Do we know which group gets their Model 3 next?

[insaneoctane]

Do we have any conclusive evidence of who's next?

1. Tesla Employees
2. SpaceX employees
3. Owners in California who were day 1 reserves
4. Owners outside California who were day 1 reserves
5. ?

Is the next group non-owner day 1 reserves OR owner non-day 1 reserves??

 

[ElecFan]

Do we have any conclusive evidence of who's next?

1. Tesla Employees
2. SpaceX employees
3. Owners in California who were day 1 reserves
4. Owners outside California who were day 1 reserves
5. ?

Is the next group non-owner day 1 reserves OR owner non-day 1 reserves??

My guess: both groups (so non-owner day1 AND owner non-day1)

Why? Because Tesla needs both groups. The owners because they stimulate model S/X sales and day 1 reserves because they stimulate reservations for future model introductions (Y). Both are important for their business.

 

[ZBB]

#4 seems to be broken into multiple groups. I'm in #4 and have not received an invite yet.

Address is in AZ, but we're seeing reports of invites along the East and West Coast, but not many interior states (perhaps TX)...

 

[PhatCat]

My bet is that they will invite all owners before any non-owners. The invitations will be roughly in order of reservation, grouped by geographic region which are ranked in order of delivery efficiency. Consequently areas with high concentrations of current owners will receive invitations first. Nothing against mid-country (I grew up there), but most of these areas seem to be on the coasts.

 

[dsvick]

#1 and #2 have already been invited to configure so there shouldn't be anymore invites going out. Any of that group that hasn't configured yet is just waiting on an option that isn't available yet.
I would place my money on a combination of #3 and #4, I think there are still a number of early reservation owners that have not been invited yet both in CA and elsewhere, they'll probably continue to invite them and scatter the invites across the country so they don't overload any set of delivery centers. I'm thinking the first non-owner invites will be later this month.

 

[chojn1]

1. Tesla Employees (July)
2. SpaceX employees (Aug-Oct)
3. Owners in California who were day 1 reserves
   1. In store (November)
   2. Online (December)
4. Owners outside California who were day 1 reserves (January) - No reservation location preference, mostly east and west coast with very few in central states (none in Texas)

My guess is the next group will be California owners with reservations after 3/31 starting in February.
Tesla starts with their priority list but will not wait for one group to complete before adding the next group. So there will be significant overlap.

 

[CUBldr97]

you forgot (CA) owners who were not day one, have already configured.

 

[chojn1]

you forgot (CA) owners who were not day one, have already configured.

I stand corrected. I guess they have started with that group earlier than I thought.
Next group then is owners with 3/31 reservations in other states not yet receiving cars.

 

[thx1139]

What about day 1 online reservations for owners outside of California?

 

[Need]

you forgot (CA) owners who were not day one, have already configured.

They did? I thought I saw posts on the other thread "CA owners, have you...blah blah" that some of the day 2 CA owners still have not received configuration emails. Based on that thread poll that CA owners stuck at 57% Yes for a while now.. I am guessing all day 1 CA owners are done but post day 1 has not started yet.

I think the next group could be non-owner CA day 1, just because my coworker is one of them. I kind of joke with him that if I order one now, since I am CA owner, I will get ahead of him.

 

[Homekeys]

i got my email last friday. the configurator says 4 weeks for delivery if i order today. As i bought an S instead i guess i will be canceling it as my wife will not let go of her big SUV for such a small car. (She has a newer Range Rover) Im based in Atlanta GA with a day one reservation and I'm a "Legacy owner" as i already have a Tesla...

 

[Leftysmasher]

@Homekeys : did you reserve in-store or online? What date? 3/31? Prior to reveal or during reveal?

 

[DanH]

Haven't seen any new invites for this week yet. Typically, it's on Thursday and Friday. I'm assuming it's going to be next week.

 

[Graffi]

Is the actual production number per week for the Model 3 being reported anywhere? Would be nice to see ramp up of production, or still bottle-neck???

I am Sept 2016 online order for Model 3, purchased new Model S 75D in May 2017. My delivery estimator still shows Nov 2017 - Jan 2018.

 

[WileyTheMan]

Pretty sure they will handle non-owner reservations the same way they handled current Tesla owners. CA first (because of the density of reservations in this state), then spreading east.

 

[ItsNotAboutTheMoney]

Do we have any conclusive evidence of who's next?

1. Tesla Employees
2. SpaceX employees
3. Owners in California who were day 1 reserves
4. Owners outside California who were day 1 reserves
5. ?
6. Profit

Is the next group non-owner day 1 reserves OR owner non-day 1 reserves??

I think that's the next one anyway.

Alternatively...

1. Tesla Employees
2. SpaceX employees
3. Owners in California who were day 1 reserves
4. Owners outside California who were day 1 reserves
5. Owners living in ZEV states where there's the best market for credits

 

[Boourns]

#4 seems to be broken into multiple groups. I'm in #4 and have not received an invite yet.

Address is in AZ, but we're seeing reports of invites along the East and West Coast, but not many interior states (perhaps TX)...

Same. I'm also in group 4.

 

[Prestoward]

I would assume the next group is day one reservations from Texas.

 

[sreams]

I would assume the next group is day one reservations from Texas.

More specifically... day one *owner* reservations from Texas.

 

[sreams]

My bet is that they will invite all owners before any non-owners.

I'm wouldn't be so sure about that. I know of multiple late-reserving owners who have delivery estimates way after my non-owner estimate of Dec-Feb.