks in 2 years. So, short answer to your question: 2024 is a maybe but a bit of a long shot in my opinion. Then again, none of us know Elon's actual plans.
Morgan Stanley released a report stating that they thought Tesla would be producing 100,000 Cyber trucks by 2025.
Musk has said 250,000 to 300,000.
One of the reasons for Giga Texas is to build the Cyber truck and isn't part of the reason for it's design to be more quickly constructed?
No paint shop alone helps in that regard.
My guess is more than 1/2 the orders will drop off. Possibly 2/3s
I think limiting factors and delays for CT production is because of extremely high demand for current models in production as well as materials and parts.
The CT needs more batteries and more chips than a Model Y for example.
I have a feeling I'll be getting my reserved CT sometime in late 2025 if I'm lucky.
I really want to see a Rivian when they are out.
I wonder how long a delay there is if your order one today.
 

mbeadnell

Member
Jul 6, 2021
42
6
Ohio
Supposedly, there are 1M reservations for the CT. Assume that 50% turn into actual sales, that's 500k trucks. As of now, it looks like production will begin at the end of 2022, early 2023. The next question is how fast can Tesla produce 500,000 trucks. It seems to me that it'll be might impressive if Tesla can produce that many trucks in 2 years. So, short answer to your question: 2024 is a maybe but a bit of a long shot in my opinion. Then again, none of us know Elon's actual plans.
You think a long shot as in 24 is to soon or thinking it might be longer?. I looked into the reservation tracker and it’s saying 25 for me.
 

Zorg

Active Member
Oct 24, 2017
1,951
1,801
Fremont, ca
I wonder if those "pedestrian safety regulations " are a reason Musk said that they would make a Cyber Truck for Europe in the future.
Europe has more regulations for vehicle design to be less fatal for pedestrians than the US.

As for specs ,Musk has stated that the specs are finalized. Are you guessing they aren't?

Morgan Stanley released a report stating that they thought Tesla would be producing 100,000 Cyber trucks by 2025.
Musk has said 250,000 to 300,000.
One of the reasons for Giga Texas is to build the Cyber truck and isn't part of the reason for it's design to be more quickly constructed?
No paint shop alone helps in that regard.
My guess is more than 1/2 the orders will drop off. Possibly 2/3s
I think limiting factors and delays for CT production is because of extremely high demand for current models in production as well as materials and parts.
The CT needs more batteries and more chips than a Model Y for example.
I have a feeling I'll be getting my reserved CT sometime in late 2025 if I'm lucky.
I really want to see a Rivian when they are out.
I wonder how long a delay there is if your order one today.

Well, they have 50k pre orders for R1S/T and they plan on building 20K vans per year. They seem to have been working on ramping up their production through 2021, so building 70k vehicles in the next 15 months shouldn't be a stretch. If you order now, you should have a decent shot at getting it by end of 2022.
 

mbeadnell

Member
Jul 6, 2021
42
6
Ohio
Called Tesla and they said they can hold your order for up to 6 months which is good in my scenario. Anyone have any experiences having an order held for a certain amount of time?
 

Zorg

Active Member
Oct 24, 2017
1,951
1,801
Fremont, ca
You think a long shot as in 24 is to soon or thinking it might be longer?. I looked into the reservation tracker and it’s saying 25 for me.
Truth is that nobody has a real clue. At this point 2025 seems pretty reasonable, but we won't know until they start producing and cranking them out. It's gonna depend on how many they can actually produce and whether the demand will still be as strong as anticipated. Lots of unknowns 2+ years out.
 

Bridor

Member
Mar 20, 2016
392
491
Maricopa, Arizona
The Rivian is so ugly and does not have the Supercharger network. I would never get one of those hideous vehicles even if the Cybertruck was not coming out. I also have never liked conventional truck designs. I will be passing on the Lightning as well...

Brent
 

TessP100D

Member
Jan 15, 2018
574
594
La Quinta, Ca
The Rivian is so ugly and does not have the Supercharger network. I would never get one of those hideous vehicles even if the Cybertruck was not coming out. I also have never liked conventional truck designs. I will be passing on the Lightning as well...

Brent
So…. Your not a truck guy…. Ahhh. Ok
 
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