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December 31st 2019 TSLA Share Price Office Pool

Discussion in 'TSLA Investor Discussions' started by KarenRei, Jan 1, 2019.

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What will the share price of Tesla be at market close on the final trading day of 2019?

Poll closed May 1, 2019.
  1. $0-5

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  2. $6-250

    2 vote(s)
    1.4%
  3. $251-$340

    3 vote(s)
    2.2%
  4. $341-$390

    5 vote(s)
    3.6%
  5. $391-$430

    19 vote(s)
    13.7%
  6. $431-$460

    36 vote(s)
    25.9%
  7. $461-$510

    24 vote(s)
    17.3%
  8. $511-$580

    19 vote(s)
    13.7%
  9. $581-$670

    13 vote(s)
    9.4%
  10. $671-$770

    9 vote(s)
    6.5%
  11. $771-$900

    1 vote(s)
    0.7%
  12. > $900

    8 vote(s)
    5.8%
  1. KarenRei

    KarenRei ᴉǝɹuǝɹɐʞ

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    Well, it's 2019 now. Where's the stock going this year? Place your bets in the poll!
     
    • Like x 2
    • Helpful x 1
  2. AudubonB

    AudubonB Mild-mannered Moderator Lord Vetinari*

    Joined:
    Mar 24, 2013
    Messages:
    6,775
    If I win, do I get to choose whom to replace Lord Vetinari as Lord High Moderator?
     
    • Funny x 2
    • Like x 1
    • Love x 1
  3. bhtooefr

    bhtooefr Member

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    Seeing as this is also a thread, I'm going with 694.20.

    (I mean, I could actually see it going up there, between European and Chinese deliveries, potential GF1 expansion, pickup unveiling, Model Y unveiling, GF3, Energy expansion... but I had to pick the joke answer.)
     
  4. vigleik

    vigleik Member

    Joined:
    Sep 10, 2016
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    65
    Location:
    Canberra, Australia
    I wouldn't be surprised if the stock price gravitates towards $420. I also wouldn't be surprised by $840, or $210, or anything in between.

    Of course every year the consensus on this board is that a breakout is imminent, and based on the votes so far this year is no different. But I feel much more confident in my forecast of the SP in 10 years than in 1 year.

    In any case: somebody has to guess 420, and it might as well be me.
     
  5. defc0n

    defc0n Member

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    Location:
    Indiana
    I also stuck with the $420 theory. To be honest I personally don’t see it being sustainably higher than that unless great progress has been made on the autonomy front. Due to global headwinds I believe 2019 is going to be a tough year for most stocks.
     
    • Helpful x 1
  6. anthonyj

    anthonyj Active Member

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    May 16, 2018
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    NJ
    Somewhere between 250-390 for the next ten years imo
     
    • Funny x 3
    • Like x 1
  7. TheTalkingMule

    TheTalkingMule Distributed Energy Enthusiast

    Joined:
    Oct 20, 2012
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    2,596
    Location:
    Philadelphia, PA
    I think we'll top 400 in 2019, but pull back to 346.36 at the end of the year on macro down trends.

    The absurd potential of the energy side will be clearly evident by spring 2020, that's when we really take off IMO.
     
  8. KevinR

    KevinR TSLA long since 2011

    Joined:
    Dec 9, 2012
    Messages:
    196
    Location:
    Denver, CO
    I am going with $725 to close 2019
    I will also bet a SP ATH for 2019 at $850

    These numbers were calculated using the S.W.A.G.* method.

    *Scientific Wild Ass Guess
     
  9. EVNow

    EVNow Active Member

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    Location:
    Seattle, WA
    If someone can tell me where NASDAQ will close, I can tell you where TSLA will close ;)
     
    • Funny x 1
  10. Intl Professor

    Intl Professor Active Member

    Joined:
    May 17, 2013
    Messages:
    2,548
    Location:
    California
    As Tesla grows its business by 50% each year, it should double SP each year.
     
    • Funny x 1
  11. Thekiwi

    Thekiwi Member

    Joined:
    Mar 31, 2016
    Messages:
    358
    Location:
    Wellington
    $666
     
    • Funny x 1
  12. ZsoZso

    ZsoZso Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 24, 2014
    Messages:
    1,101
    Location:
    Brampton, Ontario
    For Dec.31 2019, I voted the range:
    $461-$510

    However, I do expect TSLA to reach much higher during the year: ATH around $600 would be my guess, due to a bit of short squeezing. Once the 'good old' shorts are covered, it should drop back down (thanks to some new shorts and profit taking).
     
  13. Fobble

    Fobble Member

    Joined:
    Jun 9, 2018
    Messages:
    245
    Location:
    Arizona
    If relying on Model 3 only for profit, range will be between $350-$400. If successful Model Y mass production by end of 2019, range will be between $450-$500.
     
  14. Sancho

    Sancho Member

    Joined:
    Feb 18, 2016
    Messages:
    299
    Location:
    Illinois
    I’m predicting Tesla’s market cap is over $100 billion by the end of the year as the market wakes up to Tesla’s potential. So I’m going with the $581-670 range.
     
  15. Heimdallr

    Heimdallr Member

    Joined:
    Aug 3, 2018
    Messages:
    103
    Location:
    Zurich
    ATH $700
    Year-end price $591
     
  16. HG Wells

    HG Wells Member

    Joined:
    Apr 5, 2016
    Messages:
    859
    Location:
    Lake Lanier
    Well I think it depends on if the Shortsville Times Chief Editor comes out of retirement.
    If he stays retired (most likely) then a close of 450 with an ATH of 520.

    If my particle entanglement experiments work out, I will be more exact in my prediction.
    Liquid helium is just too damn expensive.
     
    • Funny x 2
  17. mrdoubleb

    mrdoubleb Active Member

    Joined:
    Jul 2, 2013
    Messages:
    2,132
    Location:
    Budapest, Hungary
    My reasoning for voting 511-580:

    I think the Q4 ER should take us to ATH and any positives on first EU deliveries, or analyst upgrades after that may even have us test 400 for the first time.

    Factors for going above 500 later in the year:
    • Subsequent growing Model 3 deliveries and consistent profit
    • Model Y reveal and preorder number
    • "One more thing" at Model Y event may be a Pick-up prototype
    • GF3 and Semi staying on schedule and starting production in Q4
    • Energy continuing growth and coming on the radar of analysts (remember most estimates value it at zero!)
    • HW3 and early real FSD demos making Tesla's advantage in the field clear
    • Model S/X refresh
    • Trump resigns (sorry, don't mean to get political here, but with the Mueller investigation wrapping up and all his other legal battles I think he will be in serious danger of impeachment and will resign playing the victim. This will make world politics and economy more predictable = markets will stop to swing so wildly)
    Macro is always a risk but I would say we should be at 500+ in a year. The fundamentals are there.
     
  18. WarpedOne

    WarpedOne Supreme Premier

    Joined:
    Aug 17, 2006
    Messages:
    3,814
    Location:
    Slovenia, Europe
    Remember, Elon's compensation package is a thing... 650bn before 2028, first payout when they hit 100bn anda few other goalposts... so, not payout until some $550s SP.
     
  19. Johann Koeber

    Johann Koeber Active Member

    Joined:
    May 1, 2012
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    1,071
    Location:
    Schweinfurt, Germany
    I voted >900.

    Not sure of course, but one of these days I expect a 2013-esc liftoff. Remember 2013 took us from the 30-ies to the 170-ies. TSLA has matured and grown so much. How can that justify the stock price only doubling in 5 years? Time to head to a new level. Maybe 2019 is the year it will happen.

    (I had hoped it would happen 2018, but you know how that went.)
     
  20. KarenRei

    KarenRei ᴉǝɹuǝɹɐʞ

    Joined:
    Jul 18, 2017
    Messages:
    6,031
    Location:
    Iceland
    Looks like I'm only about 25-30% bullish on TSLA by the standards of this site. "By the standards of this site" being the key term ;)

    Also interesting that there seems to be a gap between the "Superbulls" (up to $770) and the "Hyperbulls" ($900+)
     

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