A few notes for this thread... over the past week my family and I took a trip to Florida. Several times (4), I took the battery down to ~5% and supercharged all the way back up, so I had a good chance to set / reset the boundaries of my rated range.
One anomaly that I'll be watching: One particularly cold morning we woke up with 45 miles of range left, cold-soaked. We packed into the car, ran the defroster on HI for a short period of time to finish clearing the ice (with the help of windshield washer fluid), then headed down the road 15 miles to the Knoxville supercharger. During this drive, the trip planner graph showed an instant, vertical-line drop of 1-2% while I was driving on the Interstate highway - not because of anything I did while driving. Presumably the car determined that it needed to re-adjust the algorithm just a bit. I didn't take a picture of it, but it was the first time I had seen any type of readjustment occur.
Temps were down to 27 degF. Never once did we have the snowflake appear with reduced mileage, even with the car sitting outside, 27 degrees, in a hotel parking lot. I did not pre-heat the cabin.
Unfortunately, my data collection was broken for a little while and just fixed this weekend, so I've lost a month of charging data; it would have been nice to see this in my data collection, but c'est la vie.
Arriving home from this trip, with ambient temps of nearly 35 degF, my 90% charge weighed in at 233.2, which is roughly in line with the linear regression projections of -1.5 miles per year. Last year's average on January 4 was 234.88.