Perfectlogic
Member
You can order a Model S and get it soon. Not true for Model X or Model 3. Current estimates are:
Model S Late June (if I order on May 21 so maybe 4 or 5 weeks)
Model X July delivery (if I order on May 21 so maybe 8 weeks?)
Model 3 late 2018 delivery (If I order on May 21 2016 I might get it in 100 weeks or so?)
And assuming 2,500 a week max production rate per car type we get
Model S under 12,000 backlog
Model X under 20,000 backlog
Model 3 under 400,000 backlog
So yes, looking at those numbers I think you are right there is no way that S/X alone are 160,000 backlogged.
The only way that would make sense would be if 80,000 or so Model X are all in transit between the factory and delivery right now.
I could believe there are tens of thousands of model X working through the pipeline right now but not that many.
Production capacity is around 1300 right not, in total. The backlog isn't nearly as high as you think for the S and X. The total backlog is probably around 10k. 7 weeks average wait times 1500 weekly runrate (they are ramping up production soon).