You should expect at least 50% reduction in real-world range due to decreased battery efficiency, increased need for heating, increased vampire battery drain.
50% 'at least' is incorrect, and it's possible to get hit with only 10-30% of loss.
However, opposite is possible; when I drove short commute (5km one way), and didn't charge for days, I was able to squeeze only about 100km over a week, instead of 330km for my S60, which is a touch over 65% hit, almost 70%.
However, this is a weird, weird use case, where you don't need a car and hence drive very little, and keep it on the street, so lots of vampiric losses, and no charging in the meantime... Even then it costs less to charge than even the most cost effective diesel
, let alone gasoline car. Perhaps it's fair to say you need to charge once a week, whether you drive or not in sub-zero temp., this is a winter overhead. And then your driving hit is probably only 10-30% depending on the length of driving; the more you need to drive the better range, so it evens out nicely