Cybrtrk RN #

[Xminus6]

Placed an order last night around 10 I think. Don't remember what time it was honestly.

RN112776333

 

[Phantom3]

1127796xx

 

[ggnykk]

I looked through the entire thread, and the lowest RN# I have seen is 1127441XX (there are actually four RN# here that are all in the 112744xxx range, so I think it is a very reliable number. So let's use 112744100 for the calculation, even though that it is highly possible that lowest RN# start at 112740000.

And the highest RN# I have seen here is 1128822xx. So let's just use 112882200 as the highest so far.

So 112882200 - 112744100 = 138100 reservation (Assuming RN# are sequential)

 

[Nurkbonis]

I saw 112888150 on Instagram, so... 144k reservations and rising.

I looked through the entire thread, and the lowest RN# I have seen is 1127441XX (there are actually four RN# here that are all in the 112744xxx range, so I think it is a very reliable number. So let's use 112744100 for the calculation, even though that it is highly possible that lowest RN# start at 112740000.

And the highest RN# I have seen here is 1128822xx. So let's just use 112882200 as the highest so far.

So 112882200 - 112744100 = 138100 reservation (Assuming RN# are sequential)

 

[ggnykk]

I saw 112888150 on Instagram, so... 144k reservations and rising.

Alright, using 112888150 - 112744100 = 144,050 reservation (Assuming RN# are sequential)

 

[EVNow]

I reserved at 8:45 pst. RN112891xxx.

 

[Pinot.Noir]

Ordered the tri moter. RN1127459xx

 

[heltok]

RN112769xxx
8.42pm

 

[hipringles]

Tri motor -> 112896x

 

[ggnykk]

Tri motor -> 112896x

112896000 - 112744100 = 151,900 reservation (Assuming RN# are sequential)

 

[Nurkbonis]

112896000 - 112744100 = 151,900 reservation (Assuming RN# are sequential)

So... Like 4,000 per hour. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

 

[Nurkbonis]

2898939 around 10pm PST.

 

[Mattzilla]

So much for the idea that no one would order this and there would be no demand, lol

 

[steven415]

RN1127858XX

I just changed my from AWD FSD to AWD no FSD. You can login on your tesla page.

 

[MilliM]

112746xxx....attempted moments after the site was announced on the livestream. Lagged a bit going through but it worked.

 

[Tslacg]

How many preorders were there for the Model Y? Would love to see this jump up in the production queue.

 

[DrtyJrze]

Alright, using 112888150 - 112744100 = 144,050 reservation (Assuming RN# are sequential)

Why does that matter? People only had to put $100 refundable deposit down.

So if you take 170k “preorders” and subtract the double/triple orders from the same person and/or trend followers who either really can’t afford it or aren’t buying it, then calculate a 20% at best of those orders that will actually be followed up with 2+ years from now, at best you’re looking at 20k trucks.

But hey, 500,000 preorders will sound pretty good during the earning reports, even though we know it’s false.

 

[Blup85]

Why does that matter? People only had to put $100 refundable deposit down.

So if you take 170k “preorders” and subtract the double/triple orders from the same person and/or trend followers who either really can’t afford it or aren’t buying it, then calculate a 20% at best of those orders that will actually be followed up with 2+ years from now, at best you’re looking at 20k trucks.

But hey, 500,000 preorders will sound pretty good during the earning reports, even though we know it’s false.

15-20% sounds about right.

 

[Tslacg]

15-20% sounds about right.

I assume that same logic applies to the rivian, mach e, and taycan pre orders as well?

 

[Blup85]

I assume that same logic applies to the rivian, mach e, and taycan pre orders as well?

$100 for a reservation is more like Tesla is testing the waters..Isn't Rivian wanting 1k? Granted its refundable, but clearly Tesla is looking for sheer numbers to show demand, not actual buyers. When i told people at my work I reserved a Cybertruck, they didn't get the minimal commitment I gave, only that I reserved one which in their mind meant I bought one.