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Did I just take someone's Reservation #?

Discussion in 'Model X: Ordering, Production, Delivery' started by tanner, Feb 13, 2015.

  1. tanner

    tanner Active Member

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    #1 tanner, Feb 13, 2015
    Last edited: Feb 13, 2015
    Apparently Tesla has over 20,000 reservations (not counting cancelations, as pointed out here on the forums: Just Reserved, YAY! # In Line Mirrors: Conflicting Stories?!), yet when I placed my reservation earlier this week, I received the following sequence number: 15,827. Is it possible Tesla bumped me ahead of others? There's CERTAINLY a huge gap between 15.8k and 20k... So unless Tesla is over-inflating their numbers, that has to be the case, right? Thank you in advance for your replies.
     
  2. AnOutsider

    AnOutsider S532 # XS27

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    It's also very possible you got US production #15,XXX and their numbers include sigs and EU reservations as well.
     
  3. tanner

    tanner Active Member

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    That's very true as well... I just assumed they'd roll all reservations into one. I'd be curious to find out which of the two scenarios reflects the true though.
     
  4. ItsNotAboutTheMoney

    ItsNotAboutTheMoney Active Member

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    Different regions, different numbers, I believe, since they won't start deliveries everywhere immediately.
     
  5. tanner

    tanner Active Member

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    Question answered, thank you.

    That means I can likely expect delivery early - mid 2016, correct?
     
  6. ohmman

    ohmman Maximum Plaid Member

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    I'd be careful with the word "expect". I'm lower 8k on reservations, and I *hope* to get mine by summer 2016.
     
  7. tanner

    tanner Active Member

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    Huh, Tesla told me over those phone (from several reps) that those in the US who order "today should expect theirs to be delivered sometime between early to mid 2016"?
     
  8. bonnie

    bonnie Oil is for sissies.

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    Over two years ago, they told me to expect delivery of my X in short order. We know how that turned out. :)

    I'd go with 'hope'. As in I personally hope to see my X in September (even though they said August), but think it's more likely by EOY.
     
  9. tanner

    tanner Active Member

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    Yikes... I know there have been setbacks, as I've been following them, but you'd think once they get it into production that things would go more smoothly than they did with the S. I mean, they just recently completed a retrofit of their manufacturing facilities and are able to crank the S out in high numbers: Factory Upgrade | Tesla Motors
     
  10. BerTX

    BerTX Member

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    Yes, we would like for things to be smooth and no production problems or last-minute modifications required. We have learned to EXPECT delays. Tesla is a growing company, a company that is "not normal". Expect the unexpected -- sometimes good, sometimes bad.

    Me, I'm almost hoping for early 2016 for my delivery so it will be a "2016" model (meaningless, but not really), and in hopes that not many people have cancelled their reservation (unless they bought a Model S instead).
     
  11. ronmerkord

    ronmerkord Member

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    As Sig#1015, we are sure hoping for delivery by Thanksgiving. I'm starting to get used to seeing my "X-ero CO2" license plate on my truck, and the plate really gives people the wrong idea on a Ford F-350.

    Still, I'm still highly confident that the car is going to be worth the wait. By this time next year, everyone is going to be talking about the X.
    truck plate.JPG
     
  12. tanner

    tanner Active Member

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    Nice - that's classic :D
    And if the (likely) delays are as long as the individuals in this thread are suggesting, I probably won't take delivery until 2017, HA!
     
  13. timf

    timf Member

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    Don't mind the pessimists. The Model X rollout will go much faster than the Model S rollout. Elon already called for 30,000-50,000 deliveries in 2016, which would take care of all current reservations within the first half of the year. The biggest uncertainty is with the earlier reservations, as slight changes in the production rate could push the delivery date by several weeks or months.
     
  14. tanner

    tanner Active Member

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    I definitely hope you're right, especially considering the fact that Tesla just recently upgraded/retooled their factory.
     
  15. johnnyS

    johnnyS Member

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    If the model S is a comparison, expect delays in production. However, a high percentage of people with a reservation will also delay or cancel. My model S reservation was in the 4000s and my model S vin number is in the 2000s. To get an early model S, we had to order an 85 with air suspension. There may be similar requirements for the model X.
     
  16. tanner

    tanner Active Member

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    Yeah, there have certainly been delays, considering initial production was slated for 2013... Haha... That being said, you'd think their factory could handle it at this point (once manufacturing starts), especially with having recently updating it and all they've learned thus far.
     
  17. EchoDelta

    EchoDelta Member

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    Bonnie has good sanity advice..
    Hope to, aspire to, dream of deliveries mid 2016.
    But expect the unexpected.
     
  18. tanner

    tanner Active Member

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    Haha... It'll happen.
     
  19. achaar

    achaar Member

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    As a point of reference, I reserved in early October and my number is 2000 lower than yours, so around 500 or so reservations per month.
     
  20. tanner

    tanner Active Member

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    Nice! I see you have a brown S, any regrets there? What color do you think you'll go with for the X? :D
     

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