Delivery Now 7-11 Weeks

[Clark_Kent]

I was talking to my SA on Saturday (9/5) regarding my order that I had made on 9/3 that they were told 9/5 was the cutoff date for end of quarter delivery.

I was told the same. I actually received an email stating that I had to order by end of day September 5 to receive a car this month.

 

[tekdemon]

I have to wonder if this has anything to do with Panasonic upgrading the 2170 production lines this month at GF1. Probably won't have a lot of battery output while they're upgrading the lines to produce the slightly denser new cells. So by the time they restart cell production and Tesla restarts pack production it'll probably have delayed everything by a few weeks.

 

[Tundrok]

Just looked at ordering page. The delivery time jumped from 2-4 to 7-11 weeks. Something must be happening.

It’s for the exact reason that is a bit obvious: the delivery estimates were reduced to push through as many orders as possible for end of quarter numbers so that only their production capacity is the limiting factor in how many complete delivery by end of quarter. Now that they’ve pulled in enough orders from people who were only hesitating because of long lead times (myself included), the estimates now match reality. If I get an update on my order that mine won’t arrive until later in October, I’ll probably cancel and just jump in some day in the future.

 

[Gary95476]

One possibility: Tesla is shutting down some of their AWD production in order to start producing the RWD. This timeframe would jibe with when Musk stated "several months" for the start of RWD production.

 

[vegas888]

RWD is coming,more range,single casting, new bells and whistles, better price.... Only few weeks away... cant wait

 

[Tundrok]

RWD is coming,more range,single casting, new bells and whistles, better price.... Only few weeks away... cant wait

“better price”

You can’t possibly think that’s true.

 

[acarney]

It looks like it’s why specify, so I wouldn’t think it would be Panasonic related. If there was a battery hold up I would think Model 3 would get limited to pull a little more cash out of everyone from the higher trim only Y options.

 

[Cousin Eddy]

as of this morning (9/8/20)
its now 10-14 weeks

 

[SCarolinaM3Guy]

as of this morning (9/8/20)
its now 10-14 weeks

Pretty much looking at a December delivery at this point if you hadn't already ordered.

 

[Tes-la]

Model Y estimated delivery is now at 10-14 weeks for both the long range and performance.

 

[NAUSTX]

That’s true for other models but currently the Y had only been released in the North American market to my understanding.

So it just points to one thin

Model Y estimated delivery is now at 10-14 weeks for both the long range and performance.

 

[NAUSTX]

As of now Model 3 shows 5-8 weeks . Other models (S, X) show no estimated date (briefly showed 10-14 weeks).. Looks like they are updating all of their delivery estimates

 

[Thirsty3]

So, I was planning to get a Model Y towards the end of the year - I don't want it sooner. It feels like I should order now, but if delivery estimates fall back down to a shorter time period, will I be able to delay my delivery until December?

 

[heycharlieball]

Why is everyone acting surprised here? We already knew the Fremont factory focused on EU at the beginning of Q4, and works on NA at the end of the quarter.

The timer reset because they're no longer taking Q3 orders. If anyone gets a card in early October its probably a delivery reject from September.

 

[bayareaever]

There are also (presumably) many 7 seat (like me) and RWD orders from 2019 to fulfill in early q4 which would logically delay fulfilling others for awhile.

 

[spokey]

It’s for the exact reason that is a bit obvious: the delivery estimates were reduced to push through as many orders as possible for end of quarter numbers so that only their production capacity is the limiting factor in how many complete delivery by end of quarter. Now that they’ve pulled in enough orders from people who were only hesitating because of long lead times (myself included), the estimates now match reality. If I get an update on my order that mine won’t arrive until later in October, I’ll probably cancel and just jump in some day in the future.

I figure I am/was in the middle of the current rush. Not counting the pre-order. Just counting the last several months. I'm picking mine up today, 2 days shy of exactly a month. Or in this case, 4 weeks to the day from order. And I was seeing quite a few people ordering after me and getting deliveries before me. So I don't think they low-balled the estimate back then. Of course there were those who waited months, but if you look at the spreadsheet, most of the deliveries by far fall in 4-6 week range.

 

[Gizmotoy]

Why is everyone acting surprised here? We already knew the Fremont factory focused on EU at the beginning of Q4, and works on NA at the end of the quarter.

Probably because Model Y is North America only for now, unless they have an announcement pending that they'll start shipping overseas.

 

[jsight]

“better price”

You can’t possibly think that’s true.

It is expecting to cost at least 2k less. Some are estimating closer to $46k, and that seems equally plausible.

 

[durjosep]

As a 7 seat reservation holder from 2019 I am hoping this is related to the switch to production of the 3rd row Ys! This is purely a guess but with the implementation of the new casting machine and Elon's mention that 7 seat Ys will start shipping at beginning of Q4 the time line seems to match up....

 

[TBigSur]

All S,3,X are still showing up 2-4 weeks for Bay Area but 10-14 for Model Y.

So either they are building RWD and & seaters or they are shipping everything east after September.